PUNSC Pre
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Atlantic BU11 · 11 teams · Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (all teams)
Next game — Sat Feb 13, TBD
Venue TBD
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.4 for, 2.7 against · 1.24 expected points)
| Season so far | PUNSC Pre | Baltimore Celtic Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 9th | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | — | — |
| Biggest win | — | — |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
Game plan
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They struggle to score
Baltimore Celtic Pre average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 35%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Away game
Kickoff TBD at TBD.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
PSA Monmouth Pre sit 8th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above PSA Monmouth Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Baltimore Celtic Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (PUNSC Pre – Baltimore Celtic Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Feb 8 – Sun Feb 14); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.00 PPG |
2nd▲ up 7 | 2nd▲ up 7 | 2nd▲ up 7 |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 8 | 1st▲ up 8 | 1st▲ up 8 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
2nd▲ up 7 | 2nd▲ up 7 | 2nd▲ up 7 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
11th▼ down 2 | 11th▼ down 2 | 11th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 10%
- 2nd 10%
- 3rd 8%
- 4th 10%
- 5th 10%
- 6th 9%
- 7th 9%
- 8th 9%
- 9th 8%
- 10th 9%
- 11th 10%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 10 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baltimore Celtic Pre | 0.00 (+0.00) | 1st (1.44) | Already ahead |
| 2 | Delaware FC New Castle Pre | 0.00 (+0.00) | 11th (1.38) | Already ahead |
| 3 | Maryland United FC Pre | 0.00 (+0.00) | 2nd (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 4 | Match Fit Surf Pre | 0.00 (+0.00) | 7th (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 5 | Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre | 0.00 (+0.00) | 3rd (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 6 | Pipeline SC Pre | 0.00 (+0.00) | 8th (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 7 | Potomac Soccer Association Pre | 0.00 (+0.00) | 4th (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 8 | PSA Monmouth Pre | 0.00 (+0.00) | 5th (1.41) | Already ahead |
The path
run-in difficulty +0.00 · 9th hardest of 11
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Feb 13 TBD |
Baltimore Celtic Pre 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.24 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 6 TBD |
PSA Monmouth Pre 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.24 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 13 TBD |
Potomac Soccer Association Pre 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.35 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 14 TBD |
SJEB FC Pre 10th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.41 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 3 TBD |
STA Pre 11th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.44 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 17 02:00 PM |
Delaware FC New Castle Pre 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Smith Estates |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.41 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 TBD |
Maryland United FC Pre 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.43 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 24 TBD |
Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.41 | Upside |
| Sun May 2 TBD |
Match Fit Surf Pre 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.39 | Upside |
| Sat May 15 09:00 AM |
Pipeline SC Pre 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Ukrainian AMerican Sports Center |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.41 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Baltimore Celtic Pre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 vs Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre · Sat Feb 13 vs PUNSC Pre · Sat Feb 27 at Match Fit Surf Pre See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Delaware FC New Castle Pre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 vs STA Pre · Sat Mar 6 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre · Sat Mar 13 at Match Fit Surf Pre See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Maryland United FC Pre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Dec 20 vs PSA Monmouth Pre · Sat Mar 6 at Baltimore Celtic Pre · Sat Mar 13 at STA Pre See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Match Fit Surf Pre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Feb 27 vs Baltimore Celtic Pre · Sat Mar 6 at STA Pre · Sat Mar 13 vs Delaware FC New Castle Pre See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 at Baltimore Celtic Pre · Sat Feb 27 at STA Pre · Sat Mar 6 vs Delaware FC New Castle Pre See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Pipeline SC Pre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 vs SJEB FC Pre · Sat Feb 27 vs PSA Monmouth Pre · Sat Mar 6 vs Potomac Soccer Association Pre See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Potomac Soccer Association Pre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Mar 6 at Pipeline SC Pre · Sat Mar 13 at PUNSC Pre · Sat Apr 10 vs Match Fit Surf Pre See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | PSA Monmouth Pre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Dec 20 at Maryland United FC Pre · Sat Feb 27 at Pipeline SC Pre · Sat Mar 6 vs PUNSC Pre See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | PUNSC Pre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Feb 13 at Baltimore Celtic Pre · Sat Mar 6 at PSA Monmouth Pre · Sat Mar 13 vs Potomac Soccer Association Pre See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | SJEB FC Pre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 at Pipeline SC Pre · Sun Mar 7 vs Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre · Sat Mar 13 vs PSA Monmouth Pre See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | STA Pre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 at Delaware FC New Castle Pre · Sat Feb 27 vs Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre · Sat Mar 6 vs Match Fit Surf Pre See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.