Nido Dallas Pre Silos

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Railroad Park , Field 10 ↗

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 3.0 for, 1.1 against · 2.38 expected points)

Common opponents: SOLAR PRE- JAIME — we 1–0; they 0–5. SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN — we 0–4; they 2–6. FC Dallas Youth Pre- Stark — we 0–0; they 2–0.

• They leak goals — be greedy
  Sting Pre- Tapia concede 3.5/game; worst result 0–5 vs SOLAR PRE- JAIME.

  Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

• Finishing wins the tight ones
  Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–1 vs Dallas Texans Pre- Martinez, 0–4 at SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN, 0–0 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Stark.

  Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

• Expected win — the trap is complacency
  Model gives a 75% chance; likely score 2–1.

  Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

• Confidence is low on their side
  Sting Pre- Tapia have lost 3 straight (form: WLLL).

  Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

• What a win does
  SOLAR PRE- JAIME sit 4th on 1.80 PPG; we are on 1.67.

  A point moves us above SOLAR PRE- JAIME on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

Where we'd sit after the Sting Pre- Tapia game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Nido Dallas Pre Silos – Sting Pre- Tapia) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 4th if every rival drops points, and as low as 5th if every rival wins.

1. 1st
2. 2nd <1%
3. 3rd 5%
4. 4th 15%
5. 5th 62%
6. 6th 14%
7. 7th 3%
8. 8th <1%
9. 9th
10. 10th
11. 11th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 2 remaining known games (max 2.00 PPG if we win out).