Highland FC
ECNL Regional League Girls · Carolinas GU15 · 9 teams · Highland FC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 03:00 PM
Frank Liske Park , Field 3 ↗ far trip
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.1 for, 1.8 against · 0.92 expected points)
| Season so far | Highland FC | Charlotte SA White |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-3-1 | 4-1-1 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 2.17 |
| Goals for / game | 1.3 | 2.8 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W D L D D | W W D W L |
| Biggest win | 3–0 vs NCFC Youth Premier | 5–0 vs Wilmington Hammerheads |
| Worst loss | 0–3 vs NCFC Youth Elite | 1–3 at NCFC Youth Elite |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.24 | +1.04 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.21 | -0.29 |
Already played this season: Sun Sep 27 1–1 vs Charlotte SA White (D)
Common opponents: Wilmington Hammerheads — we 2–0; they 5–0. NCFC Youth Premier — we 2–2, 3–0; they 3–0. NCFC Youth Elite — we 0–3; they 1–3. NC Fusion — we 0–0; they 3–2.
Game plan
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Respect their attack
Charlotte SA White score 2.8/game — well above the league's 2.0.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–3 vs NCFC Youth Elite, 0–0 vs NC Fusion.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 23%; a draw (23%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Away game
Kickoff 03:00 PM at Frank Liske Park .Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Charlotte SA White game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Highland FC – Charlotte SA White) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.43 PPG |
4th— holds | 5th▼ down 1 | 5th▼ down 1 |
| Win 1.71 PPG |
4th— holds | 4th— holds | 4th— holds |
| Draw 1.43 PPG |
4th— holds | 5th▼ down 1 | 5th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 1.29 PPG |
4th— holds | 5th▼ down 1 | 5th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 4th even if every rival loses, and as low as 5th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd 1%
- 3rd 7%
- 4th 78%
- 5th 12%
- 6th 2%
- 7th <1%
- 8th
- 9th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 5 remaining known games (max 2.18 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NCFC Youth Elite | 3.00 (+1.50) | 1st (2.85) | 24 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Charlotte SA Blue | 2.60 (+1.10) | 2nd (2.17) | 20 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection |
| 3 | Charlotte SA White | 2.17 (+0.67) | 3rd (2.14) | 15 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection |
How the results connect
22 chains · 7 teams
Paths of results that link Highland FC to Charlotte SA White through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
13 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.57 · 8th hardest of 9
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 03:00 PM |
Charlotte SA White 3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +10 |
Away far trip
Frank Liske Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 23% |
1–1 | 0.92 | 1.42 | Upside |
| Sun Oct 25 01:00 PM |
Charlotte SA Blue 2nd · 4-1-0 · GD +17 |
Away far trip
Orthocarolina Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 17% |
1–2 | 0.71 | 1.33 | Upside |
| Sat Oct 31 09:00 AM |
South Carolina Surf 9th · 0-0-3 · GD -15 |
Home Buncombe County Sports Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 77% |
2–0 | 2.45 | 1.45 | Bank it |
| Sat Dec 12 02:00 PM |
Catawba Valley YSA 7th · 0-1-4 · GD -16 |
Home Buncombe County Sports Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 77% |
2–0 | 2.44 | 1.55 | Bank it |
| Sun Dec 13 03:00 PM |
Catawba Valley YSA 7th · 0-1-4 · GD -16 |
Away far trip
Pepsi Regional Soccer Complex |
●●○○○ Lean win | 69% |
2–0 | 2.24 | 1.62 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | NCFC Youth Elite | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | +32 | 21 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.85 | -0.04 | 100% | 1.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 11 at Catawba Valley YSA · Sat Oct 24 at Wilmington Hammerheads · Sat Oct 31 vs Charlotte SA Blue See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Charlotte SA Blue | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 5 | +17 | 13 | 2.60 | WWDWW | -1.27 | +0.42 | 100% | 2.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Highland FC · Sat Oct 31 at NCFC Youth Elite · Sat Nov 7 vs South Carolina Surf See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Charlotte SA White | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 7 | +10 | 13 | 2.17 | LWDWW | -0.29 | -0.41 | 100% | 2.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Highland FC · Sat Oct 31 vs Catawba Valley YSA · Sun Nov 1 at NCFC Youth Premier See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Highland FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 9 | 1.50 | DDLDW | +0.21 | -0.57 | 86% | 4.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Charlotte SA White · Sun Oct 25 at Charlotte SA Blue · Sat Oct 31 vs South Carolina Surf See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | NCFC Youth Premier | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 9 | 1.29 | DWWLD | -0.29 | +0.19 | 13% | 5.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs South Carolina Surf · Sun Nov 1 vs Charlotte SA White · Sat Dec 12 at Wilmington Hammerheads See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | NC Fusion | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 22 | -14 | 7 | 0.88 | LLDWL | +0.59 | -0.86 | 1% | 6.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs South Carolina Surf · Sun Nov 8 vs Wilmington Hammerheads · Sun Dec 6 at South Carolina Surf See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Catawba Valley YSA | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 1 | 0.20 | LLLLD | +0.13 | +0.21 | 0% | 8.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 11 vs NCFC Youth Elite · Sat Oct 31 at Charlotte SA White · Sat Dec 5 at South Carolina Surf See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Wilmington Hammerheads | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +1.01 | -0.31 | 0% | 7.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs NCFC Youth Elite · Sun Nov 8 at NC Fusion · Sat Dec 5 vs Charlotte SA Blue See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | South Carolina Surf | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 15 | -15 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +2.54 | -0.46 | 0% | 7.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at NCFC Youth Premier · Sun Oct 25 at NC Fusion · Sat Oct 31 at Highland FC See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.99 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.