TableChase Clubs

Strikers Miami FC

ECNL Regional League Boys · Florida BU15 · 10 teams · Strikers Miami FC (all teams)

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3rd
6-2-0 record · 8 played
2.50 points per game
+16 goal diff · 20–4
WDWDWlast 5
100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 2.2
-0.50 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 22, TBD

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Strikers Miami FC
3rd · 2.50 PPG
vs
Doral Soccer Club
4th · 1.60 PPG

Venue TBD

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 1–0 (expected goals 1.9 for, 0.8 against · 2.11 expected points)

Season so farStrikers Miami FCDoral Soccer Club
Position3rd4th
Record (W-D-L)6-2-02-2-1
Points per game2.501.60
Goals for / game2.51.6
Goals against / game0.51.4
Clean sheets42
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)W D W D WW D L D W
Biggest win6–0 at Parkland Soccer Club3–0 at AC Florida Tropical
Worst loss—0–4 at Cape Coral SA
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.26+0.19
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.50+0.18

Common opponents: AC Florida Tropical — we 1–0; they 3–0. SWFL PREMIER FC — we 2–0; they 1–1. Cape Coral SA — we 1–1; they 0–4. Fort Lauderdale United FC — we 1–1; they 2–0.

Game plan

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 63% / draw 22% / loss 15%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • What a win does
    Wellington SC sit 2nd on 2.50 PPG; we are on 2.50.

    A point moves us above Wellington SC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Doral Soccer Club game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Strikers Miami FC – Doral Soccer Club) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Nov 16 – Sun Nov 22); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.56 PPG
2nd▲ up 1 2nd▲ up 1 2nd▲ up 1
Win
2.56 PPG
2nd▲ up 1 2nd▲ up 1 2nd▲ up 1
Draw
2.33 PPG
3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds
Loss
2.22 PPG
3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–0 win we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

23% finish 1st
100% top 4
0% below the top 4
2.2 average finish
  1. 1st 23%
  2. 2nd 36%
  3. 3rd 38%
  4. 4th 3%
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 10 remaining known games (max 2.78 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Davie United SC 2.67 (+0.17) 1st (2.29) 29 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
2 Wellington SC 2.50 (+0.00) 2nd (2.28) A point next game

How the results connect

32 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link Strikers Miami FC to Doral Soccer Club through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

14 favour us
3 even
15 favour them
+0.8 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–1 0–2 2–0 1–1 1–0 0–3 1–1 4–0 5–2 6–0 0–4 3–1 0–2 3–0 1–2 3–1 2–1 2–3 0–3 2–2 3–1 Strikers Miami FC 3rd Fort Lauderdale Uni… 7th SWFL PREMIER FC 5th AC Florida Tropical 8th Cape Coral SA 6th Parkland Soccer Club 9th Athletic Club Flori… 10th Wellington SC 2nd Davie United SC 1st Doral Soccer Club 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

13 game days

1st 5th 10th Aug 23 Sep 12 Sep 27 Oct 10 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.24 · 1st hardest of 10

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 22
TBD
Doral Soccer Club
4th · 2-2-1 · GD +1
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
63%
1–0 2.11 2.46 Swing game
Sun Feb 7
02:00 PM
Davie United SC
1st · 5-1-0 · GD +16
Away far trip
Bamford Sports Complex
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–1 1.30 2.34 Upside
Sun Feb 28
TBD
Fort Lauderdale United FC
7th · 3-1-4 · GD +5
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
64%
2–1 2.12 2.32 Swing game
Sat Mar 6
02:00 PM
Wellington SC
2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +20
Away far trip
Village Park
●●●●○ Tough
37%
1–1 1.33 2.24 Upside
Sun Mar 7
TBD
Davie United SC
1st · 5-1-0 · GD +16
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
1–1 1.55 2.19 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
TBD
AC Florida Tropical
8th · 1-0-6 · GD -12
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
84%
2–0 2.64 2.22 Bank it
Sat Apr 10
TBD
Cape Coral SA
6th · 3-1-3 · GD +2
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
65%
2–0 2.14 2.21 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
TBD
SWFL PREMIER FC
5th · 4-2-3 · GD -4
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
76%
2–0 2.42 2.23 Bank it
Sat Apr 17
07:00 PM
Doral Soccer Club
4th · 2-2-1 · GD +1
Away
Morgan Levy Park Doral
●●●○○ Toss-up
55%
1–0 1.90 2.21 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
11:00 AM
Athletic Club Florida
10th · 0-1-5 · GD -23
Away far trip
Mullins Park · turf
●○○○○ Favorable
90%
3–0 2.77 2.24 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Davie United SC 6510 215+16 162.67 WWDWW -0.51 -0.01 100% 1.9
2 Wellington SC 6501 288+20 152.50 WWWLW -0.37 -0.10 100% 1.9
3 Strikers Miami FC 8620 204+16 202.50 WDWDW -0.50 +0.24 100% 2.2
4 Doral Soccer Club 5221 87+1 81.60 WDLDW +0.18 -0.07 37% 5.1
5 SWFL PREMIER FC 9423 1721-4 141.56 LLDWW -0.01 +0.05 9% 6.1
6 Cape Coral SA 7313 1412+2 101.43 WWDLW +0.24 -0.18 35% 5.1
7 Fort Lauderdale United FC 8314 1914+5 101.25 WLWDL -0.08 -0.00 20% 5.6
8 AC Florida Tropical 7106 618-12 30.43 LLWLL +0.19 +0.09 0% 8.3
9 Parkland Soccer Club 8026 526-21 20.25 LLLLL +0.21 +0.24 0% 9.4
10 Athletic Club Florida 6015 528-23 10.17 LDLLL +0.49 +0.14 0% 9.3

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.97 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.