Sting Soccer Club - ID
Elite Academy League · PACNW U13 · 17 teams · Sting Soccer Club - ID (all teams)
Next game — Sun Nov 8, 01:00 PM
HUB Sports Complex, HUB Field #2 ↗
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.7 for, 2.0 against · 1.82 expected points)
| Season so far | Sting Soccer Club - ID | Western WA Surf Academy White |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 15th | 11th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-0 | 2-0-3 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 1.8 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 2.4 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | — | L L W W L |
| Biggest win | — | 4–0 at BVBIA Washington |
| Worst loss | — | 0–6 at ALBION SC Washington |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.00 | -0.47 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | -0.61 |
Game plan
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Swing game — small margins
Win 55% / draw 18% / loss 27%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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What a win does
Atletico Rojo sit 14th on 0.43 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above Atletico Rojo on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Western WA Surf Academy White game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Sting Soccer Club - ID – Western WA Surf Academy White) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 3.00 PPG |
4th▲ up 11 | 4th▲ up 11 | 4th▲ up 11 |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
4th▲ up 11 | 4th▲ up 11 | 4th▲ up 11 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
13th▲ up 2 | 12th▲ up 3 | 14th▲ up 1 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
15th— holds | 16th▼ down 1 | 17th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 4th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd <1%
- 4th 1%
- 5th 5%
- 6th 9%
- 7th 13%
- 8th 16%
- 9th 20%
- 10th 13%
- 11th 9%
- 12th 7%
- 13th 4%
- 14th 1%
- 15th <1%
- 16th <1%
- 17th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 15 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sparta Tacoma | 3.00 (+3.00) | 2nd (2.65) | Win next game |
| 2 | Harbor SC | 3.00 (+3.00) | 3rd (2.41) | Win next game |
| 3 | ALBION SC Hawaii | 3.00 (+3.00) | 1st (2.65) | Win next game |
| 4 | Washington East Surf Columbia Basin | 2.50 (+2.50) | 4th (2.33) | A point next game |
| 5 | Highline Premier FC | 2.00 (+2.00) | 8th (1.68) | A point next game |
| 6 | Western WA Surf Academy Blue | 2.00 (+2.00) | 7th (1.74) | A point next game |
| 7 | Valencia CF Academy - Seattle | 1.60 (+1.60) | 6th (1.75) | A point next game |
| 8 | ALBION SC Washington | 1.50 (+1.50) | 5th (1.84) | A point next game |
| 9 | Everett FC | 1.50 (+1.50) | 10th (1.23) | A point next game |
| 10 | Mt. Rainier | 1.40 (+1.40) | 13th (1.00) | A point next game |
| 11 | Western WA Surf Academy White | 1.20 (+1.20) | 12th (1.17) | A point next game |
| 12 | Emerald City FC | 1.00 (+1.00) | 11th (1.19) | A point next game |
| 13 | Warriors Sports Academy | 0.67 (+0.67) | 14th (0.88) | Already ahead |
| 14 | Atletico Rojo | 0.43 (+0.43) | 15th (0.49) | Already ahead |
Position over the season
14 game days
Not enough game days yet to draw a line.
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.08 · 13th hardest of 17
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Nov 8 01:00 PM |
Western WA Surf Academy White 11th · 2-0-3 · GD -3 |
Home HUB Sports Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 55% |
2–1 | 1.82 | 1.82 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 14 05:00 PM |
BVBIA Washington 17th · 0-0-6 · GD -30 |
Away Robinswood Sports Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 79% |
4–1 | 2.47 | 2.15 | Bank it |
| Sat Nov 21 01:00 PM |
Mt. Rainier 10th · 2-1-2 · GD -9 |
Home Real Life Ministries |
●●○○○ Lean win | 69% |
3–1 | 2.21 | 2.17 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 22 01:00 PM |
Emerald City FC 12th · 2-0-4 · GD +1 |
Home HUB Sports Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 46% |
2–2 | 1.55 | 2.01 | Swing game |
| Sun Dec 13 03:00 PM |
Valencia CF Academy - Seattle 7th · 2-2-1 · GD +2 |
Home Real Life Ministries |
●●●●○ Tough | 38% |
1–2 | 1.33 | 1.88 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 9 02:00 PM |
Atletico Rojo 14th · 1-0-6 · GD -26 |
Away Sirius Sports Complex |
●○○○○ Favorable | 75% |
3–1 | 2.38 | 1.96 | Bank it |
| Sun Jan 10 12:00 AM |
Harbor SC 2nd · 4-0-0 · GD +19 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 8% |
1–4 | 0.34 | 1.73 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 23 12:00 AM |
Western WA Surf Academy Blue 6th · 4-0-2 · GD +2 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 32% |
2–2 | 1.16 | 1.66 | Upside |
| Sun Jan 24 12:00 AM |
Seattle Celtic 16th · 0-0-5 · GD -15 |
Away TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 68% |
3–1 | 2.19 | 1.72 | Swing game |
| Sat Jan 30 01:00 PM |
Sparta Tacoma 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +21 |
Home HUB Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 10% |
1–3 | 0.41 | 1.59 | Upside |
| Sun Jan 31 02:00 PM |
Highline Premier FC 5th · 2-2-0 · GD +5 |
Home HUB Sports Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 37% |
2–2 | 1.30 | 1.56 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 6 12:00 AM |
Warriors Sports Academy 13th · 0-2-1 · GD -6 |
Away TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 55% |
2–2 | 1.82 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Sat Feb 13 12:00 AM |
Washington East Surf Columbia Basin 4th · 3-1-0 · GD +20 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 8% |
1–4 | 0.32 | 1.48 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 20 02:00 PM |
Everett FC 9th · 2-0-2 · GD -5 |
Home Real Life Ministries |
●●○○○ Lean win | 59% |
3–2 | 1.92 | 1.51 | Swing game |
| Sun Feb 21 01:00 PM |
ALBION SC Washington 8th · 2-0-2 · GD +6 |
Home HUB Sports Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 30% |
2–3 | 1.07 | 1.48 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sparta Tacoma | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | +21 | 15 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.89 | +0.04 | 99% | 1.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs ALBION SC Washington · Sat Nov 7 at Everett FC · Sat Nov 14 vs Harbor SC See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Harbor SC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 5 | +19 | 12 | 3.00 | WWWW | -0.53 | +0.08 | 93% | 3.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Western WA Surf Academy White · Sat Nov 7 at Seattle Celtic · Sun Nov 8 vs Emerald City FC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | ALBION SC Hawaii | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 3 | +18 | 9 | 3.00 | WWW | -1.37 | +0.47 | 96% | 2.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Fri Apr 16 vs Emerald City FC · Sat Apr 17 vs Harbor SC · Sun Apr 18 vs Warriors Sports Academy See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Washington East Surf Columbia Basin | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 1 | +20 | 10 | 2.50 | WWDW | -1.66 | +0.28 | 87% | 3.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Everett FC · Sun Oct 25 at ALBION SC Washington · Sat Nov 14 vs Western WA Surf Academy Blue See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Highline Premier FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 8 | 2.00 | WDWD | -0.65 | +0.12 | 4% | 7.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Western WA Surf Academy Blue · Sun Nov 8 at Seattle Celtic · Sat Nov 14 at ALBION SC Washington See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Western WA Surf Academy Blue | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 12 | 2.00 | WWWWL | +0.10 | -0.24 | 4% | 7.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Highline Premier FC · Sat Nov 7 at Warriors Sports Academy · Sat Nov 14 at Washington East Surf Columbia Basin See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Valencia CF Academy - Seattle | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 8 | 1.60 | WDWLD | +0.72 | -0.50 | 5% | 6.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Emerald City FC · Sun Oct 25 at Everett FC · Sat Nov 21 at Warriors Sports Academy See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | ALBION SC Washington | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | +6 | 6 | 1.50 | LWLW | +0.86 | -0.30 | 9% | 6.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Sparta Tacoma · Sun Oct 25 vs Washington East Surf Columbia Basin · Sun Nov 8 at Mt. Rainier See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Everett FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 6 | 1.50 | WLLW | -0.39 | +0.10 | 0% | 10.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Washington East Surf Columbia Basin · Sun Oct 25 vs Valencia CF Academy - Seattle · Sat Nov 7 vs Sparta Tacoma See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Mt. Rainier | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 7 | 1.40 | WLLDW | -0.51 | +0.24 | 0% | 12.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at BVBIA Washington · Sun Nov 8 vs ALBION SC Washington · Sun Nov 15 vs Everett FC See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Western WA Surf Academy White | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 6 | 1.20 | LWWLL | -0.61 | +0.23 | 0% | 11.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Harbor SC · Sun Nov 8 at Sting Soccer Club - ID · Sat Nov 14 vs Everett FC See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Emerald City FC | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 6 | 1.00 | LWLLW | -0.35 | +0.28 | 0% | 11.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Valencia CF Academy - Seattle · Sun Nov 8 at Harbor SC · Sun Nov 22 at Sting Soccer Club - ID See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | Warriors Sports Academy | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 2 | 0.67 | DDL | -0.26 | +0.23 | 0% | 13.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Seattle Celtic · Sun Oct 25 at BVBIA Washington · Sat Nov 7 vs Western WA Surf Academy Blue See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 14 | Atletico Rojo | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 33 | -26 | 3 | 0.43 | LLWLL | +0.33 | +0.07 | 0% | 15.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 8 vs BVBIA Washington · Sat Nov 21 at ALBION SC Washington · Sat Dec 12 at Warriors Sports Academy See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 15 | Sting Soccer Club - ID | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.08 | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Nov 8 vs Western WA Surf Academy White · Sat Nov 14 at BVBIA Washington · Sat Nov 21 vs Mt. Rainier See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 16 | Seattle Celtic | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 19 | -15 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.03 | +0.00 | 0% | 15.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Warriors Sports Academy · Sat Nov 7 vs Harbor SC · Sun Nov 8 vs Highline Premier FC See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 17 | BVBIA Washington | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 36 | -30 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +1.41 | -0.44 | 0% | 16.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Mt. Rainier · Sun Oct 25 vs Warriors Sports Academy · Sun Nov 8 at Atletico Rojo See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.55 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.