Alabama FC
ECNL Regional League Girls · Southeast GU13 · 9 teams · Alabama FC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Nov 7, 02:00 PM
Georgia Sports Park , field 5 ↗ far trip
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 1–0 (expected goals 1.5 for, 0.5 against · 2.19 expected points)
| Season so far | Alabama FC | Concorde Fire Platinum |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 6th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-1-0 | 1-1-2 |
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals for / game | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 1.5 |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | W W D W W | D L W L |
| Biggest win | 3–0 vs South Carolina United | 2–1 at South Carolina United |
| Worst loss | — | 0–2 at CESA Liberty |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.03 | -0.45 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.44 | -0.43 |
Common opponents: United Futbol Academy — we 2–0; they 1–3. Atlanta Fire United — we 2–0; they 0–0. South Carolina United — we 3–0; they 2–1. CESA Liberty — we 2–0; they 0–2.
Game plan
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–0 at Charlotte SA Gold.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 65% / draw 25% / loss 11%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
-
Away game
Kickoff 02:00 PM at Georgia Sports Park .Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Concorde Fire Platinum game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Alabama FC – Concorde Fire Platinum) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.67 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Win 2.67 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Draw 2.33 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Loss 2.17 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–0 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 2nd if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 12%
- 2nd 78%
- 3rd 10%
- 4th 1%
- 5th
- 6th
- 7th
- 8th
- 9th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.88 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GSA | 3.00 (+0.40) | 1st (2.64) | 35 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection |
How the results connect
8 chains · 7 teams
Paths of results that link Alabama FC to Concorde Fire Platinum through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
9 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.01 · 5th hardest of 9
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 10 11:00 AM no score posted |
Concorde Fire Premier 4th · 2-0-2 · GD -4 |
Home Rathmell Complex |
●○○○○ Favorable | 79% |
2–0 | 2.52 | 2.59 | Bank it |
| Sat Nov 7 02:00 PM |
Concorde Fire Platinum 6th · 1-1-2 · GD -3 |
Away far trip
Georgia Sports Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 65% |
1–0 | 2.19 | 2.53 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 8 09:00 AM |
GSA 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +16 |
Away far trip
GSA South |
●●●●● Very tough | 24% |
0–1 | 1.01 | 2.34 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 15 09:00 AM |
Charlotte SA Gold 8th · 0-1-3 · GD -3 |
Home Veterans Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 71% |
1–0 | 2.35 | 2.34 | Bank it |
| Fri Mar 5 11:00 AM |
South Carolina United 9th · 0-1-4 · GD -9 |
Away far trip
Southeastern Freight Lines Complex |
●○○○○ Favorable | 75% |
1–0 | 2.44 | 2.35 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 6 09:00 AM |
CESA Liberty 5th · 2-1-2 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Mesa Soccer Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 57% |
1–0 | 1.98 | 2.32 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 20 TBD |
Concorde Fire Platinum 6th · 1-1-2 · GD -3 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 71% |
1–0 | 2.35 | 2.32 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 21 TBD |
GSA 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +16 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 30% |
0–1 | 1.20 | 2.23 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 4 12:00 PM |
Concorde Fire Premier 4th · 2-0-2 · GD -4 |
Away far trip
Georgia Sports Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 72% |
2–0 | 2.35 | 2.24 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
United Futbol Academy 3rd · 3-0-2 · GD +4 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 59% |
1–0 | 2.02 | 2.23 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 18 TBD |
Atlanta Fire United 7th · 1-1-2 · GD -10 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 86% |
2–0 | 2.70 | 2.26 | Bank it |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | GSA | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | +16 | 12 | 3.00 | WWWW | -0.42 | -0.23 | 100% | 1.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Charlotte SA Gold · Sat Nov 7 vs Concorde Fire Premier · Sun Nov 8 vs Alabama FC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Alabama FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0 | +9 | 13 | 2.60 | WWDWW | -0.44 | +0.01 | 100% | 2.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 10 vs Concorde Fire Premier · Sat Nov 7 at Concorde Fire Platinum · Sun Nov 8 at GSA See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | United Futbol Academy | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 9 | 1.80 | LWWWL | +0.38 | -0.26 | 97% | 3.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 vs South Carolina United · Sun Oct 4 vs CESA Liberty · Sun Oct 25 vs Atlanta Fire United See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Concorde Fire Premier | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 6 | 1.50 | LWLW | -0.25 | +0.17 | 15% | 5.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 12 at Atlanta Fire United · Sat Oct 10 at Alabama FC · Sat Nov 7 at GSA See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | CESA Liberty | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | +0 | 7 | 1.40 | WLDWL | +0.19 | -0.12 | 75% | 4.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 at Atlanta Fire United · Sun Oct 4 at United Futbol Academy · Sat Nov 14 vs Atlanta Fire United See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Concorde Fire Platinum | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | 1.00 | LWLD | -0.43 | +0.21 | 8% | 6.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Charlotte SA Gold · Sat Nov 7 vs Alabama FC · Sun Nov 8 vs Concorde Fire Premier See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Atlanta Fire United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 4 | 1.00 | LWLD | +0.59 | +0.03 | 1% | 7.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 12 vs Concorde Fire Premier · Sat Oct 3 vs CESA Liberty · Sun Oct 4 vs South Carolina United See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Charlotte SA Gold | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 1 | 0.25 | LLLD | -0.08 | +0.10 | 3% | 7.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Concorde Fire Platinum · Sun Oct 25 vs GSA · Sat Nov 14 at Concorde Fire Premier See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | South Carolina United | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 1 | 0.20 | LLDLL | +0.41 | -0.03 | 0% | 8.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 at United Futbol Academy · Sun Oct 4 at Atlanta Fire United · Sat Nov 14 vs United Futbol Academy See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.49 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.