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Team Boca

ECNL Girls · Southeast GU14 · 16 teams · Team Boca (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 19 hours ago.
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15th
0-1-7 record · 8 played
0.13 points per game
-11 goal diff · 11–22
LLLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 14.0
+0.29 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Mar 13, 09:00 AM

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Team Boca
15th · 0.13 PPG
at
Florida Kraze Krush
1st · 2.78 PPG

Central Winds, Field C ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–4 (expected goals 0.6 for, 4.3 against · 0.10 expected points)

Season so farTeam BocaFlorida Kraze Krush
Position15th1st
Record (W-D-L)0-1-78-1-0
Points per game0.132.78
Goals for / game1.43.3
Goals against / game2.80.4
Clean sheets06
Held scoreless20
Form (recent first)L L L L LW W W W W
Biggest win—5–0 vs Jacksonville FC
Worst loss1–4 at CESA Liberty—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.90+2.21
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.29+0.27

Common opponents: CESA Liberty — we 1–4; they 2–1. South Carolina United — we 2–3; they 4–0. Alabama FC — we 3–3; they 4–1. Concorde Fire Premier — we 0–3; they 2–2. GSA — we 1–2; they 1–0. Concorde Fire Platinum — we 0–1; they 3–0. Atlanta Fire United — we 1–2; they 5–0. United Futbol Academy — we 3–4; they 4–0.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Florida Kraze Krush score 3.3/game — well above the league's 1.8.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    Florida Kraze Krush concede only 0.4/game with 6 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–3 at Concorde Fire Premier, 0–1 vs Concorde Fire Platinum.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 2%; a draw (4%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    Florida Kraze Krush have won 8 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 09:00 AM at Central Winds.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Florida Kraze Krush game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Team Boca – Florida Kraze Krush) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 14 other games that week (Mon Mar 8 – Sun Mar 14); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.11 PPG
15th— holds 15th— holds 16th▼ down 1
Win
0.44 PPG
15th— holds 15th— holds 15th— holds
Draw
0.22 PPG
15th— holds 15th— holds 16th▼ down 1
Loss
0.11 PPG
15th— holds 15th— holds 16th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–4 loss we stay 15th even if every rival loses, and as low as 16th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
14.0 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th 1%
  11. 11th 3%
  12. 12th 9%
  13. 13th 17%
  14. 14th 27%
  15. 15th 42%
  16. 16th 2%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 7 remaining known games (max 1.47 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Florida Kraze Krush 2.78 (+2.65) 1st (2.71) 41 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Florida Premier FC 2.75 (+2.62) 2nd (2.57) 41 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Concorde Fire Platinum 2.25 (+2.12) 3rd (2.20) 33 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 South Carolina United 2.00 (+1.87) 4th (1.94) 29 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 CESA Liberty 2.00 (+1.87) 5th (1.85) 29 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
6 GSA 1.88 (+1.75) 7th (1.69) 28 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
7 Sporting SA JAX 1.78 (+1.65) 8th (1.68) 26 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
8 Concorde Fire Premier 1.75 (+1.62) 6th (1.72) 26 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
9 Athletic Club Florida 1.43 (+1.30) 9th (1.47) 21 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
10 United Futbol Academy 1.43 (+1.30) 10th (1.12) 21 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection
11 Atlanta Fire United 1.25 (+1.12) 11th (0.99) 18 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection
12 Jacksonville FC 0.70 (+0.57) 12th (0.89) 10 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection
13 Alabama FC 0.63 (+0.50) 13th (0.74) 9 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection
14 Tampa Bay United 0.63 (+0.50) 14th (0.63) 9 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 9 for their projection

How the results connect

16 chains · 11 teams

Paths of results that link Team Boca to Florida Kraze Krush through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
16 favour them
-4.9 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–2 0–1 0–3 2–2 3–3 1–4 0–1 0–3 1–4 1–2 3–4 0–4 2–3 0–4 1–2 0–5 2–0 0–5 1–0 1–0 2–1 Team Boca 15th GSA 6th Concorde Fire Premi… 8th Alabama FC 13th Concorde Fire Plati… 3rd CESA Liberty 5th United Futbol Acade… 10th South Carolina Unit… 4th Atlanta Fire United 11th Jacksonville FC 12th Florida Kraze Krush 1st

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 8th 16th Aug 29 Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 4 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.23 · 13th hardest of 16

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Mar 13
09:00 AM
Florida Kraze Krush
1st · 8-1-0 · GD +26
Away far trip
Central Winds
●●●●● Very tough
2%
0–4 0.10 0.12 Upside
Sun Mar 14
01:00 PM
Seminole United
16th · 0-0-10 · GD -43
Away far trip
Seminole
●○○○○ Favorable
79%
3–1 2.50 0.36 Bank it
Sat Mar 20
11:00 AM
Florida Premier FC
2nd · 7-1-0 · GD +19
Home
Fau Glades
●●●●● Very tough
6%
0–3 0.27 0.35 Upside
Sun Mar 21
11:00 AM
Tampa Bay United
14th · 1-2-5 · GD -21
Home
Fau Glades
●●○○○ Lean win
66%
2–1 2.16 0.50 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
12:30 PM
Jacksonville FC
12th · 2-1-7 · GD -8
Away far trip
Patton Park · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–1 1.19 0.56 Upside
Sun Apr 11
01:00 PM
Sporting SA JAX
7th · 5-1-3 · GD +3
Away far trip
Veterans Park
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–2 0.69 0.57 Upside
Sat Apr 17
11:00 AM
Athletic Club Florida
9th · 3-1-3 · GD -4
Away far trip
Nob Hill Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–2 0.86 0.58 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Florida Kraze Krush 9810 304+26 252.78 WWWWW +0.27 -0.70 100% 1.3
2 Florida Premier FC 8710 256+19 222.75 WWDWW +0.34 -0.61 100% 1.9
3 Concorde Fire Platinum 8602 299+20 182.25 WWWLW -0.34 +0.15 89% 3.4
4 South Carolina United 8512 2310+13 162.00 LWWWL -0.29 +0.23 52% 4.8
5 CESA Liberty 8512 168+8 162.00 WDWLW -0.30 +0.30 28% 5.6
6 GSA 8503 1611+5 151.88 WWLWL -0.33 +0.33 9% 6.8
7 Sporting SA JAX 9513 1613+3 161.78 LDLWW -0.01 +0.08 5% 6.9
8 Concorde Fire Premier 8422 2210+12 141.75 WWDLL -0.30 +0.26 16% 6.3
9 Athletic Club Florida 7313 1317-4 101.43 LWLWW +0.43 -0.36 0% 8.5
10 United Futbol Academy 7313 1015-5 101.43 DLLWW -0.35 +0.38 0% 10.5
11 Atlanta Fire United 8314 918-9 101.25 DWLWL -0.33 +0.51 0% 11.4
12 Jacksonville FC 10217 816-8 70.70 LLWDW +0.16 -0.20 0% 11.9
13 Alabama FC 8125 1116-5 50.63 LLLDL -0.30 +0.46 0% 12.9
14 Tampa Bay United 8125 425-21 50.63 DLWLL +0.34 -0.10 0% 14.0
15 Team Boca 8017 1122-11 10.13 LLLLL +0.29 -0.23 0% 14.0
16 Seminole United 100010 346-43 00.00 LLLLL +0.26 +0.20 0% 16.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.82 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.