Scorpions SC Pre
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Northeast GU12 · 8 teams · Scorpions SC (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 05:00 PM
Union Point Sports Complex, Field 3 ↗ far trip
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 0–3 (expected goals 0.8 for, 3.8 against · 0.20 expected points)
| Season so far | Scorpions SC Pre | New England Surf Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-0-2 | 4-0-0 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Goals for / game | 1.8 | 6.3 |
| Goals against / game | 1.5 | 0.0 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 4 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W L W L | W W W W |
| Biggest win | 4–0 at Vale Rush United Pre | 11–0 at Vale Rush United Pre |
| Worst loss | 0–2 vs Albany Alleycats Pre | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.15 | +3.12 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.19 | -0.99 |
Common opponents: Select Northeast Pre — we 2–1; they 5–0. AC Connecticut Pre — we 1–3; they 1–0. Vale Rush United Pre — we 4–0; they 11–0.
Game plan
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Respect their attack
New England Surf Pre score 6.2/game — well above the league's 2.0.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
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Hard to break down
New England Surf Pre concede only 0.0/game with 4 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–2 vs Albany Alleycats Pre.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 4%; a draw (8%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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They arrive in form
New England Surf Pre have won 4 straight.Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.
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Away game
Kickoff 05:00 PM at Union Point Sports Complex.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the New England Surf Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Scorpions SC Pre – New England Surf Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 1.20 PPG |
5th— holds | 5th— holds | 5th— holds |
| Win 1.80 PPG |
5th— holds | 5th— holds | 5th— holds |
| Draw 1.40 PPG |
5th— holds | 5th— holds | 5th— holds |
| Loss 1.20 PPG |
5th— holds | 5th— holds | 5th— holds |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–3 loss we stay 5th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd <1%
- 3rd 3%
- 4th 56%
- 5th 40%
- 6th 1%
- 7th <1%
- 8th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 17 remaining known games (max 2.71 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New England Surf Pre | 3.00 (+1.50) | 1st (2.69) | 57 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection |
| 2 | Albany Alleycats Pre | 3.00 (+1.50) | 3rd (2.13) | 57 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection |
| 3 | AC Connecticut Pre | 2.25 (+0.75) | 2nd (2.14) | 42 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection |
| 4 | FC Stars New Hampshire Pre | 2.00 (+0.50) | 5th (1.40) | 36 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection |
How the results connect
9 chains · 7 teams
Paths of results that link Scorpions SC Pre to New England Surf Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
6 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.04 · 4th hardest of 8
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 05:00 PM |
New England Surf Pre 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +25 |
Away far trip
Union Point Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 4% |
0–3 | 0.20 | 1.24 | Upside |
| Sat Oct 31 01:00 PM |
Vale Rush United Pre 6th · 1-0-4 · GD -15 |
Home Lincoln School Athletic Complex @ Faxon Farm |
●○○○○ Favorable | 76% |
3–1 | 2.42 | 1.44 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 1 02:45 PM |
Albany Alleycats Pre 2nd · 4-0-0 · GD +9 |
Away far trip
Afrims Sports Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 17% |
0–2 | 0.72 | 1.33 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 09:00 AM |
Connecticut FC Legacy Pre 8th · 0-0-4 · GD -17 |
Away far trip
CFC Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 75% |
3–1 | 2.38 | 1.47 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 15 11:30 AM |
FC Stars New Hampshire Pre 4th · 2-0-1 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
MYSA Progin Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 39% |
1–1 | 1.41 | 1.46 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 27 TBD |
Select Northeast Pre 7th · 0-0-4 · GD -13 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 66% |
2–1 | 2.16 | 1.53 | Swing game |
| Sun Feb 28 TBD |
AC Connecticut Pre 3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +10 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 21% |
1–2 | 0.82 | 1.47 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 6 TBD |
FC Stars New Hampshire Pre 4th · 2-0-1 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 49% |
1–1 | 1.68 | 1.48 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 13 TBD |
AC Connecticut Pre 3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +10 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 21% |
1–2 | 0.82 | 1.43 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 TBD |
Connecticut FC Legacy Pre 8th · 0-0-4 · GD -17 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 83% |
3–1 | 2.58 | 1.51 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 10 TBD |
New England Surf Pre 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +25 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 7% |
0–3 | 0.32 | 1.43 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
Vale Rush United Pre 6th · 1-0-4 · GD -15 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 68% |
2–1 | 2.19 | 1.48 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 24 TBD |
Albany Alleycats Pre 2nd · 4-0-0 · GD +9 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 23% |
1–1 | 0.93 | 1.45 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 TBD |
Select Northeast Pre 7th · 0-0-4 · GD -13 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 74% |
2–0 | 2.37 | 1.50 | Bank it |
| Sat May 8 TBD |
FC Stars New Hampshire Pre 4th · 2-0-1 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 39% |
1–1 | 1.41 | 1.50 | Upside |
| Sat May 15 TBD |
Connecticut FC Legacy Pre 8th · 0-0-4 · GD -17 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 75% |
3–1 | 2.38 | 1.54 | Bank it |
| Sun Jun 6 TBD |
New England Surf Pre 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +25 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 4% |
0–3 | 0.20 | 1.48 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | New England Surf Pre | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | +25 | 12 | 3.00 | WWWW | -0.99 | -0.29 | 100% | 1.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Albany Alleycats Pre · Sun Oct 25 vs Scorpions SC Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs FC Stars New Hampshire Pre See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Albany Alleycats Pre | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | +9 | 12 | 3.00 | WWWW | -0.80 | +0.02 | 100% | 2.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Connecticut FC Legacy Pre · Sun Oct 25 at New England Surf Pre · Sat Oct 31 vs AC Connecticut Pre See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | AC Connecticut Pre | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | +10 | 9 | 2.25 | WLWW | -0.13 | -0.20 | 100% | 2.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 vs Connecticut FC Legacy Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs Vale Rush United Pre · Sat Oct 31 at Albany Alleycats Pre See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | FC Stars New Hampshire Pre | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | +0 | 6 | 2.00 | WWL | -0.86 | +0.20 | 41% | 4.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Select Northeast Pre · Sun Nov 1 at New England Surf Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs Connecticut FC Legacy Pre See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Scorpions SC Pre | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 6 | 1.50 | LWLW | -0.19 | +0.04 | 59% | 4.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at New England Surf Pre · Sat Oct 31 vs Vale Rush United Pre · Sun Nov 1 at Albany Alleycats Pre See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Vale Rush United Pre | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 21 | -15 | 3 | 0.60 | LLLWL | +0.27 | +0.22 | 0% | 6.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at AC Connecticut Pre · Sat Oct 31 at Scorpions SC Pre · Sat Nov 14 at New England Surf Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Select Northeast Pre | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 14 | -13 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLL | +1.51 | -0.05 | 0% | 6.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at FC Stars New Hampshire Pre · Sat Oct 31 at Connecticut FC Legacy Pre · Sun Nov 15 vs Vale Rush United Pre See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Connecticut FC Legacy Pre | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 21 | -17 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLL | +0.60 | +0.27 | 0% | 7.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 at AC Connecticut Pre · Sat Oct 24 at Albany Alleycats Pre · Sat Oct 31 vs Select Northeast Pre See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.04 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.