Albertson Soccer Club
Elite Academy League · Northeast (East) U14 · 8 teams · Albertson Soccer Club (all teams)
Next game — Sun Nov 1, 02:00 PM
Fairfield Country Day School, Lower Blair ↗
●○○○○ Favorable to win
Most likely score 4–1 (expected goals 4.2 for, 1.5 against · 2.58 expected points)
| Season so far | Albertson Soccer Club | ALBION SC Fairfield |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 8th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-0-1 | 0-0-3 |
| Points per game | 2.25 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 3.5 | 0.0 |
| Goals against / game | 2.8 | 5.3 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | W W L W | L L L |
| Biggest win | 5–1 vs United Soccer Group | — |
| Worst loss | 2–9 at JP Soccer | 0–8 at Atlantic United |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.47 | -2.37 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.25 | +0.57 |
Common opponents: Atlantic United — we 4–1; they 0–8. JP Soccer — we 2–9; they 0–5. NE Reds Long Island — we 3–0; they 0–3.
Game plan
-
They struggle to score
ALBION SC Fairfield average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.6); blanked in 3 of 3.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
-
They leak goals — be greedy
ALBION SC Fairfield concede 5.3/game; worst result 0–8 at Atlantic United.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
-
Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 83% chance; likely score 4–1.Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
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Confidence is low on their side
ALBION SC Fairfield have lost 3 straight (form: LLL).Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
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Away game
Kickoff 02:00 PM at Fairfield Country Day School.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the ALBION SC Fairfield game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Albertson Soccer Club – ALBION SC Fairfield) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.40 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Win 2.40 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Draw 2.00 PPG |
3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 |
| Loss 1.80 PPG |
3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 | 4th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 4–1 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 2nd if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 2%
- 2nd 17%
- 3rd 62%
- 4th 15%
- 5th 3%
- 6th 1%
- 7th <1%
- 8th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 10 remaining known games (max 2.79 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JP Soccer | 3.00 (+0.75) | 1st (2.58) | 33 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection |
How the results connect
5 chains · 6 teams
Paths of results that link Albertson Soccer Club to ALBION SC Fairfield through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
7 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.22 · 6th hardest of 8
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Nov 1 02:00 PM |
ALBION SC Fairfield 8th · 0-0-3 · GD -16 |
Away Fairfield Country Day School |
●○○○○ Favorable | 83% |
4–1 | 2.58 | 2.32 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 8 10:00 AM |
Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy 7th · 0-0-2 · GD -4 |
Home Kellenberg Memorial HS |
●●○○○ Lean win | 67% |
3–1 | 2.16 | 2.29 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 15 07:30 PM |
Atlantic United 4th · 2-0-2 · GD +1 |
Away The Stony Brook School · turf? |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 44% |
3–3 | 1.47 | 2.17 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 21 10:00 AM |
ALBION SC Brooklyn 3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +8 |
Away Red Hook Ball Fields |
●●●●● Very tough | 20% |
2–3 | 0.75 | 1.99 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 14 12:00 AM |
United Soccer Group 5th · 2-0-2 · GD -4 |
Away TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 55% |
3–2 | 1.81 | 1.97 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 3 12:00 AM |
JP Soccer 1st · 3-0-0 · GD +14 |
Home TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 21% |
2–3 | 0.76 | 1.85 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 11 12:00 AM |
NE Reds Long Island 6th · 1-0-2 · GD -2 |
Home TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 63% |
3–1 | 2.04 | 1.87 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 18 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Brooklyn 3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +8 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 30% |
2–3 | 1.05 | 1.80 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 25 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Fairfield 8th · 0-0-3 · GD -16 |
Home TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 89% |
4–1 | 2.74 | 1.87 | Bank it |
| Sat May 1 03:00 PM |
Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy 7th · 0-0-2 · GD -4 |
Away Ramapo High School · turf |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 56% |
2–1 | 1.86 | 1.87 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JP Soccer | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 3 | +14 | 9 | 3.00 | WWW | -0.23 | -0.37 | 100% | 1.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 18 at Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy · Sun Nov 1 vs Atlantic United · Sun Nov 8 at United Soccer Group See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Albertson Soccer Club | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 9 | 2.25 | WLWW | +0.25 | -0.22 | 96% | 3.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at ALBION SC Fairfield · Sun Nov 8 vs Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy · Sun Nov 15 at Atlantic United See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | ALBION SC Brooklyn | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | +8 | 6 | 2.00 | LWW | +0.47 | -0.41 | 100% | 2.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 vs NE Reds Long Island · Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC Fairfield · Sat Nov 14 at United Soccer Group See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Atlantic United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 6 | 1.50 | LWLW | -0.26 | +0.09 | 63% | 4.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 at Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy · Sun Nov 1 at JP Soccer · Sun Nov 8 vs NE Reds Long Island See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | United Soccer Group | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 | 1.50 | WWLL | -0.15 | +0.18 | 23% | 5.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 8 vs JP Soccer · Sat Nov 14 vs ALBION SC Brooklyn · Sun Nov 15 at NE Reds Long Island See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | NE Reds Long Island | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | 1.00 | LLW | -0.90 | +0.31 | 12% | 5.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 at ALBION SC Brooklyn · Sun Nov 1 at Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy · Sun Nov 8 at Atlantic United See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | 0.00 | LL | +0.36 | +0.04 | 7% | 6.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 vs Atlantic United · Sun Oct 18 vs JP Soccer · Sun Nov 1 vs NE Reds Long Island See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | ALBION SC Fairfield | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 16 | -16 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +0.57 | +0.26 | 0% | 7.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Albertson Soccer Club · Sat Nov 7 at ALBION SC Brooklyn · Sat Nov 14 at Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.60 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.