El Paso Locomotive FC Pre B15/16
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Mountain BU11 · 6 teams · El Paso Locomotive FC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Mar 20, TBD
Venue TBD
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 4–3 (expected goals 4.4 for, 3.3 against · 1.89 expected points)
| Season so far | El Paso Locomotive FC Pre B15/16 | Playmaker Futbol Academy Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-0 | 0-1-1 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 3.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 4.5 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | — | L D |
| Biggest win | — | — |
| Worst loss | — | 4–7 vs CCV STARS Pre |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.00 | -0.63 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | +0.37 |
Game plan
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Swing game — small margins
Win 58% / draw 14% / loss 28%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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What a win does
Arizona Arsenal Pre sit 4th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above Arizona Arsenal Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Playmaker Futbol Academy Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (El Paso Locomotive FC Pre B15/16 – Playmaker Futbol Academy Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Mar 15 – Sun Mar 21); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 3.00 PPG |
2nd▲ up 3 | 2nd▲ up 3 | 3rd▲ up 2 |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
2nd▲ up 3 | 2nd▲ up 3 | 3rd▲ up 2 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
3rd▲ up 2 | 4th▲ up 1 | 5th— holds |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
6th▼ down 1 | 6th▼ down 1 | 6th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 4–3 win we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 3rd if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 12%
- 2nd 21%
- 3rd 19%
- 4th 20%
- 5th 16%
- 6th 13%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 10 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CCV STARS Pre | 3.00 (+3.00) | 1st (1.88) | Win next game |
| 2 | Arizona Soccer Club Pre | 1.00 (+1.00) | 5th (1.36) | A point next game |
| 3 | Playmaker Futbol Academy Pre | 0.50 (+0.50) | 6th (0.97) | Already ahead |
| 4 | Arizona Arsenal Pre | 0.00 (+0.00) | 2nd (1.43) | Already ahead |
Position over the season
2 game days
Not enough game days yet to draw a line.
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.02 · 4th hardest of 6
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Mar 20 TBD |
Playmaker Futbol Academy Pre 3rd · 0-1-1 · GD -3 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 58% |
4–3 | 1.89 | 1.89 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 21 TBD |
Arizona Soccer Club Pre 2nd · 0-1-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 49% |
3–3 | 1.62 | 1.76 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 27 TBD |
NM Rapids SC Pre 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 49% |
4–3 | 1.63 | 1.71 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 3 TBD |
CCV STARS Pre 1st · 1-0-0 · GD +3 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 27% |
3–4 | 0.95 | 1.52 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 4 TBD |
Arizona Arsenal Pre 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 36% |
3–4 | 1.22 | 1.46 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 TBD |
NM Rapids SC Pre 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 36% |
3–4 | 1.22 | 1.42 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
Playmaker Futbol Academy Pre 3rd · 0-1-1 · GD -3 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
3–3 | 1.49 | 1.43 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 18 TBD |
Arizona Soccer Club Pre 2nd · 0-1-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 36% |
3–3 | 1.24 | 1.41 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 24 TBD |
Arizona Arsenal Pre 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 49% |
4–3 | 1.63 | 1.43 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 25 TBD |
CCV STARS Pre 1st · 1-0-0 · GD +3 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 40% |
4–4 | 1.36 | 1.43 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CCV STARS Pre | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 3 | 3.00 | W | -0.63 | -0.07 | 94% | 2.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Playmaker Futbol Academy Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs Arizona Soccer Club Pre · Sat Mar 13 at Arizona Soccer Club Pre See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Arizona Soccer Club Pre | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0 | 1 | 1.00 | D | -0.63 | +0.09 | 66% | 3.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at CCV STARS Pre · Sat Mar 13 vs CCV STARS Pre · Sun Mar 14 vs Arizona Arsenal Pre See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Playmaker Futbol Academy Pre | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 1 | 0.50 | DL | +0.37 | +0.09 | 27% | 5.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at CCV STARS Pre · Fri Jan 29 vs Arizona Arsenal Pre · Sat Mar 20 at El Paso Locomotive FC Pre B15/16 See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Arizona Arsenal Pre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.02 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Fri Jan 29 at Playmaker Futbol Academy Pre · Sun Mar 14 at Arizona Soccer Club Pre · Sat Mar 27 at CCV STARS Pre See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | El Paso Locomotive FC Pre B15/16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.02 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Mar 20 vs Playmaker Futbol Academy Pre · Sun Mar 21 vs Arizona Soccer Club Pre · Sat Mar 27 vs NM Rapids SC Pre See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | NM Rapids SC Pre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.02 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Mar 20 vs Arizona Soccer Club Pre · Sun Mar 21 vs Playmaker Futbol Academy Pre · Sat Mar 27 at El Paso Locomotive FC Pre B15/16 See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.77 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.