Elite FC
ECNL Regional League Boys · GLA BU17 · 10 teams · Elite FC (all teams)
Next game — Sun Nov 15, 09:00 AM
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.7 for, 2.4 against · 1.58 expected points)
| Season so far | Elite FC | Blast FC Academy |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | — | — |
| Biggest win | — | — |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
Game plan
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They struggle to score
Blast FC Academy average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 47% / draw 18% / loss 35%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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Early kickoff
Game time 09:00 AM.Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
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What a win does
Columbus Force sit 3rd on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above Columbus Force on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Blast FC Academy game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Elite FC – Blast FC Academy) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Nov 9 – Sun Nov 15); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.00 PPG |
2nd▲ up 2 | 4th— holds | 8th▼ down 4 |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 3 | 1st▲ up 3 | 3rd▲ up 1 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
2nd▲ up 2 | 8th▼ down 4 | 8th▼ down 4 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
10th▼ down 6 | 10th▼ down 6 | 10th▼ down 6 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 8th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 11%
- 2nd 9%
- 3rd 9%
- 4th 11%
- 5th 10%
- 6th 9%
- 7th 10%
- 8th 10%
- 9th 10%
- 10th 11%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blast FC Academy | 0.00 (+0.00) | 1st (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 2 | Cincinnati Elite FC | 0.00 (+0.00) | 3rd (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 3 | Columbus Force | 0.00 (+0.00) | 4th (1.41) | Already ahead |
The path
run-in difficulty +0.00 · 4th hardest of 10
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Jan 1 TBD no score posted |
Ohio Premier 10th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.24 | Upside |
| Mon Jan 1 TBD no score posted |
Columbus Force 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.24 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 15 09:00 AM |
Blast FC Academy 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Shelly Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.35 | Swing game |
| Sat Dec 12 11:00 AM |
Lexington Sporting Club 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Lexington Sporting Club Youth Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.33 | Upside |
| Sun Dec 13 09:00 AM |
Louisville City Academy 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Lynn Family Sports Vision & Training Facility |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.31 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 13 10:00 AM |
Ohio Elite SA 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Shelly Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.35 | Swing game |
| Sun Feb 14 10:00 AM |
Cincinnati Elite FC 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Shelly Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.39 | Swing game |
| Sat Feb 27 TBD |
FC Pride Elite 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.37 | Upside |
| Sun Feb 28 02:00 PM |
Ohio Galaxies FC 9th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Athletes in Action Sports Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.35 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 6 TBD |
Blast FC Academy 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.34 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 13 12:00 PM |
Lexington Sporting Club 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Shelly Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.36 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 14 11:00 AM |
Louisville City Academy 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Shelly Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.38 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 17 11:00 AM |
Columbus Force 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Shelly Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.40 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 18 11:00 AM |
Ohio Premier 10th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Shelly Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.41 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 24 01:30 PM |
Ohio Elite SA 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Ohio Elite Training Center |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.40 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 25 TBD |
Cincinnati Elite FC 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.39 | Upside |
| Sat May 8 01:00 PM |
FC Pride Elite 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Shelly Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.40 | Swing game |
| Sun May 9 12:00 PM |
Ohio Galaxies FC 9th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Shelly Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.41 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blast FC Academy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Mon Jan 1 at Columbus Force · Mon Jan 1 at Ohio Premier · Sun Nov 15 at Elite FC See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Cincinnati Elite FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Nov 15 at Ohio Elite SA · Sat Dec 5 at Louisville City Academy · Sun Dec 6 at Lexington Sporting Club See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Columbus Force | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Mon Jan 1 vs Blast FC Academy · Mon Jan 1 vs Elite FC · Sun Nov 15 vs Ohio Premier See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Elite FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Mon Jan 1 at Ohio Premier · Mon Jan 1 at Columbus Force · Sun Nov 15 vs Blast FC Academy See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | FC Pride Elite | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 5 vs Columbus Force · Sun Dec 6 vs Ohio Premier · Sat Dec 12 at Ohio Elite SA See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Lexington Sporting Club | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Nov 15 vs Louisville City Academy · Sat Dec 5 vs Ohio Elite SA · Sun Dec 6 vs Cincinnati Elite FC See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Louisville City Academy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Nov 15 at Lexington Sporting Club · Sat Dec 5 vs Cincinnati Elite FC · Sun Dec 6 vs Ohio Elite SA See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Ohio Elite SA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Nov 15 vs Cincinnati Elite FC · Sat Dec 5 at Lexington Sporting Club · Sun Dec 6 at Louisville City Academy See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Ohio Galaxies FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 5 vs Ohio Premier · Sun Dec 6 vs Columbus Force · Sat Dec 12 at Cincinnati Elite FC See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Ohio Premier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Mon Jan 1 vs Blast FC Academy · Mon Jan 1 vs Elite FC · Sun Nov 15 at Columbus Force See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.