World Class FC
ECNL Regional League Girls · New England GU13 · 9 teams · World Class FC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Nov 7, TBD
Venue TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 1–0 (expected goals 1.2 for, 0.5 against · 1.94 expected points)
| Season so far | World Class FC | FC Stars Blue |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-0-0 | 3-1-1 |
| Points per game | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals for / game | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W | W D L W W |
| Biggest win | 3–0 vs FSA FC | 2–0 vs FSA FC |
| Worst loss | — | 0–2 at SUSA FC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.92 | +0.28 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.38 | -0.38 |
Common opponents: SUSA FC — we 1–0; they 0–2. East Meadow Soccer Club — we 1–0; they 0–0. FSA FC — we 3–0; they 2–0.
Game plan
-
Swing game — small margins
Win 54% / draw 31% / loss 15%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
-
What a win does
Select South sit 1st on 3.00 PPG; we are on 3.00.A win moves us above Select South on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the FC Stars Blue game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (World Class FC – FC Stars Blue) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 3.00 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Draw 2.60 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Loss 2.40 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–0 win we stay 2nd even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 44%
- 2nd 45%
- 3rd 10%
- 4th 1%
- 5th
- 6th
- 7th
- 8th
- 9th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Select South | 3.00 (+0.00) | 1st (2.34) | Win next game |
How the results connect
8 chains · 7 teams
Paths of results that link World Class FC to FC Stars Blue through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
9 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.06 · 6th hardest of 9
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Sep 26 03:00 PM no score posted |
Select South 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +8 |
Away far trip
Union Point Sports Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
0–0 | 1.29 | 2.66 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 7 TBD |
FC Stars Blue 3rd · 3-1-1 · GD +3 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 54% |
1–0 | 1.94 | 2.54 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 8 TBD |
FC Stars White 5th · 3-0-3 · GD -1 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 70% |
1–0 | 2.31 | 2.51 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 15 TBD |
Scorpions SC 7th · 0-1-4 · GD -8 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 79% |
2–0 | 2.54 | 2.51 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 20 TBD |
Select South 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +8 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 38% |
0–0 | 1.47 | 2.39 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 21 TBD |
Scorpions SC 7th · 0-1-4 · GD -8 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 84% |
2–0 | 2.65 | 2.42 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 10 01:00 PM |
East Meadow Soccer Club 6th · 0-2-3 · GD -3 |
Away far trip
East Meadow Field of Dreams |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 54% |
0–0 | 2.02 | 2.38 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
FC Stars White 5th · 3-0-3 · GD -1 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 63% |
1–0 | 2.14 | 2.36 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 18 TBD |
FC Stars Blue 3rd · 3-1-1 · GD +3 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 48% |
1–0 | 1.77 | 2.32 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 24 TBD |
SUSA FC 4th · 3-0-2 · GD +4 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 41% |
0–0 | 1.59 | 2.27 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 25 TBD |
Connecticut FC United 8th · 0-0-1 · GD -2 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 74% |
1–0 | 2.41 | 2.28 | Bank it |
| Sat May 15 08:30 AM |
FSA FC 9th · 0-0-3 · GD -8 |
Away far trip
FSA-Farmington Sports Arena |
●○○○○ Favorable | 84% |
2–0 | 2.65 | 2.30 | Bank it |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Select South | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | +8 | 12 | 3.00 | WWWW | -0.20 | -0.13 | 100% | 1.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 vs World Class FC · Sat Oct 24 at FC Stars Blue · Sat Oct 31 at Scorpions SC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | World Class FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | +7 | 12 | 3.00 | WWWW | -0.38 | -0.06 | 100% | 1.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 at Select South · Sat Nov 7 vs FC Stars Blue · Sun Nov 8 vs FC Stars White See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | FC Stars Blue | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 10 | 2.00 | WWLDW | -0.38 | +0.10 | 80% | 4.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Select South · Sat Nov 7 at World Class FC · Sun Nov 8 at Connecticut FC United See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | SUSA FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 9 | 1.80 | LWWLW | +0.22 | -0.24 | 97% | 3.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Connecticut FC United · Sun Oct 25 vs FSA FC · Sun Nov 1 vs East Meadow Soccer Club See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | FC Stars White | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 9 | 1.50 | WWWLL | -0.08 | +0.05 | 19% | 5.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at Connecticut FC United · Sun Nov 8 at World Class FC · Sat Feb 27 at FC Stars Blue See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | East Meadow Soccer Club | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 2 | 0.40 | LLDDL | +0.23 | -0.08 | 0% | 7.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FSA FC · Sun Oct 25 vs Connecticut FC United · Sun Nov 1 at SUSA FC See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | Scorpions SC | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 1 | 0.20 | LLLDL | +0.29 | +0.01 | 0% | 7.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Select South · Sat Nov 14 vs Connecticut FC United · Sun Nov 15 vs World Class FC See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | Connecticut FC United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | L | +0.92 | -0.03 | 4% | 6.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at SUSA FC · Sun Oct 25 at East Meadow Soccer Club · Sat Oct 31 at FSA FC See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | FSA FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | -8 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +0.37 | +0.08 | 0% | 8.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at East Meadow Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 at SUSA FC · Sat Oct 31 vs Connecticut FC United See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (0.95 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.