Colorado EDGE
ECNL Regional League Boys · Mountain BU17 · 8 teams · Colorado EDGE (all teams)
Next game — Sun Jan 31, 02:00 PM
Long Lake Regional Park, Turf East A ↗ · turf
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.7 for, 2.4 against · 1.58 expected points)
| Season so far | Colorado EDGE | Colorado Rush |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | — | — |
| Biggest win | — | — |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
Game plan
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They struggle to score
Colorado Rush average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 47% / draw 18% / loss 35%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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What a win does
Arsenal Colorado sit 1st on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above Arsenal Colorado on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Colorado Rush game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Colorado EDGE – Colorado Rush) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Jan 25 – Sun Jan 31); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 1 | 1st▲ up 1 | 1st▲ up 1 |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 1 | 1st▲ up 1 | 1st▲ up 1 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 1 | 1st▲ up 1 | 1st▲ up 1 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
8th▼ down 6 | 8th▼ down 6 | 8th▼ down 6 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 12%
- 2nd 13%
- 3rd 12%
- 4th 12%
- 5th 13%
- 6th 13%
- 7th 12%
- 8th 13%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 14 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal Colorado | 0.00 (+0.00) | 8th (1.40) | Already ahead |
The path
run-in difficulty +0.00 · 2nd hardest of 8
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Jan 31 02:00 PM |
Colorado Rush 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Long Lake Regional Park · turf |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Sat Feb 6 02:00 PM |
Real Colorado North National 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Long Lake Regional Park · turf |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Sun Feb 7 02:00 PM |
Colorado Storm North 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Long Lake Regional Park · turf |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Sat Feb 27 11:15 AM |
Real Colorado Athletico 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Real Colorado Soccer Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.49 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 6 02:00 PM |
Pride SC 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Pride Soccer Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.44 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 13 02:00 PM |
Colorado Storm South 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Gates South Soccer Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.41 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 27 11:00 AM |
Arsenal Colorado 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Fort Collins Soccer Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.39 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 4 11:00 AM |
Real Colorado North National 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Dry Creek Community Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.37 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 TBD |
Colorado Rush 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.35 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 01:00 PM |
Colorado Storm North 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Trail Winds · turf |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.34 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 24 01:00 PM |
Real Colorado Athletico 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Long Lake Regional Park · turf |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.36 | Swing game |
| Sat May 1 01:00 PM |
Pride SC 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Long Lake Regional Park · turf |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.38 | Swing game |
| Sat May 8 01:00 PM |
Colorado Storm South 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Long Lake Regional Park · turf |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.40 | Swing game |
| Sat May 15 01:00 PM |
Arsenal Colorado 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Long Lake Regional Park · turf |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.41 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal Colorado | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Feb 20 at Pride SC · Sat Feb 27 at Colorado Rush · Sat Mar 6 vs Colorado Storm South See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Colorado EDGE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Jan 31 vs Colorado Rush · Sat Feb 6 vs Real Colorado North National · Sun Feb 7 vs Colorado Storm North See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Colorado Rush | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Jan 31 at Colorado EDGE · Sat Feb 20 at Real Colorado North National · Sat Feb 27 vs Arsenal Colorado See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Colorado Storm North | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Feb 6 vs Pride SC · Sun Feb 7 at Colorado EDGE · Sat Feb 27 at Real Colorado North National See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Colorado Storm South | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Feb 20 at Real Colorado Athletico · Sat Feb 27 at Pride SC · Sun Feb 28 vs Colorado Rush See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Pride SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Feb 6 at Colorado Storm North · Sat Feb 20 vs Arsenal Colorado · Sat Feb 27 vs Colorado Storm South See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Real Colorado Athletico | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Feb 20 vs Colorado Storm South · Sat Feb 27 vs Colorado EDGE · Sat Mar 6 at Real Colorado North National See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Real Colorado North National | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Feb 6 at Colorado EDGE · Sat Feb 20 vs Colorado Rush · Sat Feb 27 vs Colorado Storm North See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.