United Soccer Group
Elite Academy League · Northeast (East) U13 · 8 teams · United Soccer Group (all teams)
Next game — Sun Nov 8, 11:00 AM
Berkshire Community College, Field 1 ↗
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.3 for, 2.9 against · 0.57 expected points)
| Season so far | United Soccer Group | JP Soccer |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-1-2 | 3-0-0 |
| Points per game | 0.33 | 3.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.3 | 6.7 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 1.7 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | D L L | W W W |
| Biggest win | — | 11–0 vs ALBION SC Fairfield |
| Worst loss | 0–1 vs NE Reds Long Island | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.28 | +2.14 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.29 | -0.88 |
Common opponents: Albertson Soccer Club — we 1–2; they 5–2.
Game plan
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Respect their attack
JP Soccer score 6.7/game — well above the league's 2.0.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–1 vs NE Reds Long Island, 0–0 at Atlantic United.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 14%; a draw (15%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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They arrive in form
JP Soccer have won 3 straight.Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the JP Soccer game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (United Soccer Group – JP Soccer) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.25 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 8th▼ down 2 |
| Win 1.00 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 7th▼ down 1 |
| Draw 0.50 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 8th▼ down 2 |
| Loss 0.25 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 8th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 6th even if every rival loses, and as low as 8th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd <1%
- 3rd 2%
- 4th 8%
- 5th 16%
- 6th 37%
- 7th 35%
- 8th 1%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.43 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JP Soccer | 3.00 (+2.67) | 1st (2.44) | 41 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | NE Reds Long Island | 2.33 (+2.00) | 2nd (1.93) | 32 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection |
| 3 | ALBION SC Brooklyn | 2.00 (+1.67) | 3rd (1.84) | 27 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection |
| 4 | Atlantic United | 1.25 (+0.92) | 5th (1.35) | 17 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection |
| 5 | Albertson Soccer Club | 1.25 (+0.92) | 4th (1.40) | 17 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection |
How the results connect
6 chains · 7 teams
Paths of results that link United Soccer Group to JP Soccer through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
7 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.06 · 5th hardest of 8
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 4 11:00 AM no score posted |
Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy 7th · 0-0-1 · GD -3 |
Home Berkshire Community College |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 46% |
1–1 | 1.62 | 0.65 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 8 11:00 AM |
JP Soccer 1st · 3-0-0 · GD +15 |
Home Berkshire Community College |
●●●●● Very tough | 14% |
1–2 | 0.57 | 0.64 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 12:00 PM |
ALBION SC Brooklyn 3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +3 |
Home Berkshire Community College |
●●●●○ Tough | 27% |
1–1 | 1.04 | 0.70 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 15 10:00 AM |
NE Reds Long Island 2nd · 2-1-0 · GD +7 |
Away Stonybrook University · turf |
●●●●● Very tough | 16% |
0–1 | 0.69 | 0.70 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 14 12:00 AM |
Albertson Soccer Club 5th · 1-2-1 · GD -2 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 37% |
1–1 | 1.36 | 0.78 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 3 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Fairfield 8th · 0-0-3 · GD -20 |
Home TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 77% |
2–0 | 2.44 | 0.97 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 10 04:30 PM |
Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy 7th · 0-0-1 · GD -3 |
Away Ramapo High School · turf |
●●●●○ Tough | 37% |
1–1 | 1.36 | 1.01 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 12:00 AM |
Atlantic United 4th · 1-2-1 · GD +2 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 29% |
0–1 | 1.20 | 1.02 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 25 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Brooklyn 3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +3 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 20% |
1–1 | 0.82 | 1.01 | Upside |
| Sun May 2 12:00 AM |
JP Soccer 1st · 3-0-0 · GD +15 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 9% |
1–3 | 0.39 | 0.96 | Upside |
| Thu May 27 02:00 PM |
ALBION SC Fairfield 8th · 0-0-3 · GD -20 |
Away Fairfield Country Day School |
●●○○○ Lean win | 69% |
2–1 | 2.23 | 1.05 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JP Soccer | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 5 | +15 | 9 | 3.00 | WWW | -0.88 | -0.19 | 100% | 1.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 18 at Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy · Sun Nov 1 vs Atlantic United · Sun Nov 8 at United Soccer Group See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | NE Reds Long Island | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | +7 | 7 | 2.33 | WDW | -1.18 | +0.11 | 96% | 2.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy · Sun Nov 8 at Atlantic United · Sun Nov 15 vs United Soccer Group See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | ALBION SC Brooklyn | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 6 | 2.00 | LWW | +0.51 | -0.28 | 94% | 2.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC Fairfield · Sat Nov 14 at United Soccer Group · Sun Nov 15 at JP Soccer See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Atlantic United | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 1.25 | DWLD | -0.64 | +0.21 | 42% | 4.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 at Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy · Sun Nov 1 at JP Soccer · Sun Nov 8 vs NE Reds Long Island See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Albertson Soccer Club | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 5 | 1.25 | DLDW | +0.72 | -0.30 | 49% | 4.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at ALBION SC Fairfield · Sat Nov 7 vs Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy · Sun Nov 15 at Atlantic United See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | United Soccer Group | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | 0.33 | LLD | +0.29 | -0.06 | 11% | 6.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 vs Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy · Sun Nov 8 vs JP Soccer · Sat Nov 14 vs ALBION SC Brooklyn See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | 0.00 | L | +0.59 | +0.03 | 9% | 6.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 vs Atlantic United · Sun Oct 4 at United Soccer Group · Sun Oct 18 vs JP Soccer See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | ALBION SC Fairfield | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 21 | -20 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +1.09 | +0.21 | 0% | 8.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Albertson Soccer Club · Sat Nov 7 at ALBION SC Brooklyn · Sat Nov 14 at Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.04 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.