North Star FC
ECNL Regional League Girls · Twin Cities GU14 · 12 teams · North Star FC (all teams)
Next game
No remaining games on the published schedule.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 0 remaining known games (max 1.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manitou FC | 2.67 (+1.67) | 1st (2.67) | — |
| 2 | North Surf | 2.50 (+1.50) | 3rd (2.27) | — |
| 3 | DASC | 2.43 (+1.43) | 2nd (2.29) | — |
| 4 | Prior Lake SC | 2.20 (+1.20) | 4th (2.09) | — |
| 5 | Lakeville Soccer Club | 1.40 (+0.40) | 5th (1.41) | — |
| 6 | Minnesota Rush | 1.40 (+0.40) | 6th (1.38) | — |
| 7 | St Croix | 1.20 (+0.20) | 7th (1.22) | A point next game |
| 8 | Shakopee Soccer Association | 1.20 (+0.20) | 8th (1.10) | A point next game |
| 9 | Tonka United SA | 1.00 (+0.00) | 9th (1.00) | A point next game |
Position over the season
15 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
No remaining games published.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Manitou FC | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 5 | +13 | 16 | 2.67 | WWWDW | -0.32 | — | 100% | 1.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 2 | North Surf | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | +7 | 10 | 2.50 | DWWW | -0.80 | +0.15 | 98% | 2.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 10 at DASC · Sun Oct 25 vs Shakopee Soccer Association See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | DASC | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | +7 | 17 | 2.43 | WWWDD | -0.20 | +0.82 | 100% | 2.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 10 vs North Surf See all 1 future matchup ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Prior Lake SC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 11 | 2.20 | WDWWD | -0.36 | +0.42 | 100% | 3.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Minnesota Rush See all 1 future matchup ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Lakeville Soccer Club | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 7 | 1.40 | WLWLD | -0.23 | +0.33 | 2% | 5.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at St Croix See all 1 future matchup ▸ |
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| 6 | Minnesota Rush | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 7 | 1.40 | DLLWW | +0.05 | +0.62 | 1% | 6.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Prior Lake SC See all 1 future matchup ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | St Croix | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 6 | 1.20 | LWLWL | -0.14 | +0.52 | 0% | 6.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Lakeville Soccer Club See all 1 future matchup ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Shakopee Soccer Association | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 | 1.20 | DDLWD | +0.24 | +0.82 | 0% | 8.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at North Surf See all 1 future matchup ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Tonka United SA | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 6 | 1.00 | WLLLW | +0.02 | — | 0% | 8.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 10 | North Star FC | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 6 | 1.00 | LLLLW | +0.27 | — | 0% | 10.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 11 | Wave SC | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 22 | -20 | 1 | 0.17 | LLLLL | +0.57 | — | 0% | 11.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 12 | BOREAL FC | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.31 | — | 0% | 12.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.64 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.