JP Soccer
Elite Academy League · Northeast (East) U14 · 8 teams · JP Soccer (all teams)
Next game — Sun Nov 1, 01:00 PM
Putnam Valley High School, Turf ↗ · turf
●○○○○ Favorable to win
Most likely score 5–2 (expected goals 5.3 for, 2.1 against · 2.58 expected points)
| Season so far | JP Soccer | Atlantic United |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-0-0 | 2-0-2 |
| Points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals for / game | 5.7 | 3.8 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 3.5 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W | W L W L |
| Biggest win | 9–2 vs Albertson Soccer Club | 8–0 vs ALBION SC Fairfield |
| Worst loss | — | 1–8 vs ALBION SC Brooklyn |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +2.20 | +0.02 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.23 | -0.26 |
Common opponents: ALBION SC Brooklyn — we 3–1; they 1–8. Albertson Soccer Club — we 9–2; they 1–4. ALBION SC Fairfield — we 5–0; they 8–0.
Game plan
-
Respect their attack
Atlantic United score 3.8/game — well above the league's 2.6.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
-
Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 83% chance; likely score 5–2.Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Atlantic United game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (JP Soccer – Atlantic United) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 3.00 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Draw 2.50 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Loss 2.25 PPG |
1st— holds | 2nd▼ down 1 | 2nd▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 5–2 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 85%
- 2nd 13%
- 3rd 1%
- 4th <1%
- 5th
- 6th
- 7th
- 8th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.
How the results connect
4 chains · 6 teams
Paths of results that link JP Soccer to Atlantic United through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
7 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.37 · 7th hardest of 8
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 18 11:00 AM no score posted |
Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy 7th · 0-0-2 · GD -4 |
Away Rockland Community College · grass |
●○○○○ Favorable | 79% |
3–1 | 2.49 | 2.87 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 1 01:00 PM |
Atlantic United 4th · 2-0-2 · GD +1 |
Home Putnam Valley High School · turf |
●○○○○ Favorable | 83% |
5–2 | 2.58 | 2.81 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 8 01:00 PM |
United Soccer Group 5th · 2-0-2 · GD -4 |
Away Berkshire Community College |
●○○○○ Favorable | 80% |
4–1 | 2.50 | 2.76 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 15 10:30 AM |
ALBION SC Brooklyn 3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +8 |
Home Putnam Valley High School · turf |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 58% |
3–2 | 1.89 | 2.64 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 22 11:00 AM |
NE Reds Long Island 6th · 1-0-2 · GD -2 |
Away Ward Melville High SChool · turf |
●○○○○ Favorable | 76% |
3–1 | 2.40 | 2.61 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 14 12:00 AM |
NE Reds Long Island 6th · 1-0-2 · GD -2 |
Home TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 84% |
3–1 | 2.60 | 2.61 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 3 12:00 AM |
Albertson Soccer Club 2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +3 |
Away TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 65% |
3–2 | 2.10 | 2.56 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 11 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Fairfield 8th · 0-0-3 · GD -16 |
Away TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 95% |
5–1 | 2.88 | 2.58 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 18 12:00 AM |
Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy 7th · 0-0-2 · GD -4 |
Home TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 86% |
4–1 | 2.67 | 2.59 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 25 12:00 AM |
Atlantic United 4th · 2-0-2 · GD +1 |
Away TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 74% |
4–2 | 2.32 | 2.57 | Bank it |
| Sun May 2 12:00 AM |
United Soccer Group 5th · 2-0-2 · GD -4 |
Home TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 87% |
4–1 | 2.69 | 2.58 | Bank it |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JP Soccer | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 3 | +14 | 9 | 3.00 | WWW | -0.23 | -0.37 | 100% | 1.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 18 at Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy · Sun Nov 1 vs Atlantic United · Sun Nov 8 at United Soccer Group See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Albertson Soccer Club | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 9 | 2.25 | WLWW | +0.25 | -0.22 | 96% | 3.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at ALBION SC Fairfield · Sun Nov 8 vs Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy · Sun Nov 15 at Atlantic United See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | ALBION SC Brooklyn | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | +8 | 6 | 2.00 | LWW | +0.47 | -0.41 | 100% | 2.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 vs NE Reds Long Island · Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC Fairfield · Sat Nov 14 at United Soccer Group See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Atlantic United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 6 | 1.50 | LWLW | -0.26 | +0.09 | 63% | 4.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 at Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy · Sun Nov 1 at JP Soccer · Sun Nov 8 vs NE Reds Long Island See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | United Soccer Group | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 | 1.50 | WWLL | -0.15 | +0.18 | 23% | 5.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 8 vs JP Soccer · Sat Nov 14 vs ALBION SC Brooklyn · Sun Nov 15 at NE Reds Long Island See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | NE Reds Long Island | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | 1.00 | LLW | -0.90 | +0.31 | 12% | 5.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 at ALBION SC Brooklyn · Sun Nov 1 at Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy · Sun Nov 8 at Atlantic United See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | 0.00 | LL | +0.36 | +0.04 | 7% | 6.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 vs Atlantic United · Sun Oct 18 vs JP Soccer · Sun Nov 1 vs NE Reds Long Island See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | ALBION SC Fairfield | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 16 | -16 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +0.57 | +0.26 | 0% | 7.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Albertson Soccer Club · Sat Nov 7 at ALBION SC Brooklyn · Sat Nov 14 at Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.60 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.