FC Portland
ECNL Regional League Girls · Far West GU17 · 7 teams · FC Portland Academy (all teams)
Next game — Sat Jan 23, 07:00 PM
CFC Pioneer Sportspark, Ed Davison 1 ↗ far trip
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.4 for, 2.7 against · 1.24 expected points)
| Season so far | FC Portland | Capital FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | — | — |
| Biggest win | — | — |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
Game plan
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They struggle to score
Capital FC average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 35%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Away game
Kickoff 07:00 PM at CFC Pioneer Sportspark.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
Eugene Metro FC sit 3rd on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above Eugene Metro FC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Capital FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Portland – Capital FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Jan 18 – Sun Jan 24); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.00 PPG |
2nd▲ up 2 | 3rd▲ up 1 | 6th▼ down 2 |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 3 | 1st▲ up 3 | 2nd▲ up 2 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
2nd▲ up 2 | 6th▼ down 2 | 6th▼ down 2 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
7th▼ down 3 | 7th▼ down 3 | 7th▼ down 3 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 13%
- 2nd 15%
- 3rd 13%
- 4th 14%
- 5th 16%
- 6th 15%
- 7th 14%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Capital FC | 0.00 (+0.00) | 1st (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 2 | Eastside Timbers | 0.00 (+0.00) | 2nd (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 3 | Eugene Metro FC | 0.00 (+0.00) | 3rd (1.41) | Already ahead |
The path
run-in difficulty +0.00 · 4th hardest of 7
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Jan 23 07:00 PM |
Capital FC 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
CFC Pioneer Sportspark |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.24 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 30 07:00 PM |
Oregon Premier FC 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Liberty High School |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.41 | Swing game |
| Sat Feb 6 11:00 AM |
Eastside Timbers 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Liberty High School |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.47 | Swing game |
| Sun Feb 7 01:00 PM |
Oregon Premier FC 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
TBA |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.41 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 20 TBD |
United PDX 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.38 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 27 TBD |
Eugene Metro FC 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.35 | Upside |
| Sun Feb 28 09:00 AM |
Portland City United 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Buckman Field Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.34 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 6 01:00 PM |
Portland City United 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Liberty High School |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.37 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 3 02:00 PM |
Eastside Timbers 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Eastside Timbers Sports Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.35 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 4 11:00 AM |
Capital FC 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Liberty High School |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.38 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 17 01:00 PM |
Eugene Metro FC 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Liberty High School |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.39 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 24 11:00 AM |
United PDX 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Liberty High School |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.41 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Capital FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Jan 23 vs FC Portland · Sat Jan 30 at Eugene Metro FC · Sat Feb 6 at Portland City United See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Eastside Timbers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Jan 23 at Oregon Premier FC · Sat Jan 30 vs United PDX · Sat Feb 6 at FC Portland See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Eugene Metro FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Jan 30 vs Capital FC · Sat Feb 6 at United PDX · Sat Feb 13 vs Portland City United See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | FC Portland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Jan 23 at Capital FC · Sat Jan 30 vs Oregon Premier FC · Sat Feb 6 vs Eastside Timbers See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Oregon Premier FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Jan 23 vs Eastside Timbers · Sat Jan 30 at FC Portland · Sun Jan 31 at United PDX See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Portland City United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Jan 23 at United PDX · Sat Feb 6 vs Capital FC · Sat Feb 13 at Eugene Metro FC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | United PDX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Jan 23 vs Portland City United · Sat Jan 30 at Eastside Timbers · Sun Jan 31 vs Oregon Premier FC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.