Result · Sunday, Oct 11, 02:30 PM
St Croix 2–3 North Star FC
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 16% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 70% home, 14% draw, 16% away, most likely 3–1.
| Season so far | St Croix | North Star FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 7th | 10th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-0-3 | 2-0-4 |
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals for / game | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| Goals against / game | 2.2 | 2.7 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | L W L W L | W L L L L |
| Biggest win | 6–1 at Wave SC | 4–2 vs BOREAL FC |
| Worst loss | 0–1 at Manitou FC | 0–4 vs Lakeville Soccer Club |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.33 | -0.77 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.14 | +0.27 |
Already met this season: Oct 11 2–3 (home for St Croix)
Common opponents: Manitou FC — St Croix 0–1; North Star FC 1–2.
What's at stake
| St Croix | North Star FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 7th | 10th |
| Games left | 1 | 0 |
| Chance of top 4 | 0% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 6.5 | 10.0 |
How the results connect
10 chains
6 favour St Croix, 2 favour North Star FC, 2 even; average margin +2.2 goals toward St Croix.
- -1St Croix lost to North Star FC 2–3
- 0St Croix lost to Manitou FC 0–1 → Manitou FC beat North Star FC 2–1
- 0St Croix lost to DASC 2–3 → DASC drew with Manitou FC 1–1 → Manitou FC beat North Star FC 2–1
- +1St Croix beat Wave SC 6–1 → Wave SC lost to Manitou FC 1–6 → Manitou FC beat North Star FC 2–1
- -2St Croix lost to DASC 2–3 → DASC beat BOREAL FC 2–1 → BOREAL FC lost to North Star FC 2–4
- +3St Croix beat Minnesota Rush 4–3 → Minnesota Rush beat BOREAL FC 4–0 → BOREAL FC lost to North Star FC 2–4
Full picture: St Croix · North Star FC · Twin Cities GU14 standings