Kernow Storm FC Pre- NTX Lopez
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- North Texas GU12 · 11 teams · Kernow Storm FC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 03:30 PM
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 0–8 (expected goals 0.8 for, 8.3 against · 0.01 expected points)
| Season so far | Kernow Storm FC Pre- NTX Lopez | SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 11th | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-4 | 5-0-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.5 | 4.0 |
| Goals against / game | 6.5 | 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L L | W W W W W |
| Biggest win | — | 4–0 vs Nido Dallas Pre Silos |
| Worst loss | 0–11 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Stark | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -3.20 | +2.00 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.84 | +0.18 |
Common opponents: Nido Dallas Pre Silos — we 1–6; they 4–0. Dallas Texans Pre- Grady — we 1–5; they 3–1.
Game plan
-
Respect their attack
SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN score 4.0/game — well above the league's 1.9.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
-
Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–4 at FRISCO FUSION Pre AXON, 0–11 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Stark.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
-
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 0%; a draw (1%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
-
They arrive in form
SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN have won 5 straight.Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.
-
Away game
Kickoff 03:30 PM at Railroad Park .Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
-
What a win does
FC Dallas Youth Pre- O'Malley sit 10th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above FC Dallas Youth Pre- O'Malley on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Kernow Storm FC Pre- NTX Lopez – SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.00 PPG |
11th— holds | 11th— holds | 11th— holds |
| Win 0.60 PPG |
10th▲ up 1 | 10th▲ up 1 | 10th▲ up 1 |
| Draw 0.20 PPG |
10th▲ up 1 | 10th▲ up 1 | 10th▲ up 1 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
11th— holds | 11th— holds | 11th— holds |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–8 loss we stay 11th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th
- 6th
- 7th
- 8th <1%
- 9th 3%
- 10th 27%
- 11th 70%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 4 remaining known games (max 1.50 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN | 3.00 (+3.00) | 1st (2.81) | 24 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Dallas Texans Pre- Grady | 2.50 (+2.50) | 2nd (2.23) | 20 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- Stark | 2.17 (+2.17) | 3rd (2.12) | 18 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 4 | SOLAR PRE- JAIME | 1.80 (+1.80) | 4th (2.03) | 15 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 5 | Nido Dallas Pre Silos | 1.67 (+1.67) | 5th (1.69) | 14 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 6 | FRISCO FUSION Pre AXON | 1.20 (+1.20) | 8th (1.18) | 10 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection |
| 7 | Dallas Texans Pre- Martinez | 1.17 (+1.17) | 7th (1.19) | 10 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection |
| 8 | Sting Pre- Wong | 1.00 (+1.00) | 6th (1.35) | 8 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection |
| 9 | Sting Pre- Tapia | 0.75 (+0.75) | 9th (0.79) | 6 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 7 for their projection |
| 10 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- O'Malley | 0.00 (+0.00) | 10th (0.32) | Already ahead |
How the results connect
8 chains · 9 teams
Paths of results that link Kernow Storm FC Pre- NTX Lopez to SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
12 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.15 · 5th hardest of 11
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 03:30 PM |
SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +15 |
Away Railroad Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 0% |
0–8 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Upside |
| Sun Oct 25 11:00 AM |
Sting Pre- Wong 8th · 1-1-2 · GD -3 |
Home Railroad Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 9% |
1–3 | 0.38 | 0.06 | Upside |
| Thu Nov 5 08:30 PM |
FC Dallas Youth Pre- O'Malley 10th · 0-0-5 · GD -16 |
Home Railroad Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 34% |
2–2 | 1.22 | 0.23 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 08:00 AM |
SOLAR PRE- JAIME 4th · 3-0-2 · GD +5 |
Away Fairview Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 1% |
0–5 | 0.07 | 0.21 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 5 | +15 | 15 | 3.00 | WWWWW | +0.18 | -1.06 | 100% | 1.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Kernow Storm FC Pre- NTX Lopez · Sun Oct 25 at Dallas Texans Pre- Martinez · Sun Nov 1 vs FRISCO FUSION Pre AXON See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | Dallas Texans Pre- Grady | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 5 | +12 | 15 | 2.50 | WWWWW | -0.77 | +0.98 | 91% | 2.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Stark · Sun Nov 1 at Nido Dallas Pre Silos See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- Stark | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 2 | +15 | 13 | 2.17 | LWWWD | -0.94 | +0.42 | 96% | 2.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Dallas Texans Pre- Grady · Sat Nov 7 vs Sting Pre- Wong See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | SOLAR PRE- JAIME | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 9 | 1.80 | WLLWW | +0.20 | -1.63 | 91% | 3.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FRISCO FUSION Pre AXON · Sat Nov 7 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- O'Malley · Sun Nov 8 vs Kernow Storm FC Pre- NTX Lopez See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | Nido Dallas Pre Silos | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 10 | 1.67 | LWWLD | -0.09 | +0.02 | 19% | 5.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Sting Pre- Tapia · Sun Nov 1 vs Dallas Texans Pre- Grady See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | FRISCO FUSION Pre AXON | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 6 | 1.20 | WWLLL | -0.49 | +0.56 | 1% | 7.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at SOLAR PRE- JAIME · Sun Nov 1 at SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN · Sat Nov 7 at Sting Pre- Tapia See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | Dallas Texans Pre- Martinez | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 7 | 1.17 | WWLLD | +0.29 | +0.46 | 0% | 7.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Sting Pre- Tapia · Sun Oct 25 vs SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | Sting Pre- Wong | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 4 | 1.00 | LLDW | +0.66 | -1.18 | 2% | 6.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Kernow Storm FC Pre- NTX Lopez · Sun Nov 1 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- O'Malley · Sat Nov 7 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Stark See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | Sting Pre- Tapia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 3 | 0.75 | WLLL | +1.33 | +0.07 | 0% | 8.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Dallas Texans Pre- Martinez · Sun Oct 25 at Nido Dallas Pre Silos · Sat Nov 7 vs FRISCO FUSION Pre AXON See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- O'Malley | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.66 | -0.91 | 0% | 10.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Sting Pre- Wong · Thu Nov 5 at Kernow Storm FC Pre- NTX Lopez · Sat Nov 7 vs SOLAR PRE- JAIME See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | Kernow Storm FC Pre- NTX Lopez | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 26 | -24 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLL | +0.84 | +0.15 | 0% | 10.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at SOLAR PRE- KLASSEN · Sun Oct 25 vs Sting Pre- Wong · Thu Nov 5 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- O'Malley See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.93 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.