Colorado Rush

ECNL Regional League Boys · Mountain BU17 · 8 teams · Colorado Rush (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 10 hours ago.

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3rd

0-0-0 record · 0 played

0.00 points per game

+0 goal diff · 0–0

last 0

49% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.5

+0.00 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Jan 31, 02:00 PM

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Colorado Rush
3rd · 0.00 PPG

Colorado EDGE
2nd · 0.00 PPG

Long Lake Regional Park, Turf East A ↗ · turf

35% 18% 47%

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.4 for, 2.7 against · 1.24 expected points)

Season so far	Colorado Rush	Colorado EDGE
Position	3rd	2nd
Record (W-D-L)	0-0-0	0-0-0
Points per game	0.00	0.00
Goals for / game	0.0	0.0
Goals against / game	0.0	0.0
Clean sheets	0	0
Held scoreless	0	0
Form (recent first)	—	—
Biggest win	—	—
Worst loss	—	—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+0.00	+0.00
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	+0.00	+0.00

Game plan

They struggle to score
Colorado EDGE average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.
A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 35%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.
Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
Away game
Kickoff 02:00 PM at Long Lake Regional Park.
Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
What a win does
Colorado EDGE sit 2nd on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.
A point moves us above Colorado EDGE on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Colorado EDGE game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Colorado Rush – Colorado EDGE) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Jan 25 – Sun Jan 31); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Draw · 1.00 PPG	2nd▲ up 1	2nd▲ up 1	2nd▲ up 1
Win 3.00 PPG	1st▲ up 2	1st▲ up 2	1st▲ up 2
Draw 1.00 PPG	2nd▲ up 1	2nd▲ up 1	2nd▲ up 1
Loss 0.00 PPG	8th▼ down 5	8th▼ down 5	8th▼ down 5

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

13% finish 1st

49% top 4

51% below the top 4

4.5 average finish

1st 13%
2nd 12%
3rd 12%
4th 12%
5th 12%
6th 13%
7th 13%
8th 13%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 14 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	Arsenal Colorado	0.00 (+0.00)	8th (1.40)	Already ahead
2	Colorado EDGE	0.00 (+0.00)	2nd (1.41)	Already ahead

The path

run-in difficulty +0.00 · 3rd hardest of 8

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sun Jan 31 02:00 PM	Colorado EDGE 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away Long Lake Regional Park · turf	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.24	Upside
Sat Feb 20 09:00 AM	Real Colorado North National 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away Dry Creek Community Park	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.24	Upside
Sat Feb 27 TBD	Arsenal Colorado 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.35	Swing game
Sun Feb 28 10:00 AM	Colorado Storm South 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away Cherokee Trail High School · turf?	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.33	Upside
Sat Mar 6 TBD	Colorado Storm North 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.38	Swing game
Sat Mar 13 TBD	Real Colorado Athletico 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.41	Swing game
Sat Mar 27 TBD	Pride SC 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.43	Swing game
Sun Apr 4 TBD	Colorado Storm South 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.45	Swing game
Sat Apr 10 TBD	Colorado EDGE 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.47	Swing game
Sat Apr 17 TBD	Real Colorado North National 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.48	Swing game
Sat Apr 24 TBD	Arsenal Colorado 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.46	Upside
Sat May 1 01:00 PM	Colorado Storm North 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away Stargate Charter School	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.44	Upside
Sat May 8 11:15 AM	Real Colorado Athletico 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away Real Colorado Soccer Complex	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.42	Upside
Sat May 15 12:00 PM	Pride SC 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away Pride Soccer Complex	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.41	Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Arsenal Colorado

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Feb 20 at Pride SC · Sat Feb 27 at Colorado Rush · Sat Mar 6 vs Colorado Storm South See all 13 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Pride SC (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	Colorado Rush (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Colorado Storm South (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Real Colorado North National (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Colorado Storm North (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 27	vs	Colorado EDGE (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Real Colorado Athletico (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Real Colorado North National (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Pride SC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Colorado Rush (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 1	at	Colorado Storm South (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 8	at	Colorado Storm North (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 15	at	Colorado EDGE (2nd)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Colorado EDGE

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sun Jan 31 vs Colorado Rush · Sat Feb 6 vs Real Colorado North National · Sun Feb 7 vs Colorado Storm North See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Jan 31	vs	Colorado Rush (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	Real Colorado North National (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Feb 7	vs	Colorado Storm North (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	Real Colorado Athletico (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Pride SC (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Colorado Storm South (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 27	at	Arsenal Colorado (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Real Colorado North National (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Colorado Rush (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Colorado Storm North (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Real Colorado Athletico (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Pride SC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Colorado Storm South (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Arsenal Colorado (1st)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Colorado Rush

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sun Jan 31 at Colorado EDGE · Sat Feb 20 at Real Colorado North National · Sat Feb 27 vs Arsenal Colorado See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Jan 31	at	Colorado EDGE (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Real Colorado North National (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	Arsenal Colorado (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Feb 28	at	Colorado Storm South (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Colorado Storm North (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Real Colorado Athletico (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 27	vs	Pride SC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Colorado Storm South (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Colorado EDGE (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Real Colorado North National (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Arsenal Colorado (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	at	Colorado Storm North (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 8	at	Real Colorado Athletico (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 15	at	Pride SC (6th)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Colorado Storm North

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Feb 6 vs Pride SC · Sun Feb 7 at Colorado EDGE · Sat Feb 27 at Real Colorado North National See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	Pride SC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Feb 7	at	Colorado EDGE (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	Real Colorado North National (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Colorado Rush (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Colorado Storm South (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Arsenal Colorado (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 27	vs	Real Colorado Athletico (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Pride SC (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Colorado Storm South (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Colorado EDGE (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Real Colorado North National (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Colorado Rush (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Arsenal Colorado (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 15	at	Real Colorado Athletico (7th)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Colorado Storm South

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Feb 20 at Real Colorado Athletico · Sat Feb 27 at Pride SC · Sun Feb 28 vs Colorado Rush See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Real Colorado Athletico (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	Pride SC (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Feb 28	vs	Colorado Rush (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Arsenal Colorado (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Colorado Storm North (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Colorado EDGE (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Colorado Rush (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Colorado Storm North (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Real Colorado Athletico (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Real Colorado North National (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Pride SC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Arsenal Colorado (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 8	at	Colorado EDGE (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 15	at	Real Colorado North National (8th)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Pride SC

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Feb 6 at Colorado Storm North · Sat Feb 20 vs Arsenal Colorado · Sat Feb 27 vs Colorado Storm South See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Feb 6	at	Colorado Storm North (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	Arsenal Colorado (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	Colorado Storm South (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Colorado EDGE (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Real Colorado Athletico (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Real Colorado North National (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 27	at	Colorado Rush (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Colorado Storm North (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Real Colorado Athletico (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Arsenal Colorado (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Colorado Storm South (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	at	Colorado EDGE (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 8	at	Real Colorado North National (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Colorado Rush (3rd)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Real Colorado Athletico

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Feb 20 vs Colorado Storm South · Sat Feb 27 vs Colorado EDGE · Sat Mar 6 at Real Colorado North National See all 13 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	Colorado Storm South (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	Colorado EDGE (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Real Colorado North National (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Pride SC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Colorado Rush (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 27	at	Colorado Storm North (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Arsenal Colorado (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Pride SC (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Colorado Storm South (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Colorado EDGE (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Real Colorado North National (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Colorado Rush (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Colorado Storm North (4th)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Real Colorado North National

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Feb 6 at Colorado EDGE · Sat Feb 20 vs Colorado Rush · Sat Feb 27 vs Colorado Storm North See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Feb 6	at	Colorado EDGE (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	Colorado Rush (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	Colorado Storm North (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Real Colorado Athletico (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Arsenal Colorado (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Pride SC (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Colorado EDGE (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Arsenal Colorado (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Colorado Rush (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Colorado Storm South (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Colorado Storm North (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	at	Real Colorado Athletico (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Pride SC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Colorado Storm South (5th)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.