TableChase Clubs

Michigan Hawks Magic PRE

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- GMA GU12 · 13 teams · Michigan Hawks (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 47 minutes ago.
Add schedule to calendar
11th
1-1-2 record · 4 played
1.00 points per game
-2 goal diff · 3–5
WLLDlast 4
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 10.7
+0.50 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 03:15 PM

Open the match preview →

Michigan Hawks Magic PRE
11th · 1.00 PPG
vs

Jaycee Park, Jaycee Turf ↗ · turf

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 0–0 (expected goals 0.9 for, 0.8 against · 1.37 expected points)

Season so farMichigan Hawks Magic PREMichigan Rangers FC Pre
Position11th9th
Record (W-D-L)1-1-21-3-1
Points per game1.001.20
Goals for / game0.80.6
Goals against / game1.30.8
Clean sheets12
Held scoreless22
Form (recent first)D L L WW D L
Biggest win2–1 vs Legends FC Pre1–0 vs Nationals SC Oakland Pre- GRAY
Worst loss1–3 vs Nationals SC Macomb Pre- BLUE Lavelle0–2 at Liverpool FC-IA Michigan C PreECNL RED
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.24-0.12
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.50+0.29

Common opponents: Liverpool FC-IA Michigan C PreECNL RED — we 0–1; they 0–2. Nationals SC Oakland Pre- GRAY — we 0–0; they 1–0.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    Michigan Rangers FC Pre average 0.6 goals/game (league avg 1.5); blanked in 2 of 5.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–1 at Liverpool FC-IA Michigan C PreECNL RED, 0–0 at Nationals SC Oakland Pre- GRAY.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 34%; a draw (34%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    Nationals SC-CA PreECNL BLUE sit 10th on 1.20 PPG; we are on 1.00.

    A point moves us above Nationals SC-CA PreECNL BLUE on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Michigan Rangers FC Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Michigan Hawks Magic PRE – Michigan Rangers FC Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.00 PPG
11th— holds 11th— holds 12th▼ down 1
Win
1.40 PPG
8th▲ up 3 8th▲ up 3 9th▲ up 2
Draw
1.00 PPG
11th— holds 11th— holds 12th▼ down 1
Loss
0.80 PPG
12th▼ down 1 12th▼ down 1 12th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–0 draw we stay 11th even if every rival loses, and as low as 12th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
10.7 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th 1%
  6. 6th 2%
  7. 7th 4%
  8. 8th 5%
  9. 9th 8%
  10. 10th 15%
  11. 11th 26%
  12. 12th 38%
  13. 13th 2%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 5 remaining known games (max 2.11 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Nationals SC Macomb Pre- BLUE Lavelle 2.71 (+1.71) 1st (2.65) 21 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Nationals SC Macomb Pre- BLUE Rodman 2.67 (+1.67) 2nd (2.64) 21 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Nationals SC Oakland Pre- BLUE 2.33 (+1.33) 3rd (2.02) 17 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection
4 Michigan Burn Pre- Black 2.00 (+1.00) 4th (1.96) 14 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection
5 Michigan Hawks PRE 2.00 (+1.00) 5th (1.62) 14 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection
6 Nationals SC Oakland Pre- GRAY 1.63 (+0.63) 6th (1.57) 11 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection
7 Liverpool FC-IA Michigan C PreECNL RED 1.57 (+0.57) 7th (1.46) 11 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection
8 Royal Oak FC Pre GMA Green 1.29 (+0.29) 9th (1.26) A point next game
9 Michigan Rangers FC Pre 1.20 (+0.20) 8th (1.39) A point next game
10 Nationals SC-CA PreECNL BLUE 1.20 (+0.20) 11th (1.02) A point next game

How the results connect

4 chains · 5 teams

Paths of results that link Michigan Hawks Magic PRE to Michigan Rangers FC Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

2 favour us
1 even
1 favour them
+0.2 goals per chain on average. The results call it close.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–0 0–1 0–1 2–0 1–3 1–1 4–0 Michigan Hawks Magi… 11th Nationals SC Oaklan… 6th Liverpool FC-IA Mic… 7th Nationals SC Macomb… 1st Michigan Rangers FC… 9th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

4 chains

Position over the season

20 game days

1st 7th 13th Aug 8 Sep 4 Sep 17 Oct 3 Oct 16 Oct 23

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.58 · 1st hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
03:15 PM
Michigan Rangers FC Pre
9th · 1-3-1 · GD -1
Home
Jaycee Park · turf
●●●●○ Tough
34%
0–0 1.37 1.07 Upside
Sun Oct 25
09:30 AM
Nationals SC Macomb Pre- BLUE Rodman
2nd · 5-1-0 · GD +16
Away far trip
Total Soccer Fraser
●●●●● Very tough
9%
0–2 0.40 0.96 Upside
Fri Nov 6
06:00 PM
Nationals SC Macomb Pre- BLUE Lavelle
1st · 6-1-0 · GD +21
Home
Total Soccer Fraser
●●●●● Very tough
13%
0–2 0.59 0.91 Upside
Sat Nov 7
05:00 PM
Michigan Burn Pre- Black
4th · 3-1-1 · GD +7
Home
Schoolcraft Dome
●●●●● Very tough
19%
0–1 0.83 0.90 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 PM
Royal Oak FC Pre GMA Green
8th · 3-0-4 · GD -6
Away far trip
Quickstad Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
1–1 1.53 0.97 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Nationals SC Macomb Pre- BLUE Lavelle 7610 265+21 192.71 WWDWW -0.10 -0.24 100% 1.3
2 Nationals SC Macomb Pre- BLUE Rodman 6510 237+16 162.67 WWWW +0.01 -0.24 100% 1.8
3 Nationals SC Oakland Pre- BLUE 3210 90+9 72.33 WD -0.82 +0.15 71% 4.1
4 Michigan Burn Pre- Black 5311 103+7 102.00 LWDWW +0.09 +0.01 73% 4.1
5 Michigan Hawks PRE 3201 103+7 62.00 WWL +0.04 +0.54 29% 6.2
6 Nationals SC Oakland Pre- GRAY 8413 1210+2 131.63 WWLLL +0.35 -0.31 10% 6.4
7 Liverpool FC-IA Michigan C PreECNL RED 7322 107+3 111.57 WDLLW +0.19 +0.43 9% 7.2
8 Royal Oak FC Pre GMA Green 7304 1521-6 91.29 LLWWW +0.52 -0.22 2% 8.7
9 Michigan Rangers FC Pre 5131 34-1 61.20 LDW +0.29 -0.57 5% 7.9
10 Nationals SC-CA PreECNL BLUE 5203 714-7 61.20 LWLW -0.30 +0.39 1% 10.5
11 Michigan Hawks Magic PRE 4112 35-2 41.00 WLLD +0.50 +0.58 0% 10.7
12 Legends FC Pre 7205 2515+10 60.86 LWLLL +0.64 +0.16 2% 9.2
13 Liverpool FC-IA MI Central Pre ECNL2014/15 G White 4004 011-11 00.00 LLLL +0.05 -0.52 0% 13.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.