TableChase Clubs

West Coast FC Pre- Navy I

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Southern Cal BU12 · 8 teams · West Coast F.C. (all teams)

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8th
0-0-4 record · 4 played
0.00 points per game
-13 goal diff · 5–18
LLLLlast 4
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 7.6
+0.53 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 10:30 AM

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West Coast FC Pre- Navy I
8th · 0.00 PPG
vs
LA Breakers Pre- Blue I
4th · 1.75 PPG

Robert A Curtis Park, Field 1 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–3 (expected goals 2.4 for, 3.5 against · 0.91 expected points)

Season so farWest Coast FC Pre- Navy ILA Breakers Pre- Blue I
Position8th4th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-42-1-1
Points per game0.001.75
Goals for / game1.32.8
Goals against / game4.53.5
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)L L L LD W L W
Biggest win—3–1 at San Diego Surf Pre- Blue I
Worst loss0–5 at Sporting California USA Pre- RED I1–7 vs Rebels SC Pre- I
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.63-0.31
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.53+0.35

Common opponents: LAFC Pre PLATINUM I — we 1–5; they 1–1. San Diego Surf Pre- Blue I — we 3–5; they 3–1. Rebels SC Pre- I — we 1–3; they 1–7.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–5 at Sporting California USA Pre- RED I.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 25%; a draw (15%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    Beach Futbol Club Pre- Gold I sit 7th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above Beach Futbol Club Pre- Gold I on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the LA Breakers Pre- Blue I game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (West Coast FC Pre- Navy I – LA Breakers Pre- Blue I) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG		 8th— holds 8th— holds 8th— holds
Win
0.60 PPG		 7th▲ up 1 7th▲ up 1 8th— holds
Draw
0.20 PPG		 7th▲ up 1 7th▲ up 1 8th— holds
Loss
0.00 PPG		 8th— holds 8th— holds 8th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–3 loss we stay 8th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
7.6 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th 1%
  6. 6th 3%
  7. 7th 32%
  8. 8th 64%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 14 remaining known games (max 2.33 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 LAFC Pre PLATINUM I 2.60 (+2.60) 1st (2.49) 47 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 45 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Rebels SC Pre- I 2.40 (+2.40) 2nd (1.90) 44 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
3 Legends FC PRE Black I 1.75 (+1.75) 3rd (1.84) 32 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
4 LA Breakers Pre- Blue I 1.75 (+1.75) 4th (1.47) 32 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
5 Sporting California USA Pre- RED I 1.50 (+1.50) 5th (1.43) 27 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
6 San Diego Surf Pre- Blue I 1.00 (+1.00) 6th (1.25) 18 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
7 Beach Futbol Club Pre- Gold I 0.00 (+0.00) 7th (0.73) Already ahead

How the results connect

10 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link West Coast FC Pre- Navy I to LA Breakers Pre- Blue I through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

3 favour us
7 favour them
-1.9 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–3 7–1 3–5 1–3 1–5 1–1 5–1 5–6 2–1 0–5 3–2 1–8 0–4 West Coast FC Pre- … 8th Rebels SC Pre- I 2nd San Diego Surf Pre-… 6th LAFC Pre PLATINUM I 1st Sporting California… 5th Beach Futbol Club P… 7th LA Breakers Pre- Bl… 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

10 chains

Position over the season

5 game days

1st 4th 8th Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 4 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.05 · 2nd hardest of 8

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 4
10:30 AM
no score posted		 Beach Futbol Club Pre- Gold I
7th · 0-0-4 · GD -10		 Home
Robert A Curtis Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
38%		 2–3 1.31 0.26 Upside
Sun Oct 25
10:30 AM		 LA Breakers Pre- Blue I
4th · 2-1-1 · GD -3		 Home
Robert A Curtis Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
25%		 2–3 0.91 0.37 Upside
Sun Nov 1
01:30 PM		 Legends FC PRE Black I
3rd · 2-1-1 · GD +6		 Away far trip
Silverlakes Complex		 ●●●●● Very tough
8%		 1–3 0.34 0.37 Upside
Sun Nov 15
10:30 AM		 CDA Slammers FC Pre Maroon I
 Home
Robert A Curtis Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
22%		 2–3 0.80 0.42 Upside
Sat Nov 21
10:30 AM		 Legends FC PRE I
 Home
STONEGATE PARK		 ●●●●● Very tough
22%		 2–3 0.80 0.46 Upside
Sun Mar 21
TBD		 LAFC Pre GOLD I
 Home
●●●●● Very tough
22%		 2–3 0.80 0.50 Upside
Sun Apr 4
TBD		 Pateadores Pre- I
 Home
●●●●● Very tough
22%		 2–3 0.80 0.53 Upside
Sun Apr 11
TBD		 LAFC Pre PLATINUM I
1st · 4-1-0 · GD +19		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
4%		 1–4 0.18 0.50 Upside
Sun Apr 18
01:30 PM		 San Diego Surf Pre- Blue I
6th · 1-1-2 · GD -1		 Away far trip
Surf Sports Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
17%		 1–3 0.64 0.51 Upside
Sun Apr 25
TBD		 Sporting California USA Pre- RED I
5th · 2-0-2 · GD -1		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
23%		 1–3 0.86 0.53 Upside
Sun May 2
TBD		 Beach Futbol Club Pre- Gold I
7th · 0-0-4 · GD -10		 Away
●●●●○ Tough
27%		 2–3 0.96 0.56 Upside
Sat May 8
TBD		 Rebels SC Pre- I
2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +3		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
17%		 1–3 0.66 0.57 Upside
Sun May 9
TBD		 LA Breakers Pre- Blue I
4th · 2-1-1 · GD -3		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
17%		 2–3 0.62 0.57 Upside
Sun May 16
TBD		 Legends FC PRE Black I
3rd · 2-1-1 · GD +6		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
13%		 1–3 0.52 0.57 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 LAFC Pre PLATINUM I 5410 234+19 132.60 WWWWD -0.56 -0.14 100% 1.1
2 Rebels SC Pre- I 5401 1411+3 122.40 WWWLW +0.14 -0.16 95% 2.6
3 Legends FC PRE Black I 4211 115+6 71.75 WWLD -0.29 -0.04 91% 3.0
4 LA Breakers Pre- Blue I 4211 1114-3 71.75 WLWD +0.35 -0.12 56% 4.3
5 Sporting California USA Pre- RED I 4202 910-1 61.50 LLWW -0.06 -0.02 42% 4.7
6 San Diego Surf Pre- Blue I 4112 910-1 41.00 LWLD -0.16 +0.06 16% 5.5
7 Beach Futbol Club Pre- Gold I 4004 919-10 00.00 LLLL +0.63 -0.03 0% 7.2
8 West Coast FC Pre- Navy I 4004 518-13 00.00 LLLL +0.53 +0.05 0% 7.6

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.59 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.