PSA North
ECNL Regional League Girls · Northeast GU15 · 8 teams · Princeton SA (all teams)
Next game — Sat Dec 12, 02:15 PM
College of Mt. St. Vincent, Marillac Field ↗
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.4 for, 2.7 against · 1.24 expected points)
| Season so far | PSA North | Manhattan SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 7th | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | — | — |
| Biggest win | — | — |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
Game plan
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They struggle to score
Manhattan SC average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 35%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Away game
Kickoff 02:15 PM at College of Mt. St. Vincent.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
PDA SCP sit 6th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above PDA SCP on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Manhattan SC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (PSA North – Manhattan SC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Dec 7 – Sun Dec 13); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.00 PPG |
2nd▲ up 5 | 6th▲ up 1 | 6th▲ up 1 |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 6 | 1st▲ up 6 | 5th▲ up 2 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
2nd▲ up 5 | 6th▲ up 1 | 6th▲ up 1 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
8th▼ down 1 | 8th▼ down 1 | 8th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 13%
- 2nd 11%
- 3rd 13%
- 4th 13%
- 5th 13%
- 6th 12%
- 7th 13%
- 8th 13%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 14 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eastern FC | 0.00 (+0.00) | 8th (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 2 | Force FC | 0.00 (+0.00) | 3rd (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 3 | Long Island Slammers | 0.00 (+0.00) | 1st (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 4 | Manhattan SC | 0.00 (+0.00) | 4th (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 5 | NJ Crush FC | 0.00 (+0.00) | 5th (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 6 | PDA SCP | 0.00 (+0.00) | 6th (1.41) | Already ahead |
The path
run-in difficulty +0.00 · 7th hardest of 8
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Dec 12 02:15 PM |
Manhattan SC 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away College of Mt. St. Vincent |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.24 | Upside |
| Sun Dec 13 TBD |
NJ Crush FC 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.24 | Upside |
| Sun Dec 20 TBD |
Eastern FC 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.24 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 7 TBD |
Eastern FC 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.33 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 21 09:30 AM |
Force FC 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away Hudson Sports Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.31 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 TBD |
PDA SCP 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.35 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
Force FC 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.39 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 24 TBD |
Long Island Slammers 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.41 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 25 TBD |
SUSA FC Northeast 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.43 | Swing game |
| Sat May 1 TBD |
Manhattan SC 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.44 | Swing game |
| Sun May 2 TBD |
NJ Crush FC 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.46 | Swing game |
| Sat May 15 TBD |
Long Island Slammers 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.44 | Upside |
| Sun May 16 TBD |
SUSA FC Northeast 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.42 | Upside |
| Sun May 23 11:30 AM |
PDA SCP 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away Sparta HS · turf |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.41 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eastern FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 5 vs PDA SCP · Sat Dec 12 vs Long Island Slammers · Sun Dec 13 vs SUSA FC Northeast See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Force FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 28 vs PDA SCP · Sat Dec 12 vs SUSA FC Northeast · Sun Dec 13 vs Long Island Slammers See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Long Island Slammers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 at Eastern FC · Sun Dec 13 at Force FC · Sat Dec 19 vs Manhattan SC See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Manhattan SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Dec 6 vs PDA SCP · Sat Dec 12 vs PSA North · Sat Dec 19 at Long Island Slammers See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | NJ Crush FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Nov 29 vs PDA SCP · Sun Dec 13 vs PSA North · Sat Dec 19 at SUSA FC Northeast See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | PDA SCP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 28 at Force FC · Sun Nov 29 at NJ Crush FC · Sat Dec 5 at Eastern FC See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | PSA North | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 at Manhattan SC · Sun Dec 13 at NJ Crush FC · Sun Dec 20 at Eastern FC See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | SUSA FC Northeast | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 at Force FC · Sun Dec 13 at Eastern FC · Sat Dec 19 vs NJ Crush FC See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.