Sporting SA JAX Pre- 2
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Florida GU12 · 8 teams · Sporting SA (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 31, 08:00 AM
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.0 for, 1.9 against · 0.84 expected points)
| Season so far | Sporting SA JAX Pre- 2 | Jacksonville FC Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 8th | 6th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-6 | 1-2-3 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 0.83 |
| Goals for / game | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| Goals against / game | 3.7 | 2.2 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 4 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L L L | W L D D L |
| Biggest win | — | 3–0 at SWFL PREMIER FC PRE |
| Worst loss | 0–6 at Tampa Bay United Pre | 0–5 at Florida Premier FC PRE |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -1.92 | -0.65 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.87 | +0.71 |
Common opponents: Florida Premier FC PRE — we 0–5, 0–4; they 0–3, 0–5. Florida Tropics Academy Pre — we 1–3, 0–1; they 1–1. Florida Kraze Krush Pre — we 1–3; they 1–4. Tampa Bay United Pre — we 0–6; they 0–0.
Game plan
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They struggle to score
Jacksonville FC Pre average 0.8 goals/game (league avg 1.8); blanked in 3 of 6.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 4 time(s): 0–5 vs Florida Premier FC PRE, 0–1 at Florida Tropics Academy Pre, 0–6 at Tampa Bay United Pre, 0–4 at Florida Premier FC PRE.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 20%; a draw (22%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Early kickoff
Game time 08:00 AM.Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
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What a win does
SWFL PREMIER FC PRE sit 7th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above SWFL PREMIER FC PRE on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Jacksonville FC Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Sporting SA JAX Pre- 2 – Jacksonville FC Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 1 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 0.14 PPG |
7th▲ up 1 | 7th▲ up 1 | 7th▲ up 1 |
| Win 0.43 PPG |
7th▲ up 1 | 7th▲ up 1 | 7th▲ up 1 |
| Draw 0.14 PPG |
7th▲ up 1 | 7th▲ up 1 | 7th▲ up 1 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 8th— holds |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–1 draw we finish as high as 7th if every rival drops points, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th <1%
- 6th 1%
- 7th 16%
- 8th 83%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 8 remaining known games (max 1.71 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida Kraze Krush Pre | 3.00 (+3.00) | 1st (2.59) | 42 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Florida Premier FC PRE | 2.50 (+2.50) | 2nd (2.51) | 35 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | Tampa Bay United Pre | 1.60 (+1.60) | 3rd (1.69) | 23 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection |
| 4 | Florida Tropics Academy Pre | 1.40 (+1.40) | 6th (1.05) | 20 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection |
| 5 | Sporting SA JAX Pre | 1.33 (+1.33) | 4th (1.42) | 19 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection |
| 6 | Jacksonville FC Pre | 0.83 (+0.83) | 5th (1.11) | 12 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection |
| 7 | SWFL PREMIER FC PRE | 0.00 (+0.00) | 7th (0.66) | Already ahead |
How the results connect
20 chains · 7 teams
Paths of results that link Sporting SA JAX Pre- 2 to Jacksonville FC Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
9 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.21 · 5th hardest of 8
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 17 06:00 PM no score posted |
SWFL PREMIER FC PRE 7th · 0-0-2 · GD -7 |
Away far trip
Lakewood Ranch Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 22% |
1–1 | 0.89 | 0.13 | Upside |
| Sat Oct 31 08:00 AM |
Jacksonville FC Pre 6th · 1-2-3 · GD -8 |
Home Veterans Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 20% |
1–1 | 0.84 | 0.22 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 9 08:30 AM |
Sporting SA JAX Pre 5th · 1-1-1 · GD -1 |
Home Veterans Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 12% |
1–2 | 0.51 | 0.25 | Upside |
| Sun Jan 31 08:30 AM |
SWFL PREMIER FC PRE 7th · 0-0-2 · GD -7 |
Home Veterans Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 29% |
1–1 | 1.12 | 0.34 | Upside |
| Sun Feb 28 11:00 AM |
Tampa Bay United Pre 3rd · 2-2-1 · GD +6 |
Home Veterans Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 6% |
0–3 | 0.29 | 0.33 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 3 10:30 AM |
Jacksonville FC Pre 6th · 1-2-3 · GD -8 |
Away Patton Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 15% |
0–2 | 0.64 | 0.36 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 11 09:00 AM |
Florida Kraze Krush Pre 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +15 |
Away far trip
Central Winds |
●●●●● Very tough | 1% |
0–4 | 0.05 | 0.33 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 08:00 AM |
Sporting SA JAX Pre 5th · 1-1-1 · GD -1 |
Away Veterans Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 8% |
0–3 | 0.35 | 0.34 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Florida Kraze Krush Pre | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | +15 | 15 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.37 | -0.22 | 100% | 1.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Dec 12 at Tampa Bay United Pre · Sun Dec 13 at Florida Tropics Academy Pre · Sat Mar 6 vs Sporting SA JAX Pre See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Florida Premier FC PRE | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 2 | +19 | 15 | 2.50 | WWLWW | -0.47 | -0.21 | 100% | 1.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at SWFL PREMIER FC PRE · Sat Dec 5 at Sporting SA JAX Pre · Sun Jan 10 vs Florida Tropics Academy Pre See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Tampa Bay United Pre | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 8 | 1.60 | DLDWW | -0.30 | -0.04 | 95% | 3.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 8 vs Sporting SA JAX Pre · Sat Dec 12 vs Florida Kraze Krush Pre · Sun Dec 13 at SWFL PREMIER FC PRE See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Florida Tropics Academy Pre | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 | 1.40 | LWWDL | -0.78 | +0.54 | 12% | 5.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 vs Sporting SA JAX Pre · Sat Dec 12 vs SWFL PREMIER FC PRE · Sun Dec 13 vs Florida Kraze Krush Pre See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Sporting SA JAX Pre | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 4 | 1.33 | WDL | +0.67 | -0.17 | 72% | 4.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Jacksonville FC Pre · Sat Nov 7 at Florida Tropics Academy Pre · Sun Nov 8 at Tampa Bay United Pre See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Jacksonville FC Pre | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 5 | 0.83 | LDDLW | +0.71 | -0.45 | 20% | 5.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at Sporting SA JAX Pre- 2 · Sun Nov 1 at Sporting SA JAX Pre · Sat Jan 30 vs SWFL PREMIER FC PRE See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | SWFL PREMIER FC PRE | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 0 | 0.00 | LL | +0.49 | +0.08 | 1% | 6.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 vs Sporting SA JAX Pre- 2 · Sat Nov 7 vs Florida Premier FC PRE · Sun Dec 6 at Sporting SA JAX Pre See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Sporting SA JAX Pre- 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 22 | -20 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.87 | -0.21 | 0% | 7.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 at SWFL PREMIER FC PRE · Sat Oct 31 vs Jacksonville FC Pre · Sat Jan 9 vs Sporting SA JAX Pre See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.79 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.