TableChase Clubs

Concorde Fire Platinum

ECNL Girls · Southeast GU16 · 16 teams · Concorde Fire (all teams)

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1st
8-0-0 record · 8 played
3.00 points per game
+26 goal diff · 32–6
WWWWWlast 5
100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.0
-0.08 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 11:00 AM

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Concorde Fire Platinum
1st · 3.00 PPG
vs
Concorde Fire Premier
6th · 1.63 PPG

Georgia Sports Park , field 4 ↗

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 2–0 (expected goals 2.2 for, 0.8 against · 2.24 expected points)

Season so farConcorde Fire PlatinumConcorde Fire Premier
Position1st6th
Record (W-D-L)8-0-04-1-3
Points per game3.001.63
Goals for / game4.01.4
Goals against / game0.80.8
Clean sheets25
Held scoreless03
Form (recent first)W W W W WD L W W L
Biggest win7–0 at Team Boca3–0 vs Seminole United
Worst loss—0–2 vs Florida Kraze Krush
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+2.25+0.41
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.08-0.11

Common opponents: Florida Premier FC — we 2–1; they 2–0. Tampa Bay United — we 6–1; they 2–0. Sporting SA JAX — we 5–0; they 1–2. Jacksonville FC — we 6–1; they 0–0. Athletic Club Florida — we 2–1; they 3–0. Team Boca — we 7–0; they 0–2. Florida Kraze Krush — we 2–1; they 0–2. Seminole United — we 2–1; they 3–0.

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    Concorde Fire Premier concede only 0.8/game with 5 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 69% / draw 19% / loss 13%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Concorde Fire Premier game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Concorde Fire Platinum – Concorde Fire Premier) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 3.00 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Win
3.00 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Draw
2.78 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Loss
2.67 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–0 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

97% finish 1st
100% top 4
0% below the top 4
1.0 average finish
  1. 1st 97%
  2. 2nd 3%
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th
  16. 16th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

How the results connect

14 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link Concorde Fire Platinum to Concorde Fire Premier through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

11 favour us
3 favour them
+2.6 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–1 0–2 2–1 0–3 2–1 0–3 2–1 2–0 6–1 0–2 6–1 0–0 5–0 2–1 7–0 2–0 1–1 2–2 2–1 Concorde Fire Plati… 1st Florida Premier FC 7th Seminole United 14th Athletic Club Flori… 9th Florida Kraze Krush 2nd Tampa Bay United 13th Jacksonville FC 12th Sporting SA JAX 8th Team Boca 4th Concorde Fire Premi… 6th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 8th 16th Aug 29 Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 4 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.20 · 15th hardest of 16

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
11:00 AM
Concorde Fire Premier
6th · 4-1-3 · GD +5
Home
Georgia Sports Park
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
2–0 2.24 2.92 Swing game
Sun Oct 25
11:00 AM
Alabama FC
5th · 4-1-3 · GD +8
Home
Georgia Sports Park
●●○○○ Lean win
67%
2–1 2.20 2.84 Swing game
Sat Nov 7
01:00 PM
South Carolina United
16th · 0-1-7 · GD -19
Away far trip
Southeastern Freight Lines Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
96%
4–0 2.92 2.85 Bank it
Sun Nov 8
09:00 AM
CESA Liberty
10th · 4-0-4 · GD +3
Away far trip
Mesa Soccer Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
74%
2–1 2.35 2.81 Bank it
Sat Nov 21
01:00 PM
Atlanta Fire United
11th · 3-1-4 · GD -2
Home
Georgia Sports Park
●○○○○ Favorable
89%
4–0 2.73 2.80 Bank it
Sun Nov 22
TBD
United Futbol Academy
15th · 1-0-7 · GD -18
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
96%
4–0 2.91 2.81 Bank it
Sat Dec 12
12:00 PM
GSA
3rd · 5-2-1 · GD +9
Home
Georgia Sports Park
●●○○○ Lean win
66%
2–1 2.17 2.77 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Concorde Fire Platinum 8800 326+26 243.00 WWWWW -0.08 -0.20 100% 1.0
2 Florida Kraze Krush 9711 164+12 222.44 WWWLW +0.08 -0.20 99% 2.2
3 GSA 8521 167+9 172.13 DWWWL -0.08 +0.01 81% 3.6
4 Team Boca 8503 1314-1 151.88 WLLWW +0.10 -0.09 16% 7.0
5 Alabama FC 8413 157+8 131.63 LLWLW -0.11 +0.02 28% 6.0
6 Concorde Fire Premier 8413 116+5 131.63 LWWLD -0.11 +0.06 14% 6.9
7 Florida Premier FC 8413 128+4 131.63 WWLLW +0.03 -0.15 20% 6.6
8 Sporting SA JAX 9423 1621-5 141.56 DWWWL +0.02 +0.12 2% 9.4
9 Athletic Club Florida 8404 2113+8 121.50 WLLWW +0.10 -0.21 33% 5.8
10 CESA Liberty 8404 1512+3 121.50 WLWWL -0.11 +0.08 7% 7.9
11 Atlanta Fire United 8314 1315-2 101.25 WDLLL -0.06 +0.15 0% 10.7
12 Jacksonville FC 10325 1320-7 111.10 WLDWD +0.10 -0.04 0% 11.2
13 Tampa Bay United 8215 616-10 70.88 LLLDW +0.03 +0.02 0% 12.9
14 Seminole United 10136 821-13 60.60 DLDLL +0.02 +0.23 0% 13.9
15 United Futbol Academy 8107 220-18 30.38 LLWLL -0.06 +0.35 0% 15.2
16 South Carolina United 8017 423-19 10.13 LLLDL -0.11 +0.36 0% 15.6

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.56 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.