TableChase Clubs

Parkland Soccer Club

ECNL Regional League Boys · Florida BU18/19 · 10 teams · Parkland Soccer Club (all teams)

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9th
1-3-4 record · 8 played
0.75 points per game
-11 goal diff · 12–23
DLLDLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 8.6
+0.04 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 01:15 PM

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Parkland Soccer Club
9th · 0.75 PPG
at
Davie United SC
2nd · 2.00 PPG

Bamford Sports Complex, Bronco 4 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.4 for, 3.6 against · 0.44 expected points)

Season so farParkland Soccer ClubDavie United SC
Position9th2nd
Record (W-D-L)1-3-43-1-1
Points per game0.752.00
Goals for / game1.53.2
Goals against / game2.91.8
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless20
Form (recent first)L D L L DW W W L D
Biggest win4–3 vs SWFL PREMIER FC5–1 vs Athletic Club Florida
Worst loss1–6 at Fort Lauderdale United FC3–4 vs SWFL PREMIER FC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.97+0.80
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.04-0.28

Common opponents: Doral Soccer Club — we 0–2; they 3–1. Athletic Club Florida — we 2–2; they 5–1. SWFL PREMIER FC — we 4–3; they 3–4. AC Florida Tropical — we 0–1; they 2–0. Fort Lauderdale United FC — we 1–6; they 3–3.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Davie United SC score 3.2/game — well above the league's 2.2.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–2 at Doral Soccer Club, 0–1 vs AC Florida Tropical.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 11%; a draw (12%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    Davie United SC have won 3 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 01:15 PM at Bamford Sports Complex.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Wellington SC sit 8th on 0.80 PPG; we are on 0.75.

    A point moves us above Wellington SC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Davie United SC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Parkland Soccer Club – Davie United SC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.67 PPG
9th— holds 9th— holds 10th▼ down 1
Win
1.00 PPG
7th▲ up 2 7th▲ up 2 10th▼ down 1
Draw
0.78 PPG
9th— holds 8th▲ up 1 10th▼ down 1
Loss
0.67 PPG
9th— holds 9th— holds 10th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–3 loss we finish as high as 8th if every rival drops points, and as low as 10th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
8.6 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th 2%
  6. 6th 7%
  7. 7th 12%
  8. 8th 21%
  9. 9th 27%
  10. 10th 31%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 10 remaining known games (max 2.00 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Strikers Miami FC 3.00 (+2.25) 1st (2.76) 48 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Davie United SC 2.00 (+1.25) 2nd (1.90) 30 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
3 SWFL PREMIER FC 1.75 (+1.00) 4th (1.68) 26 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
4 Fort Lauderdale United FC 1.63 (+0.88) 3rd (1.74) 24 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
5 Doral Soccer Club 1.17 (+0.42) 5th (1.31) 16 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
6 Cape Coral SA 1.00 (+0.25) 6th (1.05) Win next game
7 AC Florida Tropical 0.80 (+0.05) 7th (1.03) A point next game
8 Wellington SC 0.80 (+0.05) 8th (0.92) A point next game

How the results connect

25 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link Parkland Soccer Club to Davie United SC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

5 favour us
2 even
18 favour them
-2.2 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
4–3 4–3 0–1 0–2 2–2 1–5 0–2 1–3 1–6 3–3 2–2 2–3 3–1 1–5 5–1 5–0 4–1 2–2 1–1 1–0 Parkland Soccer Club 9th SWFL PREMIER FC 3rd AC Florida Tropical 7th Athletic Club Flori… 10th Doral Soccer Club 5th Fort Lauderdale Uni… 4th Wellington SC 8th Strikers Miami FC 1st Cape Coral SA 6th Davie United SC 2nd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

13 game days

1st 5th 10th Aug 23 Sep 13 Oct 3 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.16 · 1st hardest of 10

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Aug 30
03:00 PM
no score posted
Strikers Miami FC
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +25
Home
Terramar Park
●●●●● Very tough
4%
1–4 0.18 0.69 Upside
Sat Oct 17
03:30 PM
no score posted
Doral Soccer Club
5th · 2-1-3 · GD -4
Home
Terramar Park
●●●●○ Tough
33%
1–1 1.22 0.74 Upside
Sat Oct 24
01:15 PM
Davie United SC
2nd · 3-1-1 · GD +7
Away far trip
Bamford Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
11%
1–3 0.44 0.71 Upside
Sun Nov 1
01:45 PM
AC Florida Tropical
7th · 1-1-3 · GD -5
Away far trip
Tropical Park
●●●●○ Tough
30%
1–2 1.12 0.75 Upside
Sat Mar 6
03:30 PM
Davie United SC
2nd · 3-1-1 · GD +7
Home
Terramar Park
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–3 0.66 0.74 Upside
Sun Mar 7
03:00 PM
Fort Lauderdale United FC
4th · 4-1-3 · GD +8
Home
Terramar Park
●●●●● Very tough
19%
1–3 0.71 0.74 Upside
Sat Apr 3
03:00 PM
Cape Coral SA
6th · 1-3-2 · GD -6
Away far trip
Cape Coral Sports Complex
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–2 1.12 0.76 Upside
Sun Apr 4
01:00 PM
SWFL PREMIER FC
3rd · 4-2-2 · GD +1
Away far trip
Lakewood Ranch Park
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–3 0.66 0.76 Upside
Sun Apr 11
11:00 AM
Athletic Club Florida
10th · 0-1-2 · GD -7
Away
North Community Park
●●●●○ Tough
36%
1–2 1.29 0.79 Upside
Sat Apr 17
03:30 PM
Wellington SC
8th · 1-1-3 · GD -8
Home
Terramar Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
2–1 1.53 0.83 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Strikers Miami FC 6600 305+25 183.00 WWWWW -0.34 -0.31 100% 1.0
2 Davie United SC 5311 169+7 102.00 DLWWW -0.28 -0.07 97% 2.6
3 SWFL PREMIER FC 8422 2221+1 141.75 LWLDW +0.09 -0.14 84% 3.6
4 Fort Lauderdale United FC 8413 2517+8 131.63 WWWLL -0.02 -0.15 91% 3.2
5 Doral Soccer Club 6213 812-4 71.17 LLDLW +0.49 -0.20 20% 5.4
6 Cape Coral SA 6132 814-6 61.00 LDWLD +0.00 +0.07 3% 7.0
7 AC Florida Tropical 5113 611-5 40.80 LLWDL -0.02 +0.06 3% 7.2
8 Wellington SC 5113 715-8 40.80 WLLLD +0.38 -0.03 1% 7.9
9 Parkland Soccer Club 8134 1223-11 60.75 DLLDL +0.04 +0.16 0% 8.6
10 Athletic Club Florida 3012 310-7 10.33 DLL +0.22 +0.08 1% 8.4

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.19 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.