Sporting Iowa Central II Pre
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Heartland BU12 · 11 teams · Sporting Iowa Central (all teams)
Next game — Sat Nov 14, 05:00 PM
Paragon Star Sports Complex , Field 6N ↗ far trip
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.6 for, 3.5 against · 0.51 expected points)
| Season so far | Sporting Iowa Central II Pre | Toca Fusion Premier Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 7th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-0-2 | 2-0-0 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals for / game | 1.3 | 3.0 |
| Goals against / game | 3.7 | 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W L | W W |
| Biggest win | 3–0 vs Kansas City Surf White Pre | 4–2 at Missouri Rush Pre- White |
| Worst loss | 0–9 vs Gretna Elite Academy Pre- II | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -1.01 | +0.70 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +1.35 | -0.63 |
Game plan
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Hard to break down
Toca Fusion Premier Pre concede only 1.0/game with 1 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–9 vs Gretna Elite Academy Pre- II.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 13%; a draw (13%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Away game
Kickoff 05:00 PM at Paragon Star Sports Complex .Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
Kansas City Surf White Pre sit 6th on 1.00 PPG; we are on 1.00.A point moves us above Kansas City Surf White Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Toca Fusion Premier Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Sporting Iowa Central II Pre – Toca Fusion Premier Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 13 other games that week (Mon Nov 9 – Sun Nov 15); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.75 PPG |
8th▼ down 1 | 8th▼ down 1 | 11th▼ down 4 |
| Win 1.50 PPG |
6th▲ up 1 | 7th— holds | 9th▼ down 2 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
7th— holds | 7th— holds | 11th▼ down 4 |
| Loss 0.75 PPG |
8th▼ down 1 | 8th▼ down 1 | 11th▼ down 4 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–3 loss we finish as high as 6th if every rival drops points, and as low as 11th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd <1%
- 4th 1%
- 5th 2%
- 6th 17%
- 7th 27%
- 8th 26%
- 9th 16%
- 10th 9%
- 11th 2%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 3 remaining known games (max 2.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gretna Elite Academy Pre- II | 3.00 (+2.00) | 1st (2.88) | 15 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Southwest MO Rush Pre | 3.00 (+2.00) | 2nd (2.70) | 15 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | Toca Fusion Premier Pre | 3.00 (+2.00) | 3rd (2.19) | 15 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 4 | Union KC Soccer Club Red Pre | 2.40 (+1.40) | 4th (2.06) | 12 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 5 | St. Louis Stars SC II Pre | 2.00 (+1.00) | 5th (1.85) | 9 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 9 for their projection |
| 6 | Kansas City Surf White Pre | 1.00 (+0.00) | 6th (1.22) | A point next game |
Position over the season
4 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.40 · 9th hardest of 11
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Nov 14 05:00 PM |
Toca Fusion Premier Pre 3rd · 2-0-0 · GD +4 |
Away far trip
Paragon Star Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 13% |
1–3 | 0.51 | 0.88 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 09:30 AM |
FC Wichita Navy Pre 8th · 1-0-2 · GD -8 |
Away far trip
Paragon Star Sports Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 38% |
2–2 | 1.31 | 0.97 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 15 TBD |
Kansas City Athletics Royal Pre 9th · 0-0-2 · GD -5 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 30% |
2–3 | 1.08 | 0.98 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gretna Elite Academy Pre- II | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | +19 | 6 | 3.00 | WW | -1.41 | -0.55 | 100% | 1.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 vs Union KC Soccer Club Red Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs Kansas City Athletics Royal Pre · Sun Nov 15 at FC Wichita Navy Pre See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Southwest MO Rush Pre | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | +18 | 9 | 3.00 | WWW | -1.21 | -0.21 | 98% | 2.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 at St. Louis Stars SC II Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs Toca Fusion Premier Pre · Sun Nov 15 at VSA Rush II Pre See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Toca Fusion Premier Pre | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 6 | 3.00 | WW | -0.63 | +0.24 | 75% | 3.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 vs Sporting Iowa Central II Pre · Sat Nov 14 at Southwest MO Rush Pre · Sun Nov 15 at Kansas City Surf White Pre See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Union KC Soccer Club Red Pre | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 12 | 2.40 | LWWW | -1.00 | +0.89 | 80% | 3.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 at Gretna Elite Academy Pre- II · Sat Nov 14 at Missouri Rush Pre- White See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | St. Louis Stars SC II Pre | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 6 | 2.00 | WWL | -0.07 | +0.02 | 43% | 4.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 at Kansas City Athletics Royal Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs Southwest MO Rush Pre · Sun Nov 15 vs Missouri Rush Pre- White See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Kansas City Surf White Pre | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 3 | 1.00 | LLW | -0.86 | -0.95 | 3% | 6.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 vs Missouri Rush Pre- White · Sat Nov 14 vs VSA Rush II Pre · Sun Nov 15 vs Toca Fusion Premier Pre See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Sporting Iowa Central II Pre | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 | 1.00 | LW | +1.35 | -0.40 | 1% | 7.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 at Toca Fusion Premier Pre · Sat Nov 14 at FC Wichita Navy Pre · Sun Nov 15 at Kansas City Athletics Royal Pre See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | FC Wichita Navy Pre | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 3 | 1.00 | WLL | +0.77 | +0.23 | 0% | 7.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 at VSA Rush II Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs Sporting Iowa Central II Pre · Sun Nov 15 vs Gretna Elite Academy Pre- II See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Kansas City Athletics Royal Pre | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 0 | 0.00 | LL | +0.72 | +1.00 | 0% | 9.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 vs St. Louis Stars SC II Pre · Sat Nov 14 at Gretna Elite Academy Pre- II · Sun Nov 15 vs Sporting Iowa Central II Pre See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Missouri Rush Pre- White | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +1.17 | -0.04 | 0% | 10.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 at Kansas City Surf White Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs Union KC Soccer Club Red Pre · Sun Nov 15 at St. Louis Stars SC II Pre See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | VSA Rush II Pre | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 14 | -12 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +0.98 | +0.20 | 0% | 9.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 vs FC Wichita Navy Pre · Sat Nov 14 at Kansas City Surf White Pre · Sun Nov 15 vs Southwest MO Rush Pre See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.57 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.