TableChase Clubs

LAFC Pre PLATINUM I

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Southern Cal BU12 · 8 teams · LAFC So Cal (all teams)

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1st
4-1-0 record · 5 played
2.60 points per game
+19 goal diff · 23–4
WWWWDlast 5
100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.1
-0.56 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 04:15 PM

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LAFC Pre PLATINUM I
1st · 2.60 PPG
vs
Legends FC PRE Black I
3rd · 1.75 PPG

Oak Park High School, LOWER 9v9 ↗

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.8 for, 1.4 against · 2.15 expected points)

Season so farLAFC Pre PLATINUM ILegends FC PRE Black I
Position1st3rd
Record (W-D-L)4-1-02-1-1
Points per game2.601.75
Goals for / game4.62.8
Goals against / game0.81.3
Clean sheets10
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)D W W W WD L W W
Biggest win8–1 vs Rebels SC Pre- I5–1 vs Beach Futbol Club Pre- Gold I
Worst loss—0–1 at Rebels SC Pre- I
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+2.16+0.77
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.56-0.29

Common opponents: Sporting California USA Pre- RED I — we 4–0; they 4–1. Beach Futbol Club Pre- Gold I — we 5–1; they 5–1. Rebels SC Pre- I — we 8–1; they 0–1.

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    Legends FC PRE Black I concede only 1.2/game with 0 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 66% / draw 16% / loss 17%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Legends FC PRE Black I game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (LAFC Pre PLATINUM I – Legends FC PRE Black I) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.67 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Win
2.67 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Draw
2.33 PPG
2nd▼ down 1 1st— holds 2nd▼ down 1
Loss
2.17 PPG
2nd▼ down 1 1st— holds 2nd▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–1 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

89% finish 1st
100% top 4
0% below the top 4
1.1 average finish
  1. 1st 89%
  2. 2nd 9%
  3. 3rd 2%
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

How the results connect

12 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link LAFC Pre PLATINUM I to Legends FC PRE Black I through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

7 favour us
2 even
3 favour them
+1.1 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
5–1 1–5 4–0 1–4 8–1 1–0 2–3 1–1 3–1 2–2 5–1 3–5 6–5 1–3 0–5 1–7 2–1 LAFC Pre PLATINUM I 1st Beach Futbol Club P… 7th Sporting California… 5th Rebels SC Pre- I 2nd LA Breakers Pre- Bl… 4th West Coast FC Pre- … 8th San Diego Surf Pre-… 6th Legends FC PRE Blac… 3rd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

5 game days

1st 4th 8th Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 4 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.14 · 7th hardest of 8

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
04:15 PM
Legends FC PRE Black I
3rd · 2-1-1 · GD +6
Home
Oak Park High School
●●○○○ Lean win
66%
2–1 2.15 2.52 Swing game
Sun Nov 1
02:40 PM
San Diego Surf Pre- Blue I
6th · 1-1-2 · GD -1
Away far trip
Surf Sports Park
●●○○○ Lean win
75%
3–1 2.37 2.50 Bank it
Sun Nov 8
02:00 PM
LAFC Pre GOLD I
Home
Oak Park High School
●○○○○ Favorable
81%
3–1 2.54 2.51 Bank it
Sun Nov 15
09:00 AM
San Diego Surf Pre- White I
Home
Oak Park High School
●○○○○ Favorable
81%
3–1 2.54 2.51 Bank it
Sun Mar 21
TBD
SDSC Surf Pre- Blue I
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
81%
3–1 2.54 2.51 Bank it
Sun Apr 4
TBD
Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
81%
3–1 2.54 2.51 Bank it
Sun Apr 11
TBD
West Coast FC Pre- Navy I
8th · 0-0-4 · GD -13
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
90%
4–1 2.76 2.54 Bank it
Sun Apr 18
TBD
Sporting California USA Pre- RED I
5th · 2-0-2 · GD -1
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
73%
3–1 2.32 2.52 Bank it
Sun Apr 25
TBD
Beach Futbol Club Pre- Gold I
7th · 0-0-4 · GD -10
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
93%
5–1 2.83 2.54 Bank it
Sun May 2
09:00 AM
Rebels SC Pre- I
2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +3
Away far trip
Southwestern College
●●○○○ Lean win
66%
3–1 2.15 2.51 Swing game
Sat May 8
TBD
LA Breakers Pre- Blue I
4th · 2-1-1 · GD -3
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
86%
4–1 2.65 2.52 Bank it
Sun May 9
10:30 AM
Legends FC PRE Black I
3rd · 2-1-1 · GD +6
Away far trip
Silverlakes Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%
2–1 1.87 2.49 Swing game
Sun May 16
TBD
San Diego Surf Pre- Blue I
6th · 1-1-2 · GD -1
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
83%
3–1 2.58 2.49 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 LAFC Pre PLATINUM I 5410 234+19 132.60 WWWWD -0.56 -0.14 100% 1.1
2 Rebels SC Pre- I 5401 1411+3 122.40 WWWLW +0.14 -0.16 95% 2.7
3 Legends FC PRE Black I 4211 115+6 71.75 WWLD -0.29 -0.04 89% 3.0
4 LA Breakers Pre- Blue I 4211 1114-3 71.75 WLWD +0.35 -0.12 57% 4.3
5 Sporting California USA Pre- RED I 4202 910-1 61.50 LLWW -0.06 -0.02 41% 4.7
6 San Diego Surf Pre- Blue I 4112 910-1 41.00 LWLD -0.16 +0.06 18% 5.4
7 Beach Futbol Club Pre- Gold I 4004 919-10 00.00 LLLL +0.63 -0.03 0% 7.2
8 West Coast FC Pre- Navy I 4004 518-13 00.00 LLLL +0.53 +0.05 0% 7.6

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.59 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.