TableChase Clubs

Portland City United SC PRE- RED 2

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Far West BU12 · 10 teams · Portland City United SC (all teams)

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8th
1-1-4 record · 6 played
0.67 points per game
-19 goal diff · 6–25
LDLLWlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 9.0
+0.01 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 10:30 AM

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Portland City United SC PRE- RED 2
8th · 0.67 PPG
at
United PDX Pre- II Blue
1st · 3.00 PPG

Oregon Episcopal School , Turf - East ↗ · turf

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–4 (expected goals 0.9 for, 4.5 against · 0.15 expected points)

Season so farPortland City United SC PRE- RED 2United PDX Pre- II Blue
Position8th1st
Record (W-D-L)1-1-45-0-0
Points per game0.673.00
Goals for / game1.03.0
Goals against / game4.21.2
Clean sheets11
Held scoreless30
Form (recent first)W L L D LW W W W W
Biggest win3–0 vs Boise Timbers Pre- Two5–2 vs Eastside Timbers Pre II Black
Worst loss0–13 at Oregon Premier FC Pre Tiempo—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-2.06+1.13
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.01+0.17

Common opponents: Columbia Premier SC Pre- II — we 0–4; they 2–1. Eastside Timbers Pre II Black — we 0–2; they 5–2. Idaho Rush Pre- II Black — we 1–4; they 4–2.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–4 vs Columbia Premier SC Pre- II, 0–2 at Eastside Timbers Pre II Black, 0–13 at Oregon Premier FC Pre Tiempo.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 3%; a draw (6%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    United PDX Pre- II Blue have won 5 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 10:30 AM at Oregon Episcopal School .

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Capital FC PRE 2 B14 sit 7th on 0.67 PPG; we are on 0.67.

    A point moves us above Capital FC PRE 2 B14 on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the United PDX Pre- II Blue game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Portland City United SC PRE- RED 2 – United PDX Pre- II Blue) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.57 PPG		 8th— holds 8th— holds 9th▼ down 1
Win
1.00 PPG		 7th▲ up 1 8th— holds 8th— holds
Draw
0.71 PPG		 7th▲ up 1 8th— holds 9th▼ down 1
Loss
0.57 PPG		 8th— holds 8th— holds 9th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–4 loss we stay 8th even if every rival loses, and as low as 9th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
9.0 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th 1%
  8. 8th 29%
  9. 9th 34%
  10. 10th 36%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.22 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 United PDX Pre- II Blue 3.00 (+2.33) 3rd (2.28) 50 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Columbia Premier SC Pre- II 2.50 (+1.83) 2nd (2.35) 41 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Oregon Premier FC Pre Tiempo 2.40 (+1.73) 1st (2.44) 40 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 FC Portland Pre- II 2.17 (+1.50) 4th (1.89) 36 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
5 Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 2 1.40 (+0.73) 6th (1.30) 22 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
6 Idaho Rush Pre- II Black 1.14 (+0.47) 5th (1.31) 17 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
7 Capital FC PRE 2 B14 0.67 (+0.00) 7th (1.23) Already ahead

How the results connect

21 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Portland City United SC PRE- RED 2 to United PDX Pre- II Blue through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
3 even
17 favour them
-5.2 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–4 2–4 0–2 2–5 0–4 1–2 3–0 2–3 0–2 2–2 1–0 1–2 7–0 3–2 0–4 0–5 3–0 4–1 3–3 Portland City Unite… 8th Idaho Rush Pre- II … 6th Eastside Timbers Pr… 10th Columbia Premier SC… 2nd Boise Timbers Pre- … 9th Eugene Metro FC Pre… 5th FC Portland Pre- II 4th Capital FC PRE 2 B14 7th United PDX Pre- II … 1st

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 5th 10th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.35 · 3rd hardest of 10

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
10:30 AM		 United PDX Pre- II Blue
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +9		 Away
Oregon Episcopal School · turf		 ●●●●● Very tough
3%		 0–4 0.15 0.59 Upside
Sun Nov 1
10:30 AM		 FC Portland Pre- II
4th · 4-1-1 · GD +9		 Home
Buckman Field Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
7%		 1–3 0.30 0.56 Upside
Sun Nov 15
12:30 PM		 Capital FC PRE 2 B14
7th · 1-1-4 · GD -2		 Away far trip
CFC Pioneer Sportspark		 ●●●●● Very tough
11%		 1–3 0.46 0.55 Upside
Sun Feb 14
02:30 PM		 Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 2
5th · 2-1-2 · GD -2		 Away far trip
Lane Community College		 ●●●●● Very tough
12%		 1–3 0.49 0.54 Upside
Sat Feb 20
10:30 AM		 Oregon Premier FC Pre Tiempo
3rd · 4-0-1 · GD +21		 Home
Buckman Field Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
1%		 0–5 0.07 0.50 Upside
Sat Mar 13
10:30 AM		 Eastside Timbers Pre II Black
10th · 1-0-5 · GD -17		 Home
Buckman Field Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
43%		 2–2 1.50 0.58 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
TBD		 FC Portland Pre- II
4th · 4-1-1 · GD +9		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
4%		 1–4 0.18 0.55 Upside
Sun Apr 4
TBD		 United PDX Pre- II Blue
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +9		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
6%		 1–3 0.25 0.53 Upside
Sun Apr 11
10:30 AM		 Capital FC PRE 2 B14
7th · 1-1-4 · GD -2		 Home
Buckman Field Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
16%		 1–2 0.65 0.54 Upside
Sun Apr 18
TBD		 Columbia Premier SC Pre- II
2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +19		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
1%		 0–5 0.07 0.51 Upside
Sat Apr 24
TBD		 Boise Timbers Pre- Two
9th · 1-0-5 · GD -14		 Away
●●●●○ Tough
29%		 1–2 1.07 0.54 Upside
Sun Apr 25
TBD		 Idaho Rush Pre- II Black
6th · 2-2-3 · GD -4		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
10%		 1–3 0.42 0.53 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 United PDX Pre- II Blue 5500 156+9 153.00 WWWWW +0.17 -0.19 100% 2.5
2 Columbia Premier SC Pre- II 6501 245+19 152.50 WWWWL -0.35 -0.09 100% 2.1
3 Oregon Premier FC Pre Tiempo 5401 254+21 122.40 WLWWW -0.17 -0.29 100% 1.7
4 FC Portland Pre- II 6411 189+9 132.17 LWDWW -0.48 +0.14 93% 3.8
5 Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 2 5212 911-2 71.40 WDWLL -0.00 +0.11 3% 6.0
6 Idaho Rush Pre- II Black 7223 1620-4 81.14 LDDWW +0.22 -0.14 3% 5.9
7 Capital FC PRE 2 B14 6114 911-2 40.67 LLDWL +0.36 -0.15 2% 6.1
8 Portland City United SC PRE- RED 2 6114 625-19 40.67 LDLLW +0.01 +0.35 0% 9.0
9 Boise Timbers Pre- Two 6105 721-14 30.50 LLLWL -0.31 +0.44 0% 8.8
10 Eastside Timbers Pre II Black 6105 623-17 30.50 WLLLL -0.04 +0.36 0% 9.1

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.29 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.