TableChase Clubs

Dallas Texans Pre- Mendoza

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Texas BU11 · 9 teams · Dallas Texans (all teams)

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4th
3-1-2 record · 6 played
1.67 points per game
+7 goal diff · 11–4
WWWLDlast 5
93% chance of top 4 · expected finish 3.8
-0.05 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 12:30 PM

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Dallas Texans Pre- Mendoza
4th · 1.67 PPG
at

Fairview Soccer Park , Field 6B ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.4 for, 1.8 against · 1.16 expected points)

Season so farDallas Texans Pre- MendozaFC Dallas Youth Pre- Gomez
Position4th1st
Record (W-D-L)3-1-26-0-0
Points per game1.673.00
Goals for / game1.83.5
Goals against / game0.71.5
Clean sheets31
Held scoreless30
Form (recent first)D L W W WW W W W W
Biggest win5–0 vs DKSC Pre Guerrero4–1 vs DKSC Pre Guerrero
Worst loss0–2 vs Sting Pre- Lucero—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.72+1.32
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.05-0.08

Common opponents: OK Energy FC Pre I — we 0–1; they 4–2. DKSC Pre Guerrero — we 5–0; they 4–1. Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Challinor — we 3–0; they 4–3. Sting Pre- Lucero — we 0–2; they 3–1. Nido Dallas Pre - Campos — we 0–0; they 3–2.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    FC Dallas Youth Pre- Gomez score 3.5/game — well above the league's 2.2.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–1 vs OK Energy FC Pre I, 0–2 vs Sting Pre- Lucero, 0–0 vs Nido Dallas Pre - Campos.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 31%; a draw (23%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    FC Dallas Youth Pre- Gomez have won 6 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 12:30 PM at Fairview Soccer Park .

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Sting Pre- Lucero sit 3rd on 1.67 PPG; we are on 1.67.

    A point moves us above Sting Pre- Lucero on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Dallas Youth Pre- Gomez game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Dallas Texans Pre- Mendoza – FC Dallas Youth Pre- Gomez) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.57 PPG
4th— holds 4th— holds 4th— holds
Win
1.86 PPG
3rd▲ up 1 4th— holds 4th— holds
Draw
1.57 PPG
4th— holds 4th— holds 4th— holds
Loss
1.43 PPG
4th— holds 4th— holds 5th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–1 draw we finish as high as 3rd if every rival drops points, and as low as 4th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
93% top 4
7% below the top 4
3.8 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd 24%
  4. 4th 69%
  5. 5th 7%
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 2 remaining known games (max 2.00 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 FC Dallas Youth Pre- Gomez 3.00 (+1.33) 1st (2.79) 14 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 OK Energy FC Pre I 2.38 (+0.71) 2nd (2.38) 10 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 9 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Sting Pre- Lucero 1.67 (+0.00) 3rd (1.84) A point next game

How the results connect

29 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Dallas Texans Pre- Mendoza to FC Dallas Youth Pre- Gomez through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

8 favour us
5 even
16 favour them
-1.1 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–0 2–3 3–0 3–4 5–0 1–4 0–1 2–4 0–2 1–3 3–0 0–3 6–1 2–5 5–1 5–1 3–2 Dallas Texans Pre- … 4th Nido Dallas Pre - C… 5th Atletico Dallas You… 6th DKSC Pre Guerrero 7th OK Energy FC Pre I 2nd Sting Pre- Lucero 3rd FC Dallas South Aca… 9th FC Dallas Youth Pre… 1st

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 5th 9th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 27 Oct 4 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.46 · 3rd hardest of 7

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
12:30 PM
FC Dallas Youth Pre- Gomez
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +12
Away
Fairview Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–1 1.16 1.59 Upside
Sat Oct 31
02:00 PM
FC Dallas South Academy
9th · 0-0-6 · GD -22
Away
Fairview Soccer Park
●○○○○ Favorable
82%
2–0 2.57 1.72 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 FC Dallas Youth Pre- Gomez 6600 219+12 183.00 WWWWW -0.08 -0.58 100% 1.1
2 OK Energy FC Pre I 8611 338+25 192.38 WDLWW -0.32 — 100% 1.9
3 Sting Pre- Lucero 6312 1710+7 101.67 LDWWW +0.14 -1.08 93% 3.4
4 Dallas Texans Pre- Mendoza 6312 114+7 101.67 WWWLD -0.05 -0.46 93% 3.8
5 Nido Dallas Pre - Campos 8314 1314-1 101.25 LWLDW -0.12 — 0% 5.8
6 Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Challinor 5203 1013-3 61.20 LWLWL +0.37 -0.63 12% 5.7
7 DKSC Pre Guerrero 6204 1020-10 61.00 LWWLL +0.52 -1.26 2% 6.4
8 SOLAR PRE- MADRID 5104 722-15 30.60 WLLLL -0.08 +0.63 0% 8.0
9 FC Dallas South Academy 6006 224-22 00.00 LLLLL +0.41 -0.08 0% 8.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.20 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.