Sting Pre- Fuentes Brave
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- North Texas GU11 · 12 teams · Sting Soccer Club (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 04:00 PM
Fairview Soccer Park , Field 3A ↗
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.4 for, 1.7 against · 1.21 expected points)
| Season so far | Sting Pre- Fuentes Brave | FC Dallas Youth Pre- Avant West |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-1-2 | 3-2-1 |
| Points per game | 1.86 | 1.83 |
| Goals for / game | 2.0 | 2.5 |
| Goals against / game | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 3 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W L W L | D W W W D |
| Biggest win | 7–0 at FRISCO FUSION Pre MIRSKY | 4–0 at FRISCO FUSION Pre MIRSKY |
| Worst loss | 0–5 at Sting WTX Pre- Munoz | 1–2 vs Nido Dallas Pre A. Rivas |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.47 | +1.00 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.28 | -0.03 |
Common opponents: Nido Dallas Pre A. Rivas — we 0–0; they 1–2. Sting WTX Pre- Munoz — we 0–5; they 2–2. FRISCO FUSION Pre MIRSKY — we 7–0; they 4–0. FC Dallas Youth Pre- McAnally — we 0–3; they 2–0. Sting Pre- Bagwell — we 1–0; they 1–1. FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans — we 5–1; they 5–1.
Game plan
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–0 vs Nido Dallas Pre A. Rivas, 0–5 at Sting WTX Pre- Munoz, 0–3 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- McAnally.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 32%; a draw (23%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the FC Dallas Youth Pre- Avant West game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Sting Pre- Fuentes Brave – FC Dallas Youth Pre- Avant West) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.75 PPG |
3rd— holds | 3rd— holds | 3rd— holds |
| Win 2.00 PPG |
3rd— holds | 3rd— holds | 3rd— holds |
| Draw 1.75 PPG |
3rd— holds | 3rd— holds | 3rd— holds |
| Loss 1.63 PPG |
5th▼ down 2 | 5th▼ down 2 | 7th▼ down 4 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 3rd even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd 2%
- 3rd 25%
- 4th 25%
- 5th 35%
- 6th 13%
- 7th 1%
- 8th
- 9th
- 10th
- 11th
- 12th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 1 remaining known games (max 2.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SOLAR PRE- CAMPOS | 3.00 (+1.14) | 2nd (2.43) | 11 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 7 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Sting WTX Pre- Munoz | 2.75 (+0.89) | 1st (2.75) | 9 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 9 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
How the results connect
22 chains · 8 teams
Paths of results that link Sting Pre- Fuentes Brave to FC Dallas Youth Pre- Avant West through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
12 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +1.00 · 1st hardest of 10
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 04:00 PM |
FC Dallas Youth Pre- Avant West 4th · 3-2-1 · GD +9 |
Home Fairview Soccer Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 32% |
1–1 | 1.21 | 1.78 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | SOLAR PRE- CAMPOS | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | +8 | 12 | 3.00 | WWWW | -0.94 | -0.04 | 99% | 2.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- McAnally · Sun Oct 25 vs Sting Pre- Bagwell · Sat Oct 31 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Sting WTX Pre- Munoz | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 9 | +21 | 22 | 2.75 | WWWWD | -0.22 | — | 100% | 1.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 3 | Sting Pre- Fuentes Brave | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 13 | 1.86 | LWLWW | -0.28 | +1.00 | 52% | 4.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Avant West See all 1 future matchup ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- Avant West | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | +9 | 11 | 1.83 | DWWWD | -0.03 | +0.68 | 58% | 4.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Sting Pre- Fuentes Brave · Sat Nov 7 vs SOLAR PRE- CAMPOS See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Nido Dallas Pre A. Rivas | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 10 | 1.67 | DLLWW | +0.15 | -0.61 | 71% | 4.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at Sting Pre- Bagwell · Sat Nov 7 vs FRISCO FUSION Pre MIRSKY See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- McAnally | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 6 | 1.20 | LLLWW | +0.08 | -0.67 | 3% | 6.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs SOLAR PRE- CAMPOS · Sun Oct 25 at SOLAR PRE- JIMENEZ · Sat Nov 7 at SOLAR PRE- MADRID See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Sting Pre- Bagwell | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 4 | 1.00 | LDLW | +0.47 | -0.31 | 17% | 5.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs SOLAR PRE- MADRID · Sun Oct 25 at SOLAR PRE- CAMPOS · Sat Oct 31 vs Nido Dallas Pre A. Rivas See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | FRISCO FUSION Pre MIRSKY | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 4 | 0.80 | WDLLL | +0.19 | -0.69 | 0% | 8.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at SOLAR PRE- JIMENEZ · Sat Oct 31 at SOLAR PRE- MADRID · Sat Nov 7 at Nido Dallas Pre A. Rivas See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 1 | 0.20 | LDLLL | +0.24 | +0.08 | 0% | 10.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs SOLAR PRE- CAMPOS · Sun Nov 1 at Sting Pre- Bagwell · Sat Nov 7 vs SOLAR PRE- JIMENEZ See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | DKSC Pre- Rivas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. |
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| 11 | SOLAR PRE- JIMENEZ | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLL | +0.99 | -1.27 | 0% | 8.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FRISCO FUSION Pre MIRSKY · Sun Oct 25 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- McAnally · Sun Nov 1 vs SOLAR PRE- MADRID See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | SOLAR PRE- MADRID | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 18 | -15 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLL | +1.04 | -0.69 | 0% | 10.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Sting Pre- Bagwell · Sat Oct 31 vs FRISCO FUSION Pre MIRSKY · Sun Nov 1 at SOLAR PRE- JIMENEZ See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.86 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.