Texas Warriors FC Pre- Salas
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Texas BU11 · 10 teams · Texas Warriors FC (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 12:30 PM
Fairview Soccer Park , Field 4B ↗
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 3–2 (expected goals 3.9 for, 2.1 against · 2.23 expected points)
| Season so far | Texas Warriors FC Pre- Salas | Sting Pre- Ikpa |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-1-1 | 3-1-2 |
| Points per game | 2.17 | 1.67 |
| Goals for / game | 4.8 | 3.8 |
| Goals against / game | 1.3 | 2.3 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W L D W | D W W L L |
| Biggest win | 11–3 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Redwine | 7–0 at Fever United FC Pre |
| Worst loss | 1–2 at TAG Soccer Pre Gold | 0–5 vs Atlético Dallas Youth Pre Hernandez |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +2.20 | +0.84 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.46 | -0.51 |
Common opponents: FC Dallas Youth Pre- Redwine — we 11–3; they 6–0. BVBIA DFW Pre — we 3–1; they 2–2. Atlético Dallas Youth Pre Hernandez — we 1–1; they 0–5. Fever United FC Pre — we 5–1; they 7–0.
Game plan
-
Swing game — small margins
Win 70% / draw 13% / loss 17%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Sting Pre- Ikpa game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Texas Warriors FC Pre- Salas – Sting Pre- Ikpa) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.29 PPG |
3rd— holds | 3rd— holds | 4th▼ down 1 |
| Win 2.29 PPG |
3rd— holds | 3rd— holds | 4th▼ down 1 |
| Draw 2.00 PPG |
4th▼ down 1 | 4th▼ down 1 | 4th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 1.86 PPG |
4th▼ down 1 | 4th▼ down 1 | 4th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–2 win we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 4th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 1%
- 2nd 9%
- 3rd 51%
- 4th 37%
- 5th 3%
- 6th
- 7th
- 8th
- 9th
- 10th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 2 remaining known games (max 2.38 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NTX United FC - Pre Costello | 3.00 (+0.83) | 1st (2.73) | 11 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 9 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | TAG Soccer Pre Gold | 2.60 (+0.43) | 2nd (2.46) | 8 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 7 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
How the results connect
22 chains · 9 teams
Paths of results that link Texas Warriors FC Pre- Salas to Sting Pre- Ikpa through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
11 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +1.62 · 2nd hardest of 10
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 12:30 PM |
Sting Pre- Ikpa 5th · 3-1-2 · GD +9 |
Home Fairview Soccer Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 70% |
3–2 | 2.23 | 2.18 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 1 09:30 AM |
NTX United FC - Pre Costello 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +22 |
Home Fairview Soccer Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 40% |
2–2 | 1.37 | 2.08 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | NTX United FC - Pre Costello | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 3 | +22 | 15 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.99 | +0.10 | 100% | 1.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs BVBIA DFW Pre · Sat Oct 31 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Redwine · Sun Nov 1 at Texas Warriors FC Pre- Salas See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | TAG Soccer Pre Gold | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 4 | +24 | 13 | 2.60 | WDWWW | -0.99 | +0.03 | 100% | 1.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Atlético Dallas Youth Pre Hernandez · Sun Oct 25 vs Fever United FC Pre · Sun Nov 1 at Sting Pre- Ikpa See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Texas Warriors FC Pre- Salas | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 8 | +21 | 13 | 2.17 | WDLWW | -0.46 | +1.62 | 97% | 3.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Sting Pre- Ikpa · Sun Nov 1 vs NTX United FC - Pre Costello See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Atlético Dallas Youth Pre Hernandez | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 7 | +14 | 13 | 2.17 | WWDLW | +0.13 | +0.04 | 100% | 3.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs TAG Soccer Pre Gold · Sun Oct 25 vs SOLAR PRE- CASTRO See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Sting Pre- Ikpa | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 14 | +9 | 10 | 1.67 | LLWWD | -0.51 | +2.40 | 3% | 5.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Texas Warriors FC Pre- Salas · Sun Nov 1 vs TAG Soccer Pre Gold See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | BVBIA DFW Pre | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 7 | 1.17 | LLWWD | +0.32 | -0.22 | 0% | 6.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at NTX United FC - Pre Costello · Sat Nov 7 vs Sting Pre- J Oldham See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- Redwine | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 4 | 0.80 | LLDWL | +0.91 | -0.99 | 0% | 7.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Sting Pre- J Oldham · Sat Oct 31 vs NTX United FC - Pre Costello · Sat Nov 7 at SOLAR PRE- CASTRO See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | SOLAR PRE- CASTRO | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 25 | -22 | 3 | 0.60 | LWLLL | +0.90 | -0.81 | 0% | 8.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Atlético Dallas Youth Pre Hernandez · Sun Nov 1 at Fever United FC Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Redwine See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Sting Pre- J Oldham | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 33 | -27 | 3 | 0.50 | LWLLL | +0.48 | -0.94 | 0% | 8.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Redwine · Sat Nov 7 at BVBIA DFW Pre See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Fever United FC Pre | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 30 | -22 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.12 | +0.04 | 0% | 9.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at TAG Soccer Pre Gold · Sun Nov 1 vs SOLAR PRE- CASTRO See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.92 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.