Fishhawk Premier FC PRE
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Florida BU12 · 9 teams · Florida Premier FC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 31, 03:00 PM
Fishhawk Sports Complex, Field 2 ↗
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.6 for, 2.8 against · 0.79 expected points)
| Season so far | Fishhawk Premier FC PRE | Florida Premier FC PRE- II |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 8th | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-0-3 | 2-0-3 |
| Points per game | 0.75 | 1.20 |
| Goals for / game | 1.3 | 2.0 |
| Goals against / game | 4.8 | 1.6 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W L L L | W L L L W |
| Biggest win | 3–0 at Naples Elite Soccer Club NESC Pre | 5–0 vs Naples Elite Soccer Club NESC Pre |
| Worst loss | 0–8 at Florida Premier FC PRE- I | 1–3 at Lee County Premier PRE |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -1.83 | +0.01 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.06 | -0.95 |
Common opponents: Lee County Premier PRE — we 1–3; they 1–3. Cape Coral SA Pre — we 1–8; they 2–3. Naples Elite Soccer Club NESC Pre — we 3–0; they 5–0.
Game plan
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–8 at Florida Premier FC PRE- I.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 21%; a draw (17%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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What a win does
AC Florida West Pre sit 7th on 0.80 PPG; we are on 0.75.A point moves us above AC Florida West Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Florida Premier FC PRE- II game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Fishhawk Premier FC PRE – Florida Premier FC PRE- II) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.60 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 8th— holds |
| Win 1.20 PPG |
6th▲ up 2 | 6th▲ up 2 | 6th▲ up 2 |
| Draw 0.80 PPG |
7th▲ up 1 | 7th▲ up 1 | 7th▲ up 1 |
| Loss 0.60 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 8th— holds |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 8th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th <1%
- 5th 2%
- 6th 6%
- 7th 20%
- 8th 70%
- 9th 1%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.44 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SWFL PREMIER FC PRE | 3.00 (+2.25) | 1st (2.65) | 45 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Florida Premier FC PRE- I | 2.57 (+1.82) | 2nd (2.62) | 39 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | Lee County Premier PRE | 2.17 (+1.42) | 3rd (1.75) | 32 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection |
| 4 | Cape Coral SA Pre | 1.80 (+1.05) | 4th (1.74) | 26 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection |
| 5 | Florida Premier FC PRE- II | 1.20 (+0.45) | 5th (1.26) | Win next game |
| 6 | Lakeland Premier FC PRE | 1.20 (+0.45) | 6th (1.18) | Win next game |
| 7 | AC Florida West Pre | 0.80 (+0.05) | 7th (1.00) | A point next game |
How the results connect
15 chains · 8 teams
Paths of results that link Fishhawk Premier FC PRE to Florida Premier FC PRE- II through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
10 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.28 · 4th hardest of 9
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 31 03:00 PM |
Florida Premier FC PRE- II 5th · 2-0-3 · GD +2 |
Home Fishhawk Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 21% |
1–2 | 0.79 | 0.76 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 01:00 PM |
Florida Premier FC PRE- I 2nd · 6-0-1 · GD +38 |
Home Fishhawk Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 1% |
0–6 | 0.05 | 0.64 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 9 10:00 AM |
AC Florida West Pre 7th · 1-1-3 · GD -15 |
Away far trip
Bayshore Sports Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 33% |
2–2 | 1.17 | 0.72 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 16 11:00 AM |
SWFL PREMIER FC PRE 1st · 3-0-0 · GD +23 |
Home Fishhawk Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 1% |
1–6 | 0.06 | 0.63 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 23 11:00 AM |
Lakeland Premier FC PRE 6th · 2-0-3 · GD -6 |
Home Fishhawk Sports Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
2–2 | 1.11 | 0.69 | Upside |
| Sun Jan 31 10:00 AM |
SWFL PREMIER FC PRE 1st · 3-0-0 · GD +23 |
Away far trip
Lakewood Ranch Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 1% |
1–7 | 0.03 | 0.62 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 13 02:00 PM |
AC Florida West Pre 7th · 1-1-3 · GD -15 |
Home Fishhawk Sports Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 43% |
2–2 | 1.48 | 0.70 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 14 11:00 AM |
Naples Elite Soccer Club NESC Pre 9th · 0-0-6 · GD -42 |
Home Fishhawk Sports Complex |
●○○○○ Favorable | 78% |
4–1 | 2.44 | 0.84 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 3 01:30 PM |
Cape Coral SA Pre 4th · 3-0-2 · GD +7 |
Away far trip
Pelican Soccer Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 6% |
1–4 | 0.27 | 0.80 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 4 01:00 PM |
Lee County Premier PRE 3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +7 |
Away far trip
Kelly Road Soccer Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 9% |
1–3 | 0.38 | 0.77 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 10:30 AM |
Lakeland Premier FC PRE 6th · 2-0-3 · GD -6 |
Away far trip
Hunt Fountain Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 22% |
1–2 | 0.82 | 0.77 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 11:00 AM |
Florida Premier FC PRE- II 5th · 2-0-3 · GD +2 |
Away Starkey Ranch District Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 14% |
1–3 | 0.56 | 0.76 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | SWFL PREMIER FC PRE | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | +23 | 9 | 3.00 | WWW | -0.58 | -0.36 | 100% | 1.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 vs Lee County Premier PRE · Sun Nov 15 at Lakeland Premier FC PRE · Sun Dec 6 vs Cape Coral SA Pre See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Florida Premier FC PRE- I | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 42 | 4 | +38 | 18 | 2.57 | WWWLW | -0.35 | -0.37 | 100% | 1.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Fishhawk Premier FC PRE · Sat Dec 12 at Florida Premier FC PRE- II · Sat Jan 23 at Naples Elite Soccer Club NESC Pre See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Lee County Premier PRE | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 13 | 2.17 | WDWLW | -0.82 | +0.40 | 90% | 3.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 at SWFL PREMIER FC PRE · Sat Dec 5 vs Cape Coral SA Pre · Sat Jan 30 at AC Florida West Pre See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Cape Coral SA Pre | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | +7 | 9 | 1.80 | LWLWW | -0.09 | -0.09 | 91% | 3.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 at Naples Elite Soccer Club NESC Pre · Sat Dec 5 at Lee County Premier PRE · Sun Dec 6 at SWFL PREMIER FC PRE See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Florida Premier FC PRE- II | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 6 | 1.20 | WLLLW | -0.95 | +0.48 | 11% | 5.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at Fishhawk Premier FC PRE · Sat Dec 12 vs Florida Premier FC PRE- I · Sat Jan 23 at AC Florida West Pre See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Lakeland Premier FC PRE | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 6 | 1.20 | WLWLL | +0.15 | +0.10 | 6% | 5.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 15 vs SWFL PREMIER FC PRE · Sun Dec 13 at AC Florida West Pre · Sun Jan 10 at SWFL PREMIER FC PRE See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | AC Florida West Pre | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 19 | -15 | 4 | 0.80 | LWDLL | +1.66 | -0.48 | 1% | 6.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Dec 12 vs Naples Elite Soccer Club NESC Pre · Sun Dec 13 vs Lakeland Premier FC PRE · Sat Jan 9 vs Fishhawk Premier FC PRE See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Fishhawk Premier FC PRE | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 3 | 0.75 | LLLW | -0.06 | +0.28 | 0% | 7.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Florida Premier FC PRE- II · Sun Nov 1 vs Florida Premier FC PRE- I · Sat Jan 9 at AC Florida West Pre See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Naples Elite Soccer Club NESC Pre | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 46 | -42 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.79 | +0.38 | 0% | 9.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 vs Cape Coral SA Pre · Sat Dec 12 at AC Florida West Pre · Sat Jan 23 vs Florida Premier FC PRE- I See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.76 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.