Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 2
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Far West BU12 · 10 teams · Eugene Metro FC (all teams)
Next game — Sun Nov 1, 12:00 PM
Eastside Timbers Sports Complex, Field 3B ↗ far trip
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.7 for, 1.5 against · 2.07 expected points)
| Season so far | Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 2 | Eastside Timbers Pre II Black |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 10th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-1-2 | 1-0-5 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.50 |
| Goals for / game | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals against / game | 2.2 | 3.8 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | L L W D W | L L L L W |
| Biggest win | 4–2 at Boise Timbers Pre- Two | 2–0 vs Portland City United SC PRE- RED 2 |
| Worst loss | 1–4 at Oregon Premier FC Pre Tiempo | 0–7 at Columbia Premier SC Pre- II |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.26 | -1.89 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.00 | -0.04 |
Common opponents: Boise Timbers Pre- Two — we 4–2; they 2–3. Portland City United SC PRE- RED 2 — we 2–2; they 2–0. FC Portland Pre- II — we 1–3; they 0–5.
Game plan
-
They struggle to score
Eastside Timbers Pre II Black average 1.0 goals/game (league avg 2.3); blanked in 3 of 6.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
-
They leak goals — be greedy
Eastside Timbers Pre II Black concede 3.8/game; worst result 0–7 at Columbia Premier SC Pre- II.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
-
Swing game — small margins
Win 63% / draw 17% / loss 19%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
-
Confidence is low on their side
Eastside Timbers Pre II Black have lost 4 straight (form: WLLLL).Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
-
Away game
Kickoff 12:00 PM at Eastside Timbers Sports Complex.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Eastside Timbers Pre II Black game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 2 – Eastside Timbers Pre II Black) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 1.67 PPG |
5th— holds | 5th— holds | 5th— holds |
| Win 1.67 PPG |
5th— holds | 5th— holds | 5th— holds |
| Draw 1.33 PPG |
5th— holds | 6th▼ down 1 | 6th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 1.17 PPG |
5th— holds | 6th▼ down 1 | 6th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–1 win we stay 5th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd <1%
- 3rd <1%
- 4th 3%
- 5th 33%
- 6th 31%
- 7th 31%
- 8th 1%
- 9th <1%
- 10th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 2.56 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | United PDX Pre- II Blue | 3.00 (+1.60) | 3rd (2.28) | 47 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection |
| 2 | Columbia Premier SC Pre- II | 2.50 (+1.10) | 2nd (2.35) | 38 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection |
| 3 | Oregon Premier FC Pre Tiempo | 2.40 (+1.00) | 1st (2.44) | 37 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection |
| 4 | FC Portland Pre- II | 2.17 (+0.77) | 4th (1.89) | 33 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection |
How the results connect
19 chains · 10 teams
Paths of results that link Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 2 to Eastside Timbers Pre II Black through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
12 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.11 · 5th hardest of 10
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Sep 20 11:00 AM no score posted |
Idaho Rush Pre- II Black 6th · 2-2-3 · GD -4 |
Away far trip
Optimist Sports Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 34% |
2–2 | 1.21 | 1.37 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 12:00 PM |
Eastside Timbers Pre II Black 10th · 1-0-5 · GD -17 |
Away far trip
Eastside Timbers Sports Complex |
●●○○○ Lean win | 63% |
2–1 | 2.07 | 1.47 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 15 02:30 PM |
Columbia Premier SC Pre- II 2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +19 |
Home Lane Community College |
●●●●● Very tough | 13% |
1–3 | 0.53 | 1.35 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 22 10:30 AM |
United PDX Pre- II Blue 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +9 |
Away far trip
Oregon Episcopal School · turf |
●●●●● Very tough | 15% |
1–2 | 0.60 | 1.27 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 30 TBD |
United PDX Pre- II Blue 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +9 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 22% |
1–2 | 0.83 | 1.22 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 6 TBD |
FC Portland Pre- II 4th · 4-1-1 · GD +9 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 18% |
1–2 | 0.70 | 1.18 | Upside |
| Sun Feb 7 12:00 PM |
Capital FC PRE 2 B14 7th · 1-1-4 · GD -2 |
Away far trip
CFC Pioneer Sportspark |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
1–1 | 1.15 | 1.18 | Upside |
| Sun Feb 14 02:30 PM |
Portland City United SC PRE- RED 2 8th · 1-1-4 · GD -19 |
Home Lane Community College |
●●○○○ Lean win | 75% |
3–1 | 2.37 | 1.27 | Bank it |
| Sun Feb 21 02:30 PM |
Oregon Premier FC Pre Tiempo 3rd · 4-0-1 · GD +21 |
Home Lane Community College |
●●●●● Very tough | 10% |
1–3 | 0.40 | 1.21 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 14 TBD |
Columbia Premier SC Pre- II 2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +19 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 8% |
1–3 | 0.36 | 1.15 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 3 01:30 PM |
Idaho Rush Pre- II Black 6th · 2-2-3 · GD -4 |
Home Lane Community College |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
2–2 | 1.53 | 1.17 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 4 TBD |
Boise Timbers Pre- Two 9th · 1-0-5 · GD -14 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 69% |
2–1 | 2.23 | 1.24 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 25 02:30 PM |
Eastside Timbers Pre II Black 10th · 1-0-5 · GD -17 |
Home Lane Community College |
●●○○○ Lean win | 73% |
3–1 | 2.32 | 1.30 | Bank it |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | United PDX Pre- II Blue | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 6 | +9 | 15 | 3.00 | WWWWW | +0.17 | -0.19 | 100% | 2.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 12 vs Boise Timbers Pre- Two · Sun Oct 25 vs Portland City United SC PRE- RED 2 · Sat Nov 7 at Oregon Premier FC Pre Tiempo See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Columbia Premier SC Pre- II | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 5 | +19 | 15 | 2.50 | WWWWL | -0.35 | -0.09 | 100% | 2.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Capital FC PRE 2 B14 · Sun Nov 15 at Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 2 · Sat Nov 21 vs FC Portland Pre- II See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Oregon Premier FC Pre Tiempo | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 4 | +21 | 12 | 2.40 | WLWWW | -0.17 | -0.29 | 100% | 1.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 13 vs Boise Timbers Pre- Two · Sun Oct 25 at FC Portland Pre- II · Sat Nov 7 vs United PDX Pre- II Blue See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | FC Portland Pre- II | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 9 | +9 | 13 | 2.17 | LWDWW | -0.48 | +0.14 | 93% | 3.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Oregon Premier FC Pre Tiempo · Sun Nov 1 at Portland City United SC PRE- RED 2 · Sat Nov 21 at Columbia Premier SC Pre- II See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 7 | 1.40 | WDWLL | -0.00 | +0.11 | 3% | 6.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 at Idaho Rush Pre- II Black · Sun Nov 1 at Eastside Timbers Pre II Black · Sun Nov 15 vs Columbia Premier SC Pre- II See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Idaho Rush Pre- II Black | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 8 | 1.14 | LDDWW | +0.22 | -0.14 | 3% | 5.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 vs Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 2 · Sat Oct 31 vs Boise Timbers Pre- Two · Sat Feb 13 at FC Portland Pre- II See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Capital FC PRE 2 B14 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 4 | 0.67 | LLDWL | +0.36 | -0.15 | 2% | 6.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Eastside Timbers Pre II Black · Sun Nov 1 vs Columbia Premier SC Pre- II · Sun Nov 15 vs Portland City United SC PRE- RED 2 See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Portland City United SC PRE- RED 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 25 | -19 | 4 | 0.67 | LDLLW | +0.01 | +0.35 | 0% | 9.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at United PDX Pre- II Blue · Sun Nov 1 vs FC Portland Pre- II · Sun Nov 15 at Capital FC PRE 2 B14 See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Boise Timbers Pre- Two | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 3 | 0.50 | LLLWL | -0.31 | +0.44 | 0% | 8.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 12 at United PDX Pre- II Blue · Sun Sep 13 at Oregon Premier FC Pre Tiempo · Sat Oct 31 at Idaho Rush Pre- II Black See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Eastside Timbers Pre II Black | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 23 | -17 | 3 | 0.50 | WLLLL | -0.04 | +0.36 | 0% | 9.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Capital FC PRE 2 B14 · Sun Nov 1 vs Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 2 · Sun Nov 22 at Oregon Premier FC Pre Tiempo See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.29 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.