Colorado Rush
ECNL Regional League Boys · Mountain BU14 · 8 teams · Colorado Rush (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 09:00 AM
Stargate Charter School, Field 2 ↗ far trip
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.0 for, 1.7 against · 0.93 expected points)
| Season so far | Colorado Rush | Colorado Storm North |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-1-2 | 4-0-2 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals for / game | 2.0 | 1.3 |
| Goals against / game | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 4 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W D W L L | W W L W W |
| Biggest win | 4–1 at Real Colorado Athletico | 3–0 at Pride SC |
| Worst loss | 1–4 at Real Colorado North National | 1–3 vs Colorado Storm South |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.00 | +0.43 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.51 | -0.10 |
Common opponents: Arsenal Colorado — we 1–2; they 1–0. Real Colorado North National — we 1–4; they 0–1. Real Colorado Athletico — we 4–1; they 1–0. Pride SC — we 1–1; they 3–0. Colorado EDGE — we 3–1; they 2–0.
Game plan
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Hard to break down
Colorado Storm North concede only 0.7/game with 4 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 23%; a draw (24%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Away game
Kickoff 09:00 AM at Stargate Charter School.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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Early kickoff
Game time 09:00 AM.Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Colorado Storm North game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Colorado Rush – Colorado Storm North) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.33 PPG |
5th— holds | 5th— holds | 5th— holds |
| Win 1.67 PPG |
5th— holds | 5th— holds | 5th— holds |
| Draw 1.33 PPG |
5th— holds | 5th— holds | 5th— holds |
| Loss 1.17 PPG |
5th— holds | 5th— holds | 5th— holds |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 5th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd <1%
- 3rd 2%
- 4th 11%
- 5th 84%
- 6th 3%
- 7th <1%
- 8th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 2.62 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colorado Storm South | 2.67 (+1.27) | 1st (2.52) | 50 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection |
| 2 | Real Colorado North National | 2.50 (+1.10) | 3rd (1.88) | 46 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection |
| 3 | Arsenal Colorado | 2.17 (+0.77) | 2nd (2.11) | 39 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection |
| 4 | Colorado Storm North | 2.00 (+0.60) | 4th (1.79) | 35 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection |
How the results connect
26 chains · 8 teams
Paths of results that link Colorado Rush to Colorado Storm North through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
9 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.16 · 1st hardest of 8
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 18 01:00 PM no score posted |
Colorado Storm South 1st · 5-1-0 · GD +18 |
Away far trip
Gates South Soccer Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 6% |
0–3 | 0.28 | 1.21 | Upside |
| Sun Oct 25 09:00 AM |
Colorado Storm North 4th · 4-0-2 · GD +4 |
Away far trip
Stargate Charter School |
●●●●● Very tough | 23% |
1–1 | 0.93 | 1.17 | Upside |
| Sun Jan 31 10:00 AM |
Colorado EDGE 7th · 1-0-5 · GD -14 |
Away far trip
Long Lake Regional Park · turf |
●●○○○ Lean win | 67% |
2–1 | 2.19 | 1.30 | Swing game |
| Sat Feb 20 11:00 AM |
Real Colorado North National 2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +6 |
Away far trip
Dry Creek Community Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 25% |
1–2 | 0.92 | 1.26 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 27 TBD |
Arsenal Colorado 3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +10 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 18% |
0–1 | 0.74 | 1.21 | Upside |
| Sun Feb 28 12:00 PM |
Colorado Storm South 1st · 5-1-0 · GD +18 |
Away far trip
Cherokee Trail High School |
●●●●● Very tough | 6% |
0–3 | 0.28 | 1.12 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 6 TBD |
Colorado Storm North 4th · 4-0-2 · GD +4 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 30% |
1–1 | 1.15 | 1.12 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 13 TBD |
Real Colorado Athletico 8th · 0-0-6 · GD -13 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 74% |
2–0 | 2.36 | 1.22 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 3 TBD |
Colorado Storm South 1st · 5-1-0 · GD +18 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 10% |
0–2 | 0.42 | 1.16 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 TBD |
Colorado EDGE 7th · 1-0-5 · GD -14 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 75% |
2–0 | 2.41 | 1.25 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
Real Colorado North National 2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +6 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 33% |
1–2 | 1.20 | 1.24 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 TBD |
Pride SC 6th · 1-1-5 · GD -12 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 71% |
2–1 | 2.28 | 1.30 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 24 TBD |
Arsenal Colorado 3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +10 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 13% |
0–2 | 0.56 | 1.26 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 11:00 AM |
Colorado Storm North 4th · 4-0-2 · GD +4 |
Away far trip
Stargate Charter School |
●●●●● Very tough | 23% |
1–1 | 0.93 | 1.25 | Upside |
| Sat May 8 11:15 AM |
Real Colorado Athletico 8th · 0-0-6 · GD -13 |
Away far trip
Real Colorado Soccer Complex |
●●○○○ Lean win | 65% |
2–1 | 2.15 | 1.29 | Swing game |
| Sat May 15 12:00 PM |
Pride SC 6th · 1-1-5 · GD -12 |
Away far trip
Pride Soccer Complex |
●●○○○ Lean win | 62% |
2–1 | 2.05 | 1.33 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Colorado Storm South | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 2 | +18 | 16 | 2.67 | WDWWW | -0.26 | -0.24 | 100% | 1.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 18 vs Colorado Rush · Sat Feb 20 at Real Colorado Athletico · Sat Feb 27 at Pride SC See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Real Colorado North National | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 15 | 2.50 | WWWLW | -0.27 | +0.01 | 97% | 3.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Arsenal Colorado · Sat Feb 6 at Colorado EDGE · Sat Feb 20 vs Colorado Rush See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Arsenal Colorado | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | +10 | 13 | 2.17 | DLWWW | -0.31 | -0.09 | 100% | 2.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Real Colorado North National · Sat Feb 20 at Pride SC · Sat Feb 27 at Colorado Rush See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Colorado Storm North | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 12 | 2.00 | WWLWW | -0.10 | -0.05 | 91% | 3.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Colorado Rush · Sat Feb 6 vs Pride SC · Sun Feb 7 at Colorado EDGE See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Colorado Rush | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 7 | 1.40 | LLWDW | -0.51 | +0.16 | 13% | 4.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 18 at Colorado Storm South · Sun Oct 25 at Colorado Storm North · Sun Jan 31 at Colorado EDGE See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Pride SC | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 4 | 0.57 | WLDLL | +0.21 | +0.08 | 0% | 6.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Feb 6 at Colorado Storm North · Sat Feb 13 at Real Colorado Athletico · Sat Feb 20 vs Arsenal Colorado See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Colorado EDGE | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 3 | 0.50 | LLLLL | +0.49 | +0.11 | 0% | 7.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Real Colorado Athletico · Sun Jan 31 vs Colorado Rush · Sat Feb 6 vs Real Colorado North National See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Real Colorado Athletico | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.45 | +0.01 | 0% | 7.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Colorado EDGE · Sat Feb 13 vs Pride SC · Sat Feb 20 vs Colorado Storm South See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.55 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.