Colorado Storm North
ECNL Regional League Boys · Mountain BU17 · 8 teams · Colorado Storm (all teams)
Next game — Sat Feb 6, 11:00 AM
Stargate Charter School, Field 2 ↗
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.7 for, 2.4 against · 1.58 expected points)
| Season so far | Colorado Storm North | Pride SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 6th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | — | — |
| Biggest win | — | — |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
Game plan
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They struggle to score
Pride SC average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 47% / draw 18% / loss 35%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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What a win does
Colorado Rush sit 3rd on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above Colorado Rush on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Pride SC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Colorado Storm North – Pride SC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 1 other games that week (Mon Feb 1 – Sun Feb 7); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 3 | 2nd▲ up 2 | 3rd▲ up 1 |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 3 | 1st▲ up 3 | 2nd▲ up 2 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 3 | 3rd▲ up 1 | 3rd▲ up 1 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
8th▼ down 4 | 8th▼ down 4 | 8th▼ down 4 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 3rd if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 12%
- 2nd 13%
- 3rd 13%
- 4th 12%
- 5th 13%
- 6th 13%
- 7th 13%
- 8th 12%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 14 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal Colorado | 0.00 (+0.00) | 8th (1.40) | Already ahead |
| 2 | Colorado EDGE | 0.00 (+0.00) | 2nd (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 3 | Colorado Rush | 0.00 (+0.00) | 3rd (1.41) | Already ahead |
The path
run-in difficulty +0.00 · 4th hardest of 8
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Feb 6 11:00 AM |
Pride SC 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Stargate Charter School |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Sun Feb 7 02:00 PM |
Colorado EDGE 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Long Lake Regional Park · turf |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.41 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 27 11:00 AM |
Real Colorado North National 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Dry Creek Community Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.35 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 6 TBD |
Colorado Rush 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.33 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 7 12:00 PM |
Colorado Storm South 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Stargate Charter School |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.38 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 13 12:30 PM |
Arsenal Colorado 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Fort Collins Soccer Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.35 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 27 01:00 PM |
Real Colorado Athletico 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Stargate Charter School |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.39 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 4 04:00 PM |
Pride SC 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Pride Soccer Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.37 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 02:00 PM |
Colorado Storm South 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Gates South Soccer Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.35 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 01:00 PM |
Colorado EDGE 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Trail Winds · turf |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.38 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 24 11:00 AM |
Real Colorado North National 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Stargate Charter School |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.39 | Swing game |
| Sat May 1 01:00 PM |
Colorado Rush 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Stargate Charter School |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.41 | Swing game |
| Sat May 8 11:00 AM |
Arsenal Colorado 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Stargate Charter School |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.42 | Swing game |
| Sat May 15 11:15 AM |
Real Colorado Athletico 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Real Colorado Soccer Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.41 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal Colorado | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Feb 20 at Pride SC · Sat Feb 27 at Colorado Rush · Sat Mar 6 vs Colorado Storm South See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Colorado EDGE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Jan 31 vs Colorado Rush · Sat Feb 6 vs Real Colorado North National · Sun Feb 7 vs Colorado Storm North See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Colorado Rush | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Jan 31 at Colorado EDGE · Sat Feb 20 at Real Colorado North National · Sat Feb 27 vs Arsenal Colorado See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Colorado Storm North | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Feb 6 vs Pride SC · Sun Feb 7 at Colorado EDGE · Sat Feb 27 at Real Colorado North National See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Colorado Storm South | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Feb 20 at Real Colorado Athletico · Sat Feb 27 at Pride SC · Sun Feb 28 vs Colorado Rush See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Pride SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Feb 6 at Colorado Storm North · Sat Feb 20 vs Arsenal Colorado · Sat Feb 27 vs Colorado Storm South See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Real Colorado Athletico | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Feb 20 vs Colorado Storm South · Sat Feb 27 vs Colorado EDGE · Sat Mar 6 at Real Colorado North National See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Real Colorado North National | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Feb 6 at Colorado EDGE · Sat Feb 20 vs Colorado Rush · Sat Feb 27 vs Colorado Storm North See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.