NE Reds Long Island
Elite Academy League · Northeast (East) U14 · 8 teams · NE Reds Long Island (all teams)
Next game — Sun Nov 1, 11:00 AM
Ramapo High School, Ramapo High School turf field. ↗ · turf
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.8 for, 1.8 against · 1.37 expected points)
| Season so far | NE Reds Long Island | Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 7th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-0-2 | 0-0-2 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| Goals against / game | 2.0 | 2.5 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W L L | L L |
| Biggest win | 3–0 vs ALBION SC Fairfield | — |
| Worst loss | 0–3 vs Albertson Soccer Club | 0–3 vs ALBION SC Brooklyn |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.47 | -0.71 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.90 | +0.36 |
Common opponents: United Soccer Group — we 1–3; they 1–2.
Game plan
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They struggle to score
Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy average 0.5 goals/game (league avg 2.6); blanked in 1 of 2.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–3 vs Albertson Soccer Club.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 38%; a draw (22%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Away game
Kickoff 11:00 AM at Ramapo High School.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
United Soccer Group sit 5th on 1.50 PPG; we are on 1.00.A win moves us above United Soccer Group on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (NE Reds Long Island – Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.00 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 6th— holds |
| Win 1.50 PPG |
5th▲ up 1 | 4th▲ up 2 | 5th▲ up 1 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 6th— holds |
| Loss 0.75 PPG |
7th▼ down 1 | 7th▼ down 1 | 7th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 6th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd <1%
- 3rd 2%
- 4th 10%
- 5th 23%
- 6th 34%
- 7th 29%
- 8th 2%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.57 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JP Soccer | 3.00 (+2.00) | 1st (2.58) | 39 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Albertson Soccer Club | 2.25 (+1.25) | 3rd (1.87) | 29 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection |
| 3 | ALBION SC Brooklyn | 2.00 (+1.00) | 2nd (2.18) | 25 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection |
| 4 | Atlantic United | 1.50 (+0.50) | 4th (1.43) | Win next game |
| 5 | United Soccer Group | 1.50 (+0.50) | 5th (1.21) | Win next game |
How the results connect
2 chains · 4 teams
Paths of results that link NE Reds Long Island to Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
7 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.31 · 1st hardest of 8
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Sep 26 11:25 AM no score posted |
ALBION SC Brooklyn 3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +8 |
Away Red Hook Ball Fields |
●●●●● Very tough | 12% |
1–3 | 0.48 | 0.87 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 11:00 AM |
Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy 7th · 0-0-2 · GD -4 |
Away Ramapo High School · turf |
●●●●○ Tough | 38% |
1–1 | 1.37 | 0.97 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 02:50 PM |
Atlantic United 4th · 2-0-2 · GD +1 |
Away Selden Middle School Turf · turf |
●●●●○ Tough | 26% |
2–3 | 0.95 | 0.97 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 15 11:30 AM |
United Soccer Group 5th · 2-0-2 · GD -4 |
Home Stonybrook University · turf |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 46% |
2–1 | 1.59 | 1.06 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 22 11:00 AM |
JP Soccer 1st · 3-0-0 · GD +14 |
Home Ward Melville High SChool · turf |
●●●●● Very tough | 12% |
1–3 | 0.48 | 0.98 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 14 12:00 AM |
JP Soccer 1st · 3-0-0 · GD +14 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 7% |
1–3 | 0.31 | 0.91 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 3 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Brooklyn 3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +8 |
Home TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 18% |
1–2 | 0.69 | 0.89 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 11 12:00 AM |
Albertson Soccer Club 2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +3 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 21% |
1–3 | 0.80 | 0.88 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Fairfield 8th · 0-0-3 · GD -16 |
Away TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 64% |
2–1 | 2.11 | 0.98 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 25 12:00 AM |
Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy 7th · 0-0-2 · GD -4 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 48% |
1–1 | 1.64 | 1.03 | Swing game |
| Sun May 2 12:00 AM |
Atlantic United 4th · 2-0-2 · GD +1 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 37% |
2–2 | 1.28 | 1.05 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | JP Soccer | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 3 | +14 | 9 | 3.00 | WWW | -0.23 | -0.37 | 100% | 1.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 18 at Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy · Sun Nov 1 vs Atlantic United · Sun Nov 8 at United Soccer Group See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Albertson Soccer Club | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 9 | 2.25 | WLWW | +0.25 | -0.22 | 96% | 3.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at ALBION SC Fairfield · Sun Nov 8 vs Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy · Sun Nov 15 at Atlantic United See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | ALBION SC Brooklyn | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | +8 | 6 | 2.00 | LWW | +0.47 | -0.41 | 100% | 2.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 vs NE Reds Long Island · Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC Fairfield · Sat Nov 14 at United Soccer Group See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Atlantic United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 6 | 1.50 | LWLW | -0.26 | +0.09 | 63% | 4.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 at Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy · Sun Nov 1 at JP Soccer · Sun Nov 8 vs NE Reds Long Island See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | United Soccer Group | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 | 1.50 | WWLL | -0.15 | +0.18 | 23% | 5.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 8 vs JP Soccer · Sat Nov 14 vs ALBION SC Brooklyn · Sun Nov 15 at NE Reds Long Island See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | NE Reds Long Island | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | 1.00 | LLW | -0.90 | +0.31 | 12% | 5.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 at ALBION SC Brooklyn · Sun Nov 1 at Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy · Sun Nov 8 at Atlantic United See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | 0.00 | LL | +0.36 | +0.04 | 7% | 6.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 vs Atlantic United · Sun Oct 18 vs JP Soccer · Sun Nov 1 vs NE Reds Long Island See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | ALBION SC Fairfield | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 16 | -16 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +0.57 | +0.26 | 0% | 7.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Albertson Soccer Club · Sat Nov 7 at ALBION SC Brooklyn · Sat Nov 14 at Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.60 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.