Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Ohio Valley GU12 (2014-2015) · 6 teams · Pittsburgh Riverhounds (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 hour ago.

Add schedule to calendar

6th

0-1-7 record · 8 played

0.13 points per game

-26 goal diff · 3–29

DLLLLlast 5

0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 6.0

+0.41 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 01:00 PM

Open the match preview →

Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre
6th · 0.13 PPG

Ohio Premier Pre- UA
4th · 1.00 PPG

Northern Steel Beacon Soccer Complex, Field 1 ↗

10% 13% 77%

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.0 for, 3.0 against · 0.44 expected points)

Season so far	Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre	Ohio Premier Pre- UA
Position	6th	4th
Record (W-D-L)	0-1-7	2-2-4
Points per game	0.13	1.00
Goals for / game	0.4	2.3
Goals against / game	3.6	2.4
Clean sheets	1	1
Held scoreless	5	1
Form (recent first)	L L L L D	W D L D L
Biggest win	—	6–0 vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre
Worst loss	0–6 at Ohio Premier Pre- UA	2–5 at Ohio Premier Pre- Sears
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	-2.13	-0.03
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	+0.41	+0.17

Already played this season: Sat Aug 29 0–6 at Ohio Premier Pre- UA (L)

Common opponents: Northern Steel Select Soccer Blast — we 0–1; they 2–4. Kings Hammer SC Columbus — we 0–3, 1–4; they 0–3, 3–1. WNY Flash Rochester Pre — we 0–0, 1–2; they 1–2, 2–2. Ohio Premier Pre- Sears — we 1–7, 0–6; they 2–5, 2–2.

Game plan

Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 5 time(s): 0–1 vs Northern Steel Select Soccer Blast, 0–3 at Kings Hammer SC Columbus, 0–6 at Ohio Premier Pre- UA, 0–0 at WNY Flash Rochester Pre, 0–6 at Ohio Premier Pre- Sears.
Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 10%; a draw (13%) would be a good result.
Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Ohio Premier Pre- UA game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre – Ohio Premier Pre- UA) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 1 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Loss · 0.11 PPG	6th— holds	6th— holds	6th— holds
Win 0.44 PPG	6th— holds	6th— holds	6th— holds
Draw 0.22 PPG	6th— holds	6th— holds	6th— holds
Loss 0.11 PPG	6th— holds	6th— holds	6th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 6th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st

0% top 4

100% below the top 4

6.0 average finish

1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th 100%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 2 remaining known games (max 0.70 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	Ohio Premier Pre- Sears	2.80 (+2.67)	1st (2.80)	27 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2	Northern Steel Select Soccer Blast	2.25 (+2.12)	2nd (2.30)	22 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3	Kings Hammer SC Columbus	1.50 (+1.37)	3rd (1.50)	14 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4	Ohio Premier Pre- UA	1.00 (+0.87)	4th (1.11)	9 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5	WNY Flash Rochester Pre	0.80 (+0.67)	5th (0.80)	7 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 7 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule

How the results connect

86 chains · 6 teams

Paths of results that link Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre to Ohio Premier Pre- UA through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

16 favour us

12 even

58 favour them

-1.9 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

15 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.55 · 1st hardest of 3

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sat Oct 24 01:00 PM	Ohio Premier Pre- UA 4th · 2-2-4 · GD -1	Home Northern Steel Beacon Soccer Complex	●●●●● Very tough	10%	1–2	0.44	0.16	Upside
Sat Oct 24 11:00 AM	Northern Steel Select Soccer Blast 2nd · 6-0-2 · GD +12	Away Northern Steel Beacon Soccer Complex	●●●●● Very tough	2%	0–4	0.12	0.16	Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Ohio Premier Pre- Sears

+34

2.80

WWWWD

-0.49

—

100%

1.0

Northern Steel Select Soccer Blast

+12

2.25

LWWWW

-0.01

-1.08

100%

2.0

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	Kings Hammer SC Columbus (3rd)	3–0
W	Sat Oct 17	at	WNY Flash Rochester Pre (5th)	2–0
W	Sat Oct 17	at	WNY Flash Rochester Pre (5th)	5–0
W	Sun Oct 4	at	Ohio Premier Pre- UA (4th)	4–2
L	Sat Oct 3	at	Ohio Premier Pre- Sears (1st)	1–5
L	Sat Oct 3	at	Ohio Premier Pre- Sears (1st)	2–3
W	Sun Aug 23	at	Kings Hammer SC Columbus (3rd)	5–1
W	Sat Aug 22	at	Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre (6th)	1–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Ohio Premier Pre- UA · Sat Oct 24 vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Ohio Premier Pre- UA (4th)	3–1	68%
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre (6th)	4–0	93%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Kings Hammer SC Columbus

1.50

WWWLL

-0.05

—

100%

3.0

Ohio Premier Pre- UA

-1

1.00

LDLDW

+0.17

-0.50

100%

4.0

W	Mon Oct 19	at	Kings Hammer SC Columbus (3rd)	3–1
D	Sat Oct 17	vs	Ohio Premier Pre- Sears (1st)	2–2
L	Sun Oct 4	vs	Northern Steel Select Soccer Blast (2nd)	2–4
D	Sat Sep 12	at	WNY Flash Rochester Pre (5th)	2–2
L	Sat Sep 12	at	WNY Flash Rochester Pre (5th)	1–2
L	Wed Sep 2	vs	Kings Hammer SC Columbus (3rd)	0–3
W	Sat Aug 29	vs	Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre (6th)	6–0
L	Sat Aug 22	at	Ohio Premier Pre- Sears (1st)	2–5

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre · Sat Oct 24 at Northern Steel Select Soccer Blast See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre (6th)	2–1	77%
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Northern Steel Select Soccer Blast (2nd)	1–3	17%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

WNY Flash Rochester Pre

-19

0.80

WLLLL

+0.28

—

5.0

Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre

-26

0.13

DLLLL

+0.41

+0.55

6.0

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Kings Hammer SC Columbus (3rd)	1–4
L	Sun Oct 4	at	Ohio Premier Pre- Sears (1st)	0–6
L	Sun Oct 4	at	Ohio Premier Pre- Sears (1st)	1–7
L	Sat Sep 19	at	WNY Flash Rochester Pre (5th)	1–2
D	Sat Sep 19	at	WNY Flash Rochester Pre (5th)	0–0
L	Sat Aug 29	at	Ohio Premier Pre- UA (4th)	0–6
L	Sun Aug 23	at	Kings Hammer SC Columbus (3rd)	0–3
L	Sat Aug 22	vs	Northern Steel Select Soccer Blast (2nd)	0–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Ohio Premier Pre- UA · Sat Oct 24 at Northern Steel Select Soccer Blast See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Ohio Premier Pre- UA (4th)	1–2	10%
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Northern Steel Select Soccer Blast (2nd)	0–4	2%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.17 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.