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FC Dallas Youth Pre- McAnally

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- North Texas GU10 · 11 teams · FC Dallas Youth (all teams)

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11th
0-1-4 record · 5 played
0.20 points per game
-15 goal diff · 1–16
LLLDLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 10.8
+0.01 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 11:00 AM

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FC Dallas Youth Pre- McAnally
11th · 0.20 PPG
vs
SOLAR PRE- GONZALEZ
3rd · 2.00 PPG

Railroad Park , Field 10 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–2 (expected goals 0.8 for, 2.7 against · 0.41 expected points)

Season so farFC Dallas Youth Pre- McAnallySOLAR PRE- GONZALEZ
Position11th3rd
Record (W-D-L)0-1-43-1-1
Points per game0.202.00
Goals for / game0.22.0
Goals against / game3.21.6
Clean sheets11
Held scoreless42
Form (recent first)L D L L LW W D W L
Biggest win—5–2 vs FRISCO FUSION Pre ARANHA
Worst loss0–7 at BVBIA DFW Pre0–4 at Sting WTX Pre- Thompson
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.81+0.32
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.01+0.14

Common opponents: FRISCO FUSION Pre ARANHA — we 0–1; they 5–2.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 4 time(s): 0–1 at FRISCO FUSION Pre ARANHA, 0–3 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans, 0–0 vs SOLAR PRE- CAMPOS, 0–7 at BVBIA DFW Pre.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 9%; a draw (14%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    Sting Pre- Fuentes sit 10th on 0.33 PPG; we are on 0.20.

    A point moves us above Sting Pre- Fuentes on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the SOLAR PRE- GONZALEZ game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Dallas Youth Pre- McAnally – SOLAR PRE- GONZALEZ) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.17 PPG
11th— holds 11th— holds 11th— holds
Win
0.67 PPG
10th▲ up 1 10th▲ up 1 11th— holds
Draw
0.33 PPG
11th— holds 11th— holds 11th— holds
Loss
0.17 PPG
11th— holds 11th— holds 11th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–2 loss we stay 11th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
10.8 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th <1%
  9. 9th 2%
  10. 10th 13%
  11. 11th 85%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 3 remaining known games (max 1.25 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Sting WTX Pre- Thompson 3.00 (+2.80) 1st (3.00) 23 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 BVBIA DFW Pre 2.00 (+1.80) 2nd (2.07) 15 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 SOLAR PRE- GONZALEZ 2.00 (+1.80) 3rd (2.01) 15 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 FRISCO FUSION Pre ARANHA 1.50 (+1.30) 4th (1.47) 11 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 Sting Pre- Prokof 1.33 (+1.13) 6th (1.34) 10 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
6 FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans 1.33 (+1.13) 8th (1.28) 10 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
7 SOLAR PRE- JENKINS 1.00 (+0.80) 5th (1.39) 7 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
8 DKSC Pre- Esquivel Black 1.00 (+0.80) 7th (1.29) 7 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
9 SOLAR PRE- CAMPOS 0.83 (+0.63) 9th (0.81) 6 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 6 for their projection
10 Sting Pre- Fuentes 0.33 (+0.13) 10th (0.51) Already ahead

How the results connect

14 chains · 11 teams

Paths of results that link FC Dallas Youth Pre- McAnally to SOLAR PRE- GONZALEZ through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
1 even
12 favour them
-4.6 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–1 2–5 0–3 4–0 0–0 0–3 0–0 1–3 3–2 1–5 2–4 0–7 3–1 0–0 0–3 1–1 3–3 1–2 0–3 2–0 0–3 FC Dallas Youth Pre… 11th FRISCO FUSION Pre A… 4th SOLAR PRE- CAMPOS 9th Sting Pre- Prokof 5th BVBIA DFW Pre 2nd FC Dallas Youth Pre… 6th Sting WTX Pre- Thom… 1st Sting Pre- Fuentes 10th DKSC Pre- Esquivel … 8th SOLAR PRE- JENKINS 7th SOLAR PRE- GONZALEZ 3rd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 6th 11th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 27 Oct 4 Oct 11 Oct 22

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.08 · 4th hardest of 10

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
11:00 AM
SOLAR PRE- GONZALEZ
3rd · 3-1-1 · GD +2
Home
Railroad Park
●●●●● Very tough
9%
0–2 0.41 0.23 Upside
Sat Oct 31
11:00 AM
SOLAR PRE- JENKINS
7th · 1-1-2 · GD -3
Away
Railroad Park
●●●●● Very tough
8%
0–3 0.38 0.26 Upside
Sat Nov 7
01:00 PM
DKSC Pre- Esquivel Black
8th · 1-1-2 · GD -4
Away
Fairview Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
11%
0–2 0.52 0.29 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Sting WTX Pre- Thompson 8800 294+25 243.00 WWWWW -0.03 — 100% 1.0
2 BVBIA DFW Pre 6402 196+13 122.00 LWLWW -0.29 -0.25 98% 2.5
3 SOLAR PRE- GONZALEZ 5311 108+2 102.00 LWDWW +0.14 -1.01 95% 2.9
4 FRISCO FUSION Pre ARANHA 6303 1213-1 91.50 WLWLL +0.22 -0.27 34% 5.3
5 Sting Pre- Prokof 6222 1616+0 81.33 LLDWD -0.23 +0.36 12% 5.9
6 FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans 6222 1218-6 81.33 LWWLD -0.24 +0.04 9% 6.7
7 SOLAR PRE- JENKINS 4112 811-3 41.00 LLDW +0.46 -0.75 34% 5.7
8 DKSC Pre- Esquivel Black 4112 48-4 41.00 LDLW +0.95 -0.70 17% 6.4
9 SOLAR PRE- CAMPOS 6123 37-4 50.83 DWDLL -0.23 +0.85 0% 8.9
10 Sting Pre- Fuentes 6024 512-7 20.33 DLLLL +0.42 -0.18 0% 9.8
11 FC Dallas Youth Pre- McAnally 5014 116-15 10.20 LLLDL +0.01 -0.08 0% 10.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.90 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.