Sting Pre- Fuentes
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- North Texas GU10 · 11 teams · Sting Soccer Club (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 11:30 AM
Fairview Soccer Park , Field 1B ↗
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.3 for, 1.4 against · 1.28 expected points)
| Season so far | Sting Pre- Fuentes | DKSC Pre- Esquivel Black |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 10th | 8th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-2-4 | 1-1-2 |
| Points per game | 0.33 | 1.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals against / game | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L L D | W L D L |
| Biggest win | — | 3–0 vs Sting Pre- Prokof |
| Worst loss | 0–2 at BVBIA DFW Pre | 0–5 at Sting WTX Pre- Thompson |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.66 | -0.31 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.42 | +0.95 |
Common opponents: BVBIA DFW Pre — we 0–2; they 1–3. Sting WTX Pre- Thompson — we 1–3; they 0–5. SOLAR PRE- GONZALEZ — we 1–3; they 0–0.
Game plan
-
Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–0 at SOLAR PRE- CAMPOS, 0–2 at BVBIA DFW Pre.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
-
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 34%; a draw (26%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the DKSC Pre- Esquivel Black game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Sting Pre- Fuentes – DKSC Pre- Esquivel Black) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 0.43 PPG |
10th— holds | 10th— holds | 11th▼ down 1 |
| Win 0.71 PPG |
10th— holds | 9th▲ up 1 | 10th— holds |
| Draw 0.43 PPG |
10th— holds | 10th— holds | 11th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 0.29 PPG |
10th— holds | 10th— holds | 11th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 10th even if every rival loses, and as low as 11th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th
- 6th <1%
- 7th 2%
- 8th 4%
- 9th 17%
- 10th 64%
- 11th 14%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 2 remaining known games (max 1.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sting WTX Pre- Thompson | 3.00 (+2.67) | 1st (3.00) | 22 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | BVBIA DFW Pre | 2.00 (+1.67) | 2nd (2.07) | 14 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | SOLAR PRE- GONZALEZ | 2.00 (+1.67) | 3rd (2.01) | 14 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 4 | FRISCO FUSION Pre ARANHA | 1.50 (+1.17) | 4th (1.47) | 10 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 5 | Sting Pre- Prokof | 1.33 (+1.00) | 6th (1.34) | 9 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 9 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 6 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans | 1.33 (+1.00) | 8th (1.28) | 9 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 9 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 7 | SOLAR PRE- JENKINS | 1.00 (+0.67) | 5th (1.39) | 6 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 8 | DKSC Pre- Esquivel Black | 1.00 (+0.67) | 7th (1.29) | 6 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 9 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 9 | SOLAR PRE- CAMPOS | 0.83 (+0.50) | 9th (0.81) | 5 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 5 for their projection |
How the results connect
15 chains · 9 teams
Paths of results that link Sting Pre- Fuentes to DKSC Pre- Esquivel Black through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
11 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.18 · 5th hardest of 10
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 11:30 AM |
DKSC Pre- Esquivel Black 8th · 1-1-2 · GD -4 |
Home Fairview Soccer Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 34% |
1–1 | 1.28 | 0.47 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 7 08:30 AM |
Sting Pre- Prokof 5th · 2-2-2 · GD +0 |
Away Fairview Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 21% |
1–2 | 0.82 | 0.51 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sting WTX Pre- Thompson | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 4 | +25 | 24 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.03 | — | 100% | 1.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | BVBIA DFW Pre | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 6 | +13 | 12 | 2.00 | LWLWW | -0.29 | -0.25 | 98% | 2.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs SOLAR PRE- CAMPOS · Sat Oct 31 at Sting Pre- Prokof See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | SOLAR PRE- GONZALEZ | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 10 | 2.00 | LWDWW | +0.14 | -1.01 | 95% | 2.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- McAnally · Sat Oct 31 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans · Sat Nov 7 at SOLAR PRE- CAMPOS See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | FRISCO FUSION Pre ARANHA | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 9 | 1.50 | WLWLL | +0.22 | -0.27 | 34% | 5.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at SOLAR PRE- JENKINS · Sat Oct 31 at DKSC Pre- Esquivel Black See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | Sting Pre- Prokof | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 16 | +0 | 8 | 1.33 | LLDWD | -0.23 | +0.36 | 12% | 5.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs BVBIA DFW Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs Sting Pre- Fuentes See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 8 | 1.33 | LWWLD | -0.24 | +0.04 | 9% | 6.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs SOLAR PRE- GONZALEZ · Sat Nov 7 vs SOLAR PRE- JENKINS See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | SOLAR PRE- JENKINS | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 4 | 1.00 | LLDW | +0.46 | -0.75 | 34% | 5.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FRISCO FUSION Pre ARANHA · Sat Oct 31 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- McAnally · Sun Nov 1 vs DKSC Pre- Esquivel Black See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | DKSC Pre- Esquivel Black | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 | 1.00 | LDLW | +0.95 | -0.70 | 17% | 6.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Sting Pre- Fuentes · Sat Oct 31 vs FRISCO FUSION Pre ARANHA · Sun Nov 1 at SOLAR PRE- JENKINS See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | SOLAR PRE- CAMPOS | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 | 0.83 | DWDLL | -0.23 | +0.85 | 0% | 8.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at BVBIA DFW Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs SOLAR PRE- GONZALEZ See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | Sting Pre- Fuentes | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 2 | 0.33 | DLLLL | +0.42 | -0.18 | 0% | 9.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs DKSC Pre- Esquivel Black · Sat Nov 7 at Sting Pre- Prokof See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- McAnally | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 16 | -15 | 1 | 0.20 | LLLDL | +0.01 | -0.08 | 0% | 10.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs SOLAR PRE- GONZALEZ · Sat Oct 31 at SOLAR PRE- JENKINS · Sat Nov 7 at DKSC Pre- Esquivel Black See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.90 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.