Sporting SA TLH
ECNL Regional League Boys · Florida BU18/19 · 10 teams · Sporting SA (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 31, 11:00 AM
Veterans Park, Field 2 ↗ far trip
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 2–0 (expected goals 2.1 for, 0.7 against · 2.26 expected points)
| Season so far | Sporting SA TLH | Sporting SA JAX |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 8th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 7-3-0 | 1-5-3 |
| Points per game | 2.40 | 0.89 |
| Goals for / game | 3.3 | 1.1 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 1.2 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 4 |
| Form (recent first) | D W W W W | D L L D W |
| Biggest win | 7–0 at Fishhawk Premier FC | 4–0 vs South Orlando SC |
| Worst loss | — | 1–4 vs Florida Premier FC Gold |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.95 | -0.11 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.13 | -0.18 |
Common opponents: Florida Kraze Krush — we 1–1; they 0–0. Florida Premier FC BLACK — we 0–0, 5–1; they 1–1, 0–0. Florida Premier FC Gold — we 3–1, 1–1; they 1–4, 0–1. South Orlando SC — we 5–0; they 4–0. Space Coast United — we 6–1; they 2–2. Florida Celtic — we 2–1; they 0–1. Fishhawk Premier FC — we 7–0; they 2–2.
Game plan
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–0 vs Florida Premier FC BLACK.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 69% / draw 19% / loss 12%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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Away game
Kickoff 11:00 AM at Veterans Park.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Sporting SA JAX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Sporting SA TLH – Sporting SA JAX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.45 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Win 2.45 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Draw 2.27 PPG |
1st— holds | 2nd▼ down 1 | 2nd▼ down 1 |
| Loss 2.18 PPG |
1st— holds | 2nd▼ down 1 | 2nd▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–0 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 86%
- 2nd 14%
- 3rd <1%
- 4th <1%
- 5th
- 6th
- 7th
- 8th
- 9th
- 10th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.
How the results connect
73 chains · 8 teams
Paths of results that link Sporting SA TLH to Sporting SA JAX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
11 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.40 · 9th hardest of 10
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 31 11:00 AM |
Sporting SA JAX 8th · 1-5-3 · GD -1 |
Away far trip
Veterans Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 69% |
2–0 | 2.26 | 2.39 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 1 12:00 PM |
FC America 4th · 3-2-2 · GD +2 |
Home Florida State University Rec Sportsplex |
●○○○○ Favorable | 76% |
2–1 | 2.41 | 2.39 | Bank it |
| Sat Feb 27 02:00 PM |
Florida Kraze Krush 6th · 3-2-3 · GD +8 |
Home Florida State University Rec Sportsplex |
●●○○○ Lean win | 68% |
2–1 | 2.22 | 2.38 | Swing game |
| Sun Feb 28 01:00 PM |
Sporting SA JAX 8th · 1-5-3 · GD -1 |
Home Florida State University Rec Sportsplex |
●○○○○ Favorable | 76% |
2–0 | 2.44 | 2.38 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 6 05:00 PM |
Fishhawk Premier FC 9th · 0-3-5 · GD -20 |
Home Florida State University Rec Sportsplex |
●○○○○ Favorable | 96% |
5–0 | 2.91 | 2.42 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 7 01:00 PM |
Florida Celtic 2nd · 5-2-1 · GD +17 |
Home Florida State University Rec Sportsplex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 51% |
1–1 | 1.76 | 2.37 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 10 04:00 PM |
Space Coast United 7th · 3-1-5 · GD -8 |
Away far trip
SCU - Viera Regional Park Soccer Fields |
●○○○○ Favorable | 82% |
3–0 | 2.57 | 2.39 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 11 11:30 AM |
South Orlando SC 10th · 0-1-6 · GD -32 |
Away far trip
Young Pine Community Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 98% |
6–0 | 2.96 | 2.42 | Bank it |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Sporting SA TLH | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 33 | 7 | +26 | 24 | 2.40 | WWWWD | -0.13 | -0.40 | 100% | 1.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at Sporting SA JAX · Sun Nov 1 vs FC America · Sat Feb 27 vs Florida Kraze Krush See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Florida Celtic | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 6 | +17 | 17 | 2.13 | WLWWD | -0.21 | -0.13 | 100% | 2.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Fishhawk Premier FC · Sat Oct 31 vs Florida Premier FC Gold · Sun Nov 1 vs Florida Premier FC BLACK See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Florida Premier FC Gold | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 15 | 1.67 | DLWWD | +0.36 | -0.47 | 66% | 4.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Space Coast United · Sun Oct 25 at South Orlando SC · Sat Oct 31 at Florida Celtic See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | FC America | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 12 | +2 | 11 | 1.57 | DLWWD | +0.31 | -0.35 | 54% | 4.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 at South Orlando SC · Sun Nov 1 at Sporting SA TLH · Sun Feb 21 vs Florida Kraze Krush See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Florida Premier FC BLACK | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 13 | 1.44 | WLLDW | +0.18 | -0.40 | 40% | 4.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 19 vs Florida Kraze Krush · Sun Oct 25 at Space Coast United · Sat Oct 31 at Fishhawk Premier FC See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Florida Kraze Krush | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 11 | 1.38 | WLWLW | -0.24 | -0.06 | 40% | 4.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 19 at Florida Premier FC BLACK · Sun Feb 21 at FC America · Sat Feb 27 at Sporting SA TLH See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Space Coast United | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 10 | 1.11 | DLWLW | -0.03 | +0.03 | 0% | 7.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Florida Premier FC Gold · Sun Oct 25 vs Florida Premier FC BLACK · Sun Feb 28 vs South Orlando SC See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Sporting SA JAX | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 8 | 0.89 | WDLLD | -0.18 | +0.14 | 0% | 7.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Sporting SA TLH · Sun Feb 28 at Sporting SA TLH · Sat Mar 6 vs Florida Celtic See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Fishhawk Premier FC | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 28 | -20 | 3 | 0.38 | LDLLL | +0.17 | +0.17 | 0% | 9.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Florida Celtic · Sat Oct 31 vs Florida Premier FC BLACK · Sun Nov 1 vs Florida Premier FC Gold See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | South Orlando SC | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 38 | -32 | 1 | 0.14 | LLLLL | +0.28 | +0.32 | 0% | 9.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 vs FC America · Sun Oct 25 vs Florida Premier FC Gold · Sun Feb 28 at Space Coast United See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.85 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.