Result · Sunday, Sep 13, 11:00 AM
NCFC Youth Premier 2–2 Highland FC
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 24% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 32% home, 24% draw, 44% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | NCFC Youth Premier | Highland FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-3-2 | 2-3-1 |
| Points per game | 1.29 | 1.50 |
| Goals for / game | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| Goals against / game | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | D L W W D | W D L D D |
| Biggest win | 4–1 vs Catawba Valley YSA | 3–0 vs NCFC Youth Premier |
| Worst loss | 0–3 at Charlotte SA White | 0–3 vs NCFC Youth Elite |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.27 | +0.24 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.29 | +0.21 |
Already met this season: Sep 13 2–2 (home for NCFC Youth Premier); Oct 17 0–3 (away for NCFC Youth Premier)
Common opponents: Charlotte SA White — NCFC Youth Premier 0–3; Highland FC 1–1. NC Fusion — NCFC Youth Premier 1–0; Highland FC 0–0.
What's at stake
| NCFC Youth Premier | Highland FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 4th |
| Games left | 4 | 5 |
| Chance of top 4 | 12% | 87% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 5.1 | 4.0 |
How the results connect
17 chains
4 favour NCFC Youth Premier, 8 favour Highland FC, 5 even; average margin -0.6 goals toward NCFC Youth Premier.
- 0NCFC Youth Premier drew with Highland FC 2–2
- -3NCFC Youth Premier lost to Highland FC 0–3
- +1NCFC Youth Premier beat NC Fusion 1–0 → NC Fusion drew with Highland FC 0–0
- -3NCFC Youth Premier lost to Charlotte SA White 0–3 → Charlotte SA White drew with Highland FC 1–1
- 0NCFC Youth Premier beat Catawba Valley YSA 4–1 → Catawba Valley YSA lost to Charlotte SA White 1–4 → Charlotte SA White drew with Highland FC 1–1
- 0NCFC Youth Premier beat NC Fusion 1–0 → NC Fusion beat Wilmington Hammerheads 3–2 → Wilmington Hammerheads lost to Highland FC 0–2
Full picture: NCFC Youth Premier · Highland FC · Carolinas GU15 standings