DKSC Pre- Guerrero

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Texas BU12 · 9 teams · DKSC (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 18 hours ago.

Add schedule to calendar

6th

2-0-4 record · 6 played

1.00 points per game

-1 goal diff · 13–14

LLLWLlast 5

40% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.0

+0.19 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 10:00 AM

Open the match preview →

DKSC Pre- Guerrero
6th · 1.00 PPG

FC Dallas South Academy
9th · 0.00 PPG

Fairview Soccer Park , Field 1A ↗

65% 15% 20%

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.2 for, 1.8 against · 2.10 expected points)

Season so far	DKSC Pre- Guerrero	FC Dallas South Academy
Position	6th	9th
Record (W-D-L)	2-0-4	0-0-7
Points per game	1.00	0.00
Goals for / game	2.2	1.7
Goals against / game	2.3	3.1
Clean sheets	1	0
Held scoreless	1	2
Form (recent first)	L W L L L	L L L L L
Biggest win	5–0 at Dallas Texans Pre- Juliao	—
Worst loss	0–3 vs OK Energy FC Pre I	2–5 at SOLAR PRE- RODRIGUEZ
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+0.04	-0.98
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	+0.19	-0.01

Common opponents: Oklahoma Celtic Pre — we 3–1; they 2–3. FC Dallas North Academy — we 1–2; they 2–3. OK Energy FC Pre I — we 0–3; they 0–2. SOLAR PRE- RODRIGUEZ — we 1–4; they 2–5. Dallas Texans Pre- Juliao — we 5–0; they 2–3. Nido Dallas Pre - Campos — we 3–4; they 4–5.

Game plan

Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–3 vs OK Energy FC Pre I.
Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
Swing game — small margins
Win 65% / draw 15% / loss 20%.
Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
Confidence is low on their side
FC Dallas South Academy have lost 7 straight (form: LLLLL).
Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Dallas South Academy game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (DKSC Pre- Guerrero – FC Dallas South Academy) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Win · 1.29 PPG	5th▲ up 1	5th▲ up 1	5th▲ up 1
Win 1.29 PPG	5th▲ up 1	5th▲ up 1	5th▲ up 1
Draw 1.00 PPG	6th— holds	6th— holds	7th▼ down 1
Loss 0.86 PPG	6th— holds	6th— holds	7th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–1 win we finish as high as 5th if every rival drops points, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st

40% top 4

60% below the top 4

5.0 average finish

1st
2nd
3rd
4th 40%
5th 30%
6th 24%
7th 6%
8th <1%
9th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 2 remaining known games (max 1.50 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	SOLAR PRE- RODRIGUEZ	2.71 (+1.71)	1st (2.69)	16 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2	Nido Dallas Pre - Campos	2.38 (+1.38)	2nd (2.38)	14 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3	OK Energy FC Pre I	2.00 (+1.00)	3rd (2.00)	10 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4	SOLAR PRE- OGLESBY	1.33 (+0.33)	4th (1.33)	5 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 5 for their projection
5	Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Otec	1.29 (+0.29)	6th (1.23)	5 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 4 for their projection

How the results connect

26 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link DKSC Pre- Guerrero to FC Dallas South Academy through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

16 favour us

5 even

5 favour them

+1.3 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

9 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.88 · 5th hardest of 6

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sun Nov 1 10:00 AM	FC Dallas South Academy 9th · 0-0-7 · GD -10	Home Fairview Soccer Park	●●○○○ Lean win	65%	3–1	2.10	1.16	Swing game
Sat Nov 7 03:30 PM	Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Otec 5th · 3-0-4 · GD -12	Home Fairview Soccer Park	●●○○○ Lean win	61%	3–1	2.00	1.26	Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

SOLAR PRE- RODRIGUEZ

+16

2.71

WWWWW

-0.25

-1.02

100%

1.0

W	Sat Oct 17	at	Nido Dallas Pre - Campos (2nd)	4–1
W	Sun Oct 11	at	Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Otec (5th)	5–2
W	Sun Oct 4	vs	DKSC Pre- Guerrero (6th)	4–1
W	Sat Oct 3	vs	Oklahoma Celtic Pre (8th)	4–1
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	FC Dallas North Academy (—)	3–2
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	FC Dallas South Academy (9th)	5–2
D	Sun Sep 13	at	OK Energy FC Pre I (3rd)	0–0

Next: Sun Nov 1 at Dallas Texans Pre- Juliao See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Dallas Texans Pre- Juliao (7th)	3–1	80%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Nido Dallas Pre - Campos

2.38

DWLWW

-0.12

—

100%

2.0

OK Energy FC Pre I

+10

2.00

LWWWL

-0.28

—

100%

3.0

SOLAR PRE- OGLESBY

1.33

+0.00

—

37%

4.6

Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Otec

-12

1.29

WLWLL

-0.01

+0.04

23%

5.5

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	FC Dallas North Academy (—)	0–8
L	Sun Oct 11	vs	SOLAR PRE- RODRIGUEZ (1st)	2–5
W	Sun Oct 4	vs	Oklahoma Celtic Pre (8th)	5–1
L	Sat Oct 3	at	Nido Dallas Pre - Campos (2nd)	1–2
W	Sun Sep 27	at	FC Dallas South Academy (9th)	1–0
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	Dallas Texans Pre- Juliao (7th)	2–1
L	Sat Sep 12	at	OK Energy FC Pre I (3rd)	1–7

Next: Sat Nov 7 at DKSC Pre- Guerrero See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Nov 7	at	DKSC Pre- Guerrero (6th)	1–3	22%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

DKSC Pre- Guerrero

-1

1.00

LLLWL

+0.19

-0.88

40%

5.0

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Nido Dallas Pre - Campos (2nd)	3–4
W	Sun Oct 11	at	Dallas Texans Pre- Juliao (7th)	5–0
L	Sun Oct 4	at	SOLAR PRE- RODRIGUEZ (1st)	1–4
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	OK Energy FC Pre I (3rd)	0–3
L	Sun Sep 20	at	FC Dallas North Academy (—)	1–2
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Oklahoma Celtic Pre (8th)	3–1

Next: Sun Nov 1 vs FC Dallas South Academy · Sat Nov 7 vs Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Otec See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	FC Dallas South Academy (9th)	3–1	65%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Otec (5th)	3–1	61%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Dallas Texans Pre- Juliao

-9

0.60

LLLLW

-0.07

+0.13

7.2

W	Sun Oct 18	at	FC Dallas South Academy (9th)	3–2
L	Sun Oct 11	vs	DKSC Pre- Guerrero (6th)	0–5
L	Sun Sep 27	at	OK Energy FC Pre I (3rd)	0–2
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Otec (5th)	1–2
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Nido Dallas Pre - Campos (2nd)	3–5

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FC Dallas North Academy · Sat Oct 31 vs Oklahoma Celtic Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs SOLAR PRE- RODRIGUEZ See all 3 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	FC Dallas North Academy (—)	1–2	27%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Oklahoma Celtic Pre (8th)	2–1	50%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	SOLAR PRE- RODRIGUEZ (1st)	1–3	9%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Oklahoma Celtic Pre

-12

0.50

LLWLL

+0.21

-0.51

7.7

L	Sun Oct 4	at	Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Otec (5th)	1–5
L	Sat Oct 3	at	SOLAR PRE- RODRIGUEZ (1st)	1–4
W	Sat Oct 3	vs	FC Dallas South Academy (9th)	3–2
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	Nido Dallas Pre - Campos (2nd)	0–2
L	Sun Sep 13	at	OK Energy FC Pre I (3rd)	0–2
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	DKSC Pre- Guerrero (6th)	1–3

Next: Sat Oct 31 vs FC Dallas North Academy · Sat Oct 31 at Dallas Texans Pre- Juliao See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	FC Dallas North Academy (—)	1–2	23%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Dallas Texans Pre- Juliao (7th)	1–2	30%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Dallas South Academy

-10

0.00

LLLLL

-0.01

+0.04

9.0

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Dallas Texans Pre- Juliao (7th)	2–3
L	Sat Oct 17	vs	OK Energy FC Pre I (3rd)	0–2
L	Sun Oct 4	vs	Nido Dallas Pre - Campos (2nd)	4–5
L	Sat Oct 3	at	Oklahoma Celtic Pre (8th)	2–3
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Otec (5th)	0–1
L	Sun Sep 20	at	SOLAR PRE- RODRIGUEZ (1st)	2–5
L	Sun Sep 13	at	FC Dallas North Academy (—)	2–3

Next: Sun Nov 1 at DKSC Pre- Guerrero See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 1	at	DKSC Pre- Guerrero (6th)	1–3	20%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.25 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.