SLSG Green Academy II Pre
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Heartland GU12 · 10 teams · St. Louis Scott Gallagher (all teams)
Next game — Sat Nov 7, 08:00 AM
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.4 for, 3.3 against · 0.51 expected points)
| Season so far | SLSG Green Academy II Pre | SLSG Navy Academy II Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 8th | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-1-2 | 5-0-0 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| Goals for / game | 3.2 | 4.4 |
| Goals against / game | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W L L W D | W W W W W |
| Biggest win | 7–0 vs Toca Fusion Premier Pre | 10–0 at Toca Fusion Premier Pre |
| Worst loss | 1–3 at Kansas City Athletics Pre- Royal | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.63 | +2.22 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.20 | -0.33 |
Common opponents: Sporting Blue Valley Pre- II — we 3–3; they 4–0. Toca Fusion Premier Pre — we 7–0; they 10–0. Kansas City Athletics Pre- Royal — we 1–3; they 2–1. Gretna Elite Academy Pre- II — we 3–1; they 2–0.
Game plan
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Respect their attack
SLSG Navy Academy II Pre score 4.4/game — well above the league's 2.5.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
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Hard to break down
SLSG Navy Academy II Pre concede only 0.6/game with 3 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 13%; a draw (13%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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They arrive in form
SLSG Navy Academy II Pre have won 5 straight.Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.
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Away game
Kickoff 08:00 AM at WWT Soccer Park.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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Early kickoff
Game time 08:00 AM.Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
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What a win does
Gretna Elite Academy Pre- II sit 7th on 1.40 PPG; we are on 1.40.A point moves us above Gretna Elite Academy Pre- II on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the SLSG Navy Academy II Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (SLSG Green Academy II Pre – SLSG Navy Academy II Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 1 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 1.17 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 8th— holds |
| Win 1.67 PPG |
4th▲ up 4 | 4th▲ up 4 | 6th▲ up 2 |
| Draw 1.33 PPG |
8th— holds | 7th▲ up 1 | 8th— holds |
| Loss 1.17 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 8th— holds |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–3 loss we finish as high as 7th if every rival drops points, and as low as 8th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st <1%
- 2nd 1%
- 3rd 4%
- 4th 9%
- 5th 14%
- 6th 22%
- 7th 24%
- 8th 25%
- 9th 1%
- 10th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 4 remaining known games (max 2.11 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SLSG Navy Academy II Pre | 3.00 (+1.60) | 1st (2.72) | 20 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Sporting Blue Valley Pre- II | 2.00 (+0.60) | 2nd (2.00) | 11 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection |
| 3 | Kansas City Athletics Pre- Royal | 1.75 (+0.35) | 3rd (1.74) | 9 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 9 for their projection |
| 4 | SLSG IL Academy II Pre | 1.67 (+0.27) | 5th (1.58) | 9 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 8 for their projection |
| 5 | Missouri Rush Pre- White | 1.50 (+0.10) | 8th (1.37) | A point next game |
| 6 | Sporting Iowa Pre- II | 1.50 (+0.10) | 6th (1.39) | A point next game |
| 7 | Gretna Elite Academy Pre- II | 1.40 (+0.00) | 4th (1.60) | A point next game |
How the results connect
23 chains · 7 teams
Paths of results that link SLSG Green Academy II Pre to SLSG Navy Academy II Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
11 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.38 · 5th hardest of 8
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Nov 7 08:00 AM |
SLSG Navy Academy II Pre 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +19 |
Away WWT Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 13% |
1–3 | 0.51 | 1.25 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 11:00 AM |
SLSG IL Academy II Pre 4th · 3-1-2 · GD +6 |
Away far trip
Collinsville Soccer Complex · turf |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.25 | 1.25 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 TBD |
Sporting Iowa Pre- II 6th · 1-0-1 · GD +3 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 41% |
2–2 | 1.42 | 1.27 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 21 TBD |
AFA Fillies Pre 9th · 1-0-4 · GD -13 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 72% |
3–1 | 2.29 | 1.39 | Bank it |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | SLSG Navy Academy II Pre | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 3 | +19 | 15 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.33 | -0.02 | 100% | 1.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 vs SLSG Green Academy II Pre · Sat Nov 14 at Sporting Iowa Pre- II · Sat Nov 21 at Missouri Rush Pre- White See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Sporting Blue Valley Pre- II | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 20 | +10 | 18 | 2.00 | DDDWW | -0.05 | — | 100% | 2.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 3 | Kansas City Athletics Pre- Royal | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 14 | +13 | 14 | 1.75 | DDWLW | -0.11 | +0.27 | 71% | 3.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Sporting Iowa Pre- II See all 1 future matchup ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | SLSG IL Academy II Pre | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 10 | +6 | 10 | 1.67 | LWWDL | -0.16 | +0.51 | 34% | 5.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Sporting Iowa Pre- II · Sun Oct 25 at Gretna Elite Academy Pre- II · Sun Nov 8 vs SLSG Green Academy II Pre See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Missouri Rush Pre- White | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | +6 | 9 | 1.50 | LLWLW | -0.46 | +1.04 | 14% | 6.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Gretna Elite Academy Pre- II · Sun Oct 25 at Sporting Iowa Pre- II · Sat Nov 21 vs SLSG Navy Academy II Pre See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Sporting Iowa Pre- II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 1.50 | LW | -1.98 | +0.59 | 23% | 6.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs AFA Fillies Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs SLSG IL Academy II Pre · Sun Oct 25 vs Kansas City Athletics Pre- Royal See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Gretna Elite Academy Pre- II | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11 | +6 | 7 | 1.40 | WWDLL | +0.22 | -0.04 | 44% | 4.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Missouri Rush Pre- White · Sat Oct 24 vs AFA Fillies Pre · Sun Oct 25 vs SLSG IL Academy II Pre See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | SLSG Green Academy II Pre | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 10 | +6 | 7 | 1.40 | DWLLW | -0.20 | +0.38 | 14% | 6.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at SLSG Navy Academy II Pre · Sun Nov 8 at SLSG IL Academy II Pre · Sat Nov 14 at Sporting Iowa Pre- II See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | AFA Fillies Pre | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 3 | 0.60 | LWLLL | -0.24 | +0.94 | 0% | 9.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Sporting Iowa Pre- II · Sat Oct 24 at Gretna Elite Academy Pre- II · Sat Nov 21 vs SLSG Green Academy II Pre See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Toca Fusion Premier Pre | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 60 | -56 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.63 | — | 0% | 10.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.49 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.