NE Reds Long Island
Elite Academy League · Northeast (East) U13 · 8 teams · NE Reds Long Island (all teams)
Next game — Sun Nov 1, 01:00 PM
Ramapo High School, Ramapo High School turf field. ↗ · turf
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.7 for, 1.4 against · 2.14 expected points)
| Season so far | NE Reds Long Island | Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 7th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-1-0 | 0-0-1 |
| Points per game | 2.33 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 3.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 4.0 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W D W | L |
| Biggest win | 7–1 vs ALBION SC Fairfield | — |
| Worst loss | — | 1–4 vs ALBION SC Brooklyn |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.92 | -0.66 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -1.18 | +0.59 |
Game plan
-
They struggle to score
Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy average 1.0 goals/game (league avg 2.0); blanked in 0 of 1.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
-
They leak goals — be greedy
Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy concede 4.0/game; worst result 1–4 vs ALBION SC Brooklyn.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
-
Swing game — small margins
Win 66% / draw 17% / loss 18%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
-
Away game
Kickoff 01:00 PM at Ramapo High School.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (NE Reds Long Island – Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.50 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Win 2.50 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Draw 2.00 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Loss 1.75 PPG |
3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 2nd if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 8%
- 2nd 47%
- 3rd 32%
- 4th 9%
- 5th 3%
- 6th 1%
- 7th <1%
- 8th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.86 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JP Soccer | 3.00 (+0.67) | 1st (2.44) | 35 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection |
Position over the season
7 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.11 · 3rd hardest of 8
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Nov 1 01:00 PM |
Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy 7th · 0-0-1 · GD -3 |
Away Ramapo High School · turf |
●●○○○ Lean win | 66% |
2–1 | 2.14 | 2.28 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 8 01:00 PM |
Atlantic United 4th · 1-2-1 · GD +2 |
Away Selden Middle School Turf · turf |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 43% |
1–1 | 1.57 | 2.14 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 15 10:00 AM |
United Soccer Group 6th · 0-1-2 · GD -2 |
Home Stonybrook University · turf |
●●○○○ Lean win | 63% |
1–0 | 2.10 | 2.13 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 22 12:30 PM |
JP Soccer 1st · 3-0-0 · GD +15 |
Home Ward Melville High School · turf? |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.22 | 2.00 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 14 12:00 AM |
JP Soccer 1st · 3-0-0 · GD +15 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 25% |
2–3 | 0.91 | 1.87 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 3 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Brooklyn 3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +3 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 52% |
2–1 | 1.77 | 1.86 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 11 12:00 AM |
Albertson Soccer Club 5th · 1-2-1 · GD -2 |
Away TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 54% |
2–1 | 1.84 | 1.85 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 18 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Fairfield 8th · 0-0-3 · GD -20 |
Away TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 92% |
4–0 | 2.80 | 1.94 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 25 12:00 AM |
Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy 7th · 0-0-1 · GD -3 |
Home TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 75% |
3–1 | 2.37 | 1.98 | Bank it |
| Sun May 2 12:00 AM |
Atlantic United 4th · 1-2-1 · GD +2 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 51% |
1–0 | 1.80 | 1.96 | Swing game |
| Tue May 25 10:00 AM |
ALBION SC Brooklyn 3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +3 |
Away Red Hook Ball Fields |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 42% |
1–1 | 1.48 | 1.93 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JP Soccer | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 5 | +15 | 9 | 3.00 | WWW | -0.88 | -0.19 | 100% | 1.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 18 at Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy · Sun Nov 1 vs Atlantic United · Sun Nov 8 at United Soccer Group See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | NE Reds Long Island | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | +7 | 7 | 2.33 | WDW | -1.18 | +0.11 | 96% | 2.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy · Sun Nov 8 at Atlantic United · Sun Nov 15 vs United Soccer Group See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | ALBION SC Brooklyn | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 6 | 2.00 | LWW | +0.51 | -0.28 | 94% | 2.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC Fairfield · Sat Nov 14 at United Soccer Group · Sun Nov 15 at JP Soccer See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Atlantic United | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 1.25 | DWLD | -0.64 | +0.21 | 42% | 4.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 at Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy · Sun Nov 1 at JP Soccer · Sun Nov 8 vs NE Reds Long Island See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Albertson Soccer Club | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 5 | 1.25 | DLDW | +0.72 | -0.30 | 49% | 4.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at ALBION SC Fairfield · Sat Nov 7 vs Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy · Sun Nov 15 at Atlantic United See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | United Soccer Group | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | 0.33 | LLD | +0.29 | -0.06 | 11% | 6.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 vs Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy · Sun Nov 8 vs JP Soccer · Sat Nov 14 vs ALBION SC Brooklyn See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | 0.00 | L | +0.59 | +0.03 | 9% | 6.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 vs Atlantic United · Sun Oct 4 at United Soccer Group · Sun Oct 18 vs JP Soccer See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | ALBION SC Fairfield | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 21 | -20 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +1.09 | +0.21 | 0% | 8.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Albertson Soccer Club · Sat Nov 7 at ALBION SC Brooklyn · Sat Nov 14 at Global Futbol Stars 11 Academy See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.04 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.