TableChase Clubs

Fort Lauderdale United FC

ECNL Regional League Boys · Florida BU15 · 10 teams · Fort Lauderdale United FC (all teams)

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7th
3-1-4 record · 8 played
1.25 points per game
+5 goal diff · 19–14
WLWDLlast 5
20% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.6
-0.08 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 09:00 AM

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Fort Lauderdale United FC
7th · 1.25 PPG
vs
Cape Coral SA
6th · 1.43 PPG

Wolf Field at U School, Field 1 ↗

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.1 for, 1.8 against · 1.60 expected points)

Season so farFort Lauderdale United FCCape Coral SA
Position7th6th
Record (W-D-L)3-1-43-1-3
Points per game1.251.43
Goals for / game2.42.0
Goals against / game1.81.7
Clean sheets23
Held scoreless20
Form (recent first)L D W L WW L D W W
Biggest win5–0 vs Athletic Club Florida4–0 vs Doral Soccer Club
Worst loss0–2 vs Davie United SC1–4 at Davie United SC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.41+0.28
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.08+0.24

Common opponents: Davie United SC — we 0–2; they 1–4. SWFL PREMIER FC — we 3–5; they 2–3. AC Florida Tropical — we 5–2; they 1–0. Wellington SC — we 1–2; they 2–4. Parkland Soccer Club — we 4–0; they 3–0. Strikers Miami FC — we 1–1; they 1–1. Doral Soccer Club — we 0–2; they 4–0.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–2 vs Davie United SC, 0–2 at Doral Soccer Club.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 46% / draw 21% / loss 33%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Cape Coral SA sit 6th on 1.43 PPG; we are on 1.25.

    A point moves us above Cape Coral SA on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Cape Coral SA game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Fort Lauderdale United FC – Cape Coral SA) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 1.44 PPG
6th▲ up 1 5th▲ up 2 6th▲ up 1
Win
1.44 PPG
6th▲ up 1 5th▲ up 2 6th▲ up 1
Draw
1.22 PPG
7th— holds 7th— holds 7th— holds
Loss
1.11 PPG
7th— holds 7th— holds 7th— holds

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 5th if every rival drops points, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
20% top 4
80% below the top 4
5.6 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd 1%
  4. 4th 20%
  5. 5th 24%
  6. 6th 28%
  7. 7th 28%
  8. 8th <1%
  9. 9th
  10. 10th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 10 remaining known games (max 2.22 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Davie United SC 2.67 (+1.42) 1st (2.29) 39 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Wellington SC 2.50 (+1.25) 2nd (2.28) 35 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Strikers Miami FC 2.50 (+1.25) 3rd (2.24) 35 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Doral Soccer Club 1.60 (+0.35) 4th (1.57) 19 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
5 SWFL PREMIER FC 1.56 (+0.31) 7th (1.38) 19 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection
6 Cape Coral SA 1.43 (+0.18) 5th (1.55) A point next game

How the results connect

42 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Fort Lauderdale United FC to Cape Coral SA through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

22 favour us
6 even
14 favour them
+0.1 goals per chain on average. The results call it close.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–1 1–1 4–0 0–3 1–2 4–2 3–5 3–2 0–2 4–1 5–2 0–1 0–2 0–4 3–0 1–0 3–0 4–0 4–1 Fort Lauderdale Uni… 7th Strikers Miami FC 3rd Parkland Soccer Club 9th Wellington SC 2nd SWFL PREMIER FC 5th Davie United SC 1st AC Florida Tropical 8th Doral Soccer Club 4th Cape Coral SA 6th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

13 game days

1st 5th 10th Aug 23 Sep 12 Sep 27 Oct 10 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.00 · 6th hardest of 10

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 1
09:00 AM
Cape Coral SA
6th · 3-1-3 · GD +2
Home
Wolf Field at U School
●●●○○ Toss-up
46%
2–1 1.60 1.29 Swing game
Sat Feb 27
01:00 PM
Wellington SC
2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +20
Home
Miami Dolphins Training Facility @ NOVA Southeaste
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–3 0.86 1.25 Upside
Sun Feb 28
TBD
Strikers Miami FC
3rd · 6-2-0 · GD +16
Away
●●●●● Very tough
16%
1–2 0.69 1.20 Upside
Sat Mar 6
01:00 PM
Doral Soccer Club
4th · 2-2-1 · GD +1
Home
Miami Dolphins Training Facility @ NOVA Southeaste
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
1–1 1.62 1.23 Swing game
Sun Mar 7
03:00 PM
Parkland Soccer Club
9th · 0-2-6 · GD -21
Away far trip
Terramar Park
●○○○○ Favorable
78%
3–0 2.46 1.33 Bank it
Sat Mar 13
01:00 PM
SWFL PREMIER FC
5th · 4-2-3 · GD -4
Away far trip
Lakewood Ranch Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
2–1 1.68 1.35 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
03:00 PM
Cape Coral SA
6th · 3-1-3 · GD +2
Away far trip
Cape Coral Sports Complex
●●●●○ Tough
37%
1–2 1.31 1.35 Upside
Sat Apr 3
03:00 PM
AC Florida Tropical
8th · 1-0-6 · GD -12
Home
Autonation Field at U School
●●○○○ Lean win
74%
2–1 2.38 1.41 Bank it
Sun Apr 4
11:00 AM
Athletic Club Florida
10th · 0-1-5 · GD -23
Away far trip
Mullins Park · turf
●○○○○ Favorable
81%
3–1 2.55 1.48 Bank it
Sat Apr 17
03:00 PM
Davie United SC
1st · 5-1-0 · GD +16
Away
Bamford Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
16%
1–2 0.65 1.43 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Davie United SC 6510 215+16 162.67 WWDWW -0.51 -0.01 100% 1.9
2 Wellington SC 6501 288+20 152.50 WWWLW -0.37 -0.10 100% 1.9
3 Strikers Miami FC 8620 204+16 202.50 WDWDW -0.50 +0.24 100% 2.2
4 Doral Soccer Club 5221 87+1 81.60 WDLDW +0.18 -0.07 37% 5.1
5 SWFL PREMIER FC 9423 1721-4 141.56 LLDWW -0.01 +0.05 9% 6.1
6 Cape Coral SA 7313 1412+2 101.43 WWDLW +0.24 -0.18 35% 5.1
7 Fort Lauderdale United FC 8314 1914+5 101.25 WLWDL -0.08 -0.00 20% 5.6
8 AC Florida Tropical 7106 618-12 30.43 LLWLL +0.19 +0.09 0% 8.3
9 Parkland Soccer Club 8026 526-21 20.25 LLLLL +0.21 +0.24 0% 9.4
10 Athletic Club Florida 6015 528-23 10.17 LDLLL +0.49 +0.14 0% 9.3

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.97 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.