Pittsburgh Riverhounds
ECNL Regional League Girls · Ohio Valley GU13 · 8 teams · Pittsburgh Riverhounds (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 09:00 AM
Montour Junction Sports Complex, Field 2 ↗
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.9 for, 1.3 against · 1.79 expected points)
| Season so far | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Ohio Premier |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-1-1 | 1-2-0 |
| Points per game | 2.17 | 1.67 |
| Goals for / game | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| Goals against / game | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W L | D D W |
| Biggest win | 6–1 vs WNY Flash | 2–0 vs Ohio Galaxies FC |
| Worst loss | 1–2 vs Internationals SC | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.70 | +0.16 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.35 | +0.02 |
Game plan
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Hard to break down
Ohio Premier concede only 0.7/game with 1 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 52% / draw 22% / loss 26%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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Early kickoff
Game time 09:00 AM.Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Ohio Premier game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Pittsburgh Riverhounds – Ohio Premier) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 2.00 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Win 2.29 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Draw 2.00 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Loss 1.86 PPG |
3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 2nd even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 8%
- 2nd 70%
- 3rd 17%
- 4th 4%
- 5th 1%
- 6th <1%
- 7th
- 8th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 15 remaining known games (max 2.76 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Internationals SC | 3.00 (+0.83) | 1st (2.41) | 50 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection |
Position over the season
5 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.20 · 7th hardest of 8
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 09:00 AM |
Ohio Premier 3rd · 1-2-0 · GD +2 |
Home Montour Junction Sports Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 52% |
1–1 | 1.79 | 2.11 | Swing game |
| Sun Oct 25 TBD |
GTFC Impact 4th · 1-3-1 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 55% |
1–1 | 1.87 | 2.08 | Swing game |
| Sat Oct 31 09:00 AM |
Lexington Sporting Club Academy |
Home Montour Junction Sports Complex |
●●○○○ Lean win | 59% |
2–1 | 1.95 | 2.07 | Swing game |
| Sat Dec 12 09:30 AM |
NWI Lions United 5th · 2-0-4 · GD +0 |
Home Montour Junction Sports Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 55% |
2–1 | 1.85 | 2.05 | Swing game |
| Sun Dec 13 09:30 AM |
Indiana Elite FC 7th · 0-1-5 · GD -22 |
Home Montour Junction Sports Complex |
●○○○○ Favorable | 83% |
3–1 | 2.58 | 2.09 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 20 TBD |
Ohio Premier 3rd · 1-2-0 · GD +2 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 43% |
1–1 | 1.53 | 2.05 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 21 TBD |
GTFC Impact 4th · 1-3-1 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 46% |
1–1 | 1.62 | 2.01 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 10 09:00 AM |
FC Pride Elite |
Home Montour Junction Sports Complex |
●●○○○ Lean win | 59% |
2–1 | 1.95 | 2.01 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 11 09:00 AM |
Indy Eleven |
Home Montour Junction Sports Complex |
●●○○○ Lean win | 59% |
2–1 | 1.95 | 2.01 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
NWI Lions United 5th · 2-0-4 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
1–1 | 1.58 | 1.98 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 18 TBD |
Indiana Elite FC 7th · 0-1-5 · GD -22 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 75% |
3–1 | 2.38 | 2.00 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 24 TBD |
WNY Flash 8th · 0-1-6 · GD -21 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 81% |
3–0 | 2.54 | 2.03 | Bank it |
| Sat May 15 TBD |
Internationals SC 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +10 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 27% |
1–2 | 0.99 | 1.98 | Upside |
| Sun May 16 09:00 AM |
Cleveland Force SC 6th · 0-2-3 · GD -5 |
Away far trip
Victory Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 59% |
2–1 | 1.98 | 1.98 | Swing game |
| Sun May 23 09:00 AM |
Mercury |
Home Montour Junction Sports Complex |
●●○○○ Lean win | 59% |
2–1 | 1.95 | 1.98 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Internationals SC | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 6 | +10 | 15 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.54 | -0.18 | 100% | 1.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at GTFC Impact · Sun Nov 1 at Ohio Premier · Sat Mar 6 vs Racing Louisville Academy See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 13 | 2.17 | LWW | -0.35 | -0.20 | 99% | 2.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Ohio Premier · Sun Oct 25 vs GTFC Impact · Sat Oct 31 vs Lexington Sporting Club Academy See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Ohio Premier | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 1.67 | WDD | +0.02 | -0.20 | 81% | 3.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Pittsburgh Riverhounds · Sun Oct 25 at WNY Flash · Sat Oct 31 vs Cleveland Force SC See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | GTFC Impact | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | +0 | 6 | 1.20 | LDD | +0.16 | -0.19 | 61% | 4.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at WNY Flash · Sun Oct 25 at Pittsburgh Riverhounds · Sat Oct 31 vs Internationals SC See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | NWI Lions United | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 8 | +0 | 6 | 1.00 | LWLL | +0.34 | -0.25 | 55% | 4.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 vs Indiana Elite FC · Sun Oct 25 at Indiana Elite FC · Sun Nov 8 at Cleveland Force SC See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Cleveland Force SC | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 2 | 0.40 | DLDLL | -0.17 | -0.05 | 4% | 6.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at Ohio Premier · Sun Nov 1 at GTFC Impact · Sat Nov 7 vs Indiana Elite FC See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Indiana Elite FC | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 28 | -22 | 1 | 0.17 | DLLL | +0.34 | -0.05 | 0% | 7.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 at NWI Lions United · Sun Oct 25 vs NWI Lions United · Sat Nov 7 at Cleveland Force SC See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | WNY Flash | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 26 | -21 | 1 | 0.14 | DLL | +0.47 | -0.05 | 0% | 7.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs GTFC Impact · Sun Oct 25 vs Ohio Premier · Sat Oct 31 vs Mercury See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.78 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.