Ohio Premier Pre
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Ohio Valley BU12 (2014-2015) 9v9 · 5 teams · Ohio Premier (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 02:30 PM
Rossford Soccer Center Dome, Indoor Turf 9v9 (2) ↗ · turf far trip
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 2–3 (expected goals 2.9 for, 3.6 against · 1.09 expected points)
| Season so far | Ohio Premier Pre | GTFC Impact Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-2-1 | 4-1-1 |
| Points per game | 1.83 | 2.17 |
| Goals for / game | 4.2 | 4.0 |
| Goals against / game | 2.5 | 2.2 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | D W L W W | L W D W W |
| Biggest win | 7–0 vs Pacesetter SC Pre- Red | 6–0 vs Grasshoppers FC White |
| Worst loss | 5–6 vs GTFC Impact Pre | 0–1 vs Pacesetter SC Pre- Red |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.82 | +1.06 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.55 | -0.47 |
Already played this season: Sun Oct 4 5–6 vs GTFC Impact Pre (L)
Common opponents: Ohio Premier Pre-Regional — we 2–2; they 2–2. Pacesetter SC Pre- Red — we 7–0, 6–3; they 5–2, 0–1. Grasshoppers FC White — we 2–1, 3–3; they 5–3, 6–0.
Game plan
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 31%; a draw (16%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Away game
Kickoff 02:30 PM at Rossford Soccer Center Dome.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the GTFC Impact Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Ohio Premier Pre – GTFC Impact Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 1.57 PPG |
3rd▼ down 1 | 2nd— holds | 3rd▼ down 1 |
| Win 2.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 1 | 2nd— holds | 1st▲ up 1 |
| Draw 1.71 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 3rd▼ down 1 |
| Loss 1.57 PPG |
3rd▼ down 1 | 2nd— holds | 3rd▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–3 loss we stay 2nd even if every rival loses, and as low as 3rd if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 19%
- 2nd 43%
- 3rd 38%
- 4th
- 5th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 2 remaining known games (max 2.13 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GTFC Impact Pre | 2.17 (+0.34) | 1st (2.07) | 7 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 6 for their projection |
How the results connect
38 chains · 5 teams
Paths of results that link Ohio Premier Pre to GTFC Impact Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
9 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.83 · 1st hardest of 4
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 02:30 PM |
GTFC Impact Pre 1st · 4-1-1 · GD +11 |
Away far trip
Rossford Soccer Center Dome · turf |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
2–3 | 1.09 | 1.73 | Upside |
| Mon Oct 26 05:15 PM |
Ohio Premier Pre-Regional 3rd · 2-2-1 · GD +5 |
Away OP Training Facility |
●●●●○ Tough | 38% |
3–3 | 1.30 | 1.67 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | GTFC Impact Pre | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 13 | +11 | 13 | 2.17 | WWDWL | -0.47 | +0.71 | 100% | 1.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Ohio Premier Pre · Sun Oct 25 vs Ohio Premier Pre-Regional See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Ohio Premier Pre | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 15 | +10 | 11 | 1.83 | WWLWD | -0.55 | +0.83 | 100% | 2.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at GTFC Impact Pre · Mon Oct 26 at Ohio Premier Pre-Regional See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Ohio Premier Pre-Regional | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 12 | +5 | 8 | 1.60 | DWLDW | -0.24 | +0.07 | 100% | 2.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Grasshoppers FC White · Sun Oct 25 at GTFC Impact Pre · Mon Oct 26 vs Ohio Premier Pre See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Pacesetter SC Pre- Red | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 10 | 1.25 | LLDWW | +0.18 | — | 100% | 3.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 5 | Grasshoppers FC White | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 30 | -18 | 2 | 0.29 | LLLDL | +0.46 | +0.61 | 0% | 5.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Ohio Premier Pre-Regional See all 1 future matchup ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.96 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.