Kansas City Athletics Pre- Navy
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Heartland GU12 · 10 teams · KC Athletics (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 12:30 PM
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.7 for, 1.2 against · 2.25 expected points)
| Season so far | Kansas City Athletics Pre- Navy | FC United (Iowa) Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 9th | 10th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-0-5 | 0-0-3 |
| Points per game | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| Goals against / game | 2.2 | 5.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 4 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | W L L L L | L L L |
| Biggest win | 6–1 at Toca Fusion Elite Pre | — |
| Worst loss | 2–6 vs Gretna Elite Academy Pre- I | 0–9 at Sporting Blue Valley Pre |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.58 | -2.07 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.20 | +0.31 |
Common opponents: Toca Fusion Elite Pre — we 6–1; they 0–1.
Game plan
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They struggle to score
FC United (Iowa) Pre average 0.3 goals/game (league avg 2.1); blanked in 2 of 3.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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They leak goals — be greedy
FC United (Iowa) Pre concede 5.0/game; worst result 0–9 at Sporting Blue Valley Pre.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 4 time(s): 0–2 vs Missouri Rush Pre- Blue, 0–1 vs SLSG IL Academy I Pre, 0–1 vs SLSG Green Academy I Pre, 0–2 vs SLSG Navy Academy I Pre.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 70% / draw 16% / loss 14%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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Confidence is low on their side
FC United (Iowa) Pre have lost 3 straight (form: LLL).Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
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What a win does
SLSG IL Academy I Pre sit 8th on 0.60 PPG; we are on 0.50.A point moves us above SLSG IL Academy I Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the FC United (Iowa) Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Kansas City Athletics Pre- Navy – FC United (Iowa) Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 0.86 PPG |
7th▲ up 2 | 7th▲ up 2 | 9th— holds |
| Win 0.86 PPG |
7th▲ up 2 | 7th▲ up 2 | 9th— holds |
| Draw 0.57 PPG |
9th— holds | 8th▲ up 1 | 10th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 0.43 PPG |
10th▼ down 1 | 10th▼ down 1 | 10th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 7th if every rival drops points, and as low as 9th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th
- 6th 1%
- 7th 58%
- 8th 19%
- 9th 15%
- 10th 7%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 3 remaining known games (max 1.33 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SLSG Navy Academy I Pre | 3.00 (+2.50) | 1st (2.71) | 24 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Sporting Blue Valley Pre | 2.63 (+2.13) | 2nd (2.62) | 21 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | Sporting Iowa Pre- I | 2.00 (+1.50) | 4th (1.87) | 15 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 4 | Gretna Elite Academy Pre- I | 1.80 (+1.30) | 3rd (2.01) | 14 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 5 | SLSG Green Academy I Pre | 1.80 (+1.30) | 5th (1.70) | 14 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 6 | Missouri Rush Pre- Blue | 1.80 (+1.30) | 6th (1.50) | 14 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 7 | Toca Fusion Elite Pre | 0.67 (+0.17) | 8th (0.67) | A point next game |
| 8 | SLSG IL Academy I Pre | 0.60 (+0.10) | 9th (0.60) | A point next game |
How the results connect
13 chains · 10 teams
Paths of results that link Kansas City Athletics Pre- Navy to FC United (Iowa) Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
10 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.45 · 1st hardest of 9
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Oct 19 07:30 PM no score posted |
Sporting Blue Valley Pre 2nd · 7-0-1 · GD +29 |
Home Paragon Star Soccer Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 6% |
1–3 | 0.28 | 0.47 | Upside |
| Sat Oct 24 12:30 PM |
FC United (Iowa) Pre 10th · 0-0-3 · GD -14 |
Home HyVee Multiplex |
●●○○○ Lean win | 70% |
2–1 | 2.25 | 0.69 | Swing game |
| Sun Oct 25 10:30 AM |
Sporting Iowa Pre- I 3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +7 |
Away far trip
HyVee Multiplex |
●●●●● Very tough | 13% |
1–3 | 0.52 | 0.67 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | SLSG Navy Academy I Pre | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | +15 | 15 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.26 | -0.16 | 100% | 1.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 vs SLSG Green Academy I Pre · Sat Nov 14 at Sporting Iowa Pre- I · Sat Nov 14 at FC United (Iowa) Pre See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Sporting Blue Valley Pre | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 8 | +29 | 21 | 2.63 | WWWWW | -0.30 | -0.58 | 100% | 1.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Oct 19 at Kansas City Athletics Pre- Navy See all 1 future matchup ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Sporting Iowa Pre- I | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | +7 | 6 | 2.00 | LWW | -0.80 | +0.19 | 68% | 4.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs SLSG IL Academy I Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs Missouri Rush Pre- Blue · Sun Oct 25 vs Kansas City Athletics Pre- Navy See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Gretna Elite Academy Pre- I | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | +8 | 9 | 1.80 | WWLLW | +0.48 | -0.63 | 89% | 3.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Missouri Rush Pre- Blue · Sat Oct 24 vs SLSG IL Academy I Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs Sporting Iowa Pre- I See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | SLSG Green Academy I Pre | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 9 | 1.80 | WLWWL | +0.11 | -0.21 | 31% | 4.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at SLSG Navy Academy I Pre · Sun Nov 8 at SLSG IL Academy I Pre · Sat Nov 14 at Sporting Iowa Pre- I See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Missouri Rush Pre- Blue | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 9 | 1.80 | WWLLW | -0.36 | +0.41 | 13% | 5.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Gretna Elite Academy Pre- I · Sat Oct 24 at Sporting Iowa Pre- I · Sun Oct 25 at FC United (Iowa) Pre See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Toca Fusion Elite Pre | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 37 | -31 | 6 | 0.67 | LWLLL | +0.32 | — | 0% | 8.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 8 | SLSG IL Academy I Pre | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 15 | -13 | 3 | 0.60 | LLLWL | +0.29 | +0.07 | 0% | 8.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Sporting Iowa Pre- I · Sat Oct 24 at Gretna Elite Academy Pre- I · Sun Oct 25 at FC United (Iowa) Pre See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Kansas City Athletics Pre- Navy | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 3 | 0.50 | LLLLW | -0.20 | +0.45 | 0% | 7.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Oct 19 vs Sporting Blue Valley Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs FC United (Iowa) Pre · Sun Oct 25 at Sporting Iowa Pre- I See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | FC United (Iowa) Pre | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 15 | -14 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +0.31 | +0.19 | 0% | 9.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Kansas City Athletics Pre- Navy · Sun Oct 25 vs Missouri Rush Pre- Blue · Sun Oct 25 vs SLSG IL Academy I Pre See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.05 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.