NJ Crush FC

ECNL Regional League Girls · Northeast GU15 · 8 teams · NJ Crush FC (all teams)

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5th

0-0-0 record · 0 played

0.00 points per game

+0 goal diff · 0–0

last 0

50% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.5

+0.00 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 29, TBD

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NJ Crush FC
5th · 0.00 PPG

PDA SCP
6th · 0.00 PPG

Venue TBD

47% 18% 35%

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.7 for, 2.4 against · 1.58 expected points)

Season so far	NJ Crush FC	PDA SCP
Position	5th	6th
Record (W-D-L)	0-0-0	0-0-0
Points per game	0.00	0.00
Goals for / game	0.0	0.0
Goals against / game	0.0	0.0
Clean sheets	0	0
Held scoreless	0	0
Form (recent first)	—	—
Biggest win	—	—
Worst loss	—	—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+0.00	+0.00
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	+0.00	+0.00

Game plan

They struggle to score
PDA SCP average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.
A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
Swing game — small margins
Win 47% / draw 18% / loss 35%.
Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
What a win does
Manhattan SC sit 4th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.
A point moves us above Manhattan SC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the PDA SCP game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (NJ Crush FC – PDA SCP) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 1 other games that week (Mon Nov 23 – Sun Nov 29); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Draw · 1.00 PPG	1st▲ up 4	3rd▲ up 2	3rd▲ up 2
Win 3.00 PPG	1st▲ up 4	1st▲ up 4	2nd▲ up 3
Draw 1.00 PPG	1st▲ up 4	3rd▲ up 2	3rd▲ up 2
Loss 0.00 PPG	8th▼ down 3	8th▼ down 3	8th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 3rd if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

12% finish 1st

50% top 4

50% below the top 4

4.5 average finish

1st 12%
2nd 12%
3rd 13%
4th 13%
5th 13%
6th 13%
7th 12%
8th 13%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 14 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	Eastern FC	0.00 (+0.00)	8th (1.41)	Already ahead
2	Force FC	0.00 (+0.00)	3rd (1.41)	Already ahead
3	Long Island Slammers	0.00 (+0.00)	1st (1.41)	Already ahead
4	Manhattan SC	0.00 (+0.00)	4th (1.41)	Already ahead

The path

run-in difficulty +0.00 · 5th hardest of 8

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sun Nov 29 TBD	PDA SCP 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.58	Swing game
Sun Dec 13 TBD	PSA North 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.58	Swing game
Sat Dec 19 10:30 AM	SUSA FC Northeast 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away The SUSA Orlin & Cohen Sports Complex	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.47	Upside
Sun Dec 20 12:10 PM	Long Island Slammers 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away The SUSA Orlin & Cohen Sports Complex	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.41	Upside
Sat Mar 6 TBD	SUSA FC Northeast 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.44	Swing game
Sun Mar 7 TBD	Long Island Slammers 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.47	Swing game
Sat Apr 17 TBD	Manhattan SC 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.43	Upside
Sat Apr 24 TBD	Force FC 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.45	Swing game
Sun Apr 25 TBD	Eastern FC 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.43	Upside
Sat May 1 11:30 AM	PDA SCP 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away Sparta HS · turf	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.41	Upside
Sun May 2 TBD	PSA North 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.39	Upside
Sat May 8 TBD	Manhattan SC 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.41	Swing game
Sat May 15 02:00 PM	Force FC 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away Hudson Sports Complex	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.40	Upside
Sun May 16 TBD	Eastern FC 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.41	Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Eastern FC

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 5 vs PDA SCP · Sat Dec 12 vs Long Island Slammers · Sun Dec 13 vs SUSA FC Northeast See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	PDA SCP (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Long Island Slammers (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Dec 13	vs	SUSA FC Northeast (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Dec 20	vs	PSA North (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	PDA SCP (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	PSA North (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Force FC (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Force FC (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Manhattan SC (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	NJ Crush FC (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 1	at	Long Island Slammers (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 2	at	SUSA FC Northeast (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 15	at	Manhattan SC (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 16	at	NJ Crush FC (5th)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Force FC

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Nov 28 vs PDA SCP · Sat Dec 12 vs SUSA FC Northeast · Sun Dec 13 vs Long Island Slammers See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Nov 28	vs	PDA SCP (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	SUSA FC Northeast (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Dec 13	vs	Long Island Slammers (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	PDA SCP (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Eastern FC (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	PSA North (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Eastern FC (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Manhattan SC (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	PSA North (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	NJ Crush FC (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	at	SUSA FC Northeast (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 2	at	Long Island Slammers (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 15	vs	NJ Crush FC (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Manhattan SC (4th)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Long Island Slammers

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 at Eastern FC · Sun Dec 13 at Force FC · Sat Dec 19 vs Manhattan SC See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Eastern FC (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Dec 13	at	Force FC (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Dec 19	vs	Manhattan SC (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Dec 20	vs	NJ Crush FC (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Manhattan SC (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	NJ Crush FC (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	SUSA FC Northeast (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	SUSA FC Northeast (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	PSA North (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	PDA SCP (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Eastern FC (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Force FC (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 15	vs	PSA North (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 16	vs	PDA SCP (6th)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Manhattan SC

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sun Dec 6 vs PDA SCP · Sat Dec 12 vs PSA North · Sat Dec 19 at Long Island Slammers See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Dec 6	vs	PDA SCP (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	PSA North (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Dec 19	at	Long Island Slammers (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Dec 20	at	SUSA FC Northeast (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Long Island Slammers (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	SUSA FC Northeast (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Force FC (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	NJ Crush FC (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Eastern FC (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	at	PSA North (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 2	at	PDA SCP (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 8	at	NJ Crush FC (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Eastern FC (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 16	at	Force FC (2nd)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

NJ Crush FC

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sun Nov 29 vs PDA SCP · Sun Dec 13 vs PSA North · Sat Dec 19 at SUSA FC Northeast See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 29	vs	PDA SCP (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Dec 13	vs	PSA North (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Dec 19	at	SUSA FC Northeast (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Dec 20	at	Long Island Slammers (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	SUSA FC Northeast (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Long Island Slammers (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Manhattan SC (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Force FC (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Eastern FC (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	at	PDA SCP (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 2	at	PSA North (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Manhattan SC (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 15	at	Force FC (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Eastern FC (1st)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

PDA SCP

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Nov 28 at Force FC · Sun Nov 29 at NJ Crush FC · Sat Dec 5 at Eastern FC See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Nov 28	at	Force FC (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Nov 29	at	NJ Crush FC (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	Eastern FC (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Dec 6	at	Manhattan SC (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Eastern FC (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Force FC (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	PSA North (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	SUSA FC Northeast (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Long Island Slammers (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 1	vs	NJ Crush FC (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Manhattan SC (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 15	at	SUSA FC Northeast (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 16	at	Long Island Slammers (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 23	vs	PSA North (7th)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

PSA North

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 at Manhattan SC · Sun Dec 13 at NJ Crush FC · Sun Dec 20 at Eastern FC See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Manhattan SC (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Dec 13	at	NJ Crush FC (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Dec 20	at	Eastern FC (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Eastern FC (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Force FC (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	PDA SCP (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Force FC (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Long Island Slammers (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	SUSA FC Northeast (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Manhattan SC (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 2	vs	NJ Crush FC (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 15	at	Long Island Slammers (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 16	at	SUSA FC Northeast (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 23	at	PDA SCP (6th)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

SUSA FC Northeast

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 at Force FC · Sun Dec 13 at Eastern FC · Sat Dec 19 vs NJ Crush FC See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Force FC (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Dec 13	at	Eastern FC (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Dec 19	vs	NJ Crush FC (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Dec 20	vs	Manhattan SC (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	NJ Crush FC (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Manhattan SC (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Long Island Slammers (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Long Island Slammers (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	PDA SCP (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	PSA North (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Force FC (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Eastern FC (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 15	vs	PDA SCP (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 16	vs	PSA North (7th)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.